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Jordan_bloom124

jordan124
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Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 21, 2019 at 11:44 p.m.
Thread: Oilers in Cap Hell
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tkecanuck341</b></div><div>Ok, so looking at the Oilers current cap situation, they have 17 players locked up to contracts past this season. Let's assume they bury Spooner in the AHL, Sekera goes the way of Chris Pronger (permanent LTIR) and that Manning and Benning end up as the 3rd pair with limited protected minutes. So that's 15 players with a cap hit of $72M (not countin LTIR space for Sekera). That gives them about $11M to sign 5 forwards, 1 defensemen, and a backup goaltender.

Let's start with the forwards:

Rieder sucks, don't qualify him and let him become a UFA.

Puljujärvi, Rattie, and Khaira haven't done anything to warrant significant raises. They might negotiate for longer term in exchange for one-way contracts, but none of them are getting significant raises over their qualifying offers. Certainly none of them deserve seven-figure contracts. Between the three of them, you're looking at about $2.5M. You have Benson and Marody that should both be looking for a spot out of training camp. Let's assume Marody makes it and Benson needs another year in the AHL. You've now added just shy of $3.5M for 4 forward spots. Give Chiasson the higher end of your range and extend him for $3M AAV. That's $6.5M for forwards with one open spot remaining.

The top six defensemen spots are set for next year assuming everyone is healthy. At least one of Bear or Jones should be ready to go by next season, so that's another $925k and rounds out the defense.

Koskinen just signed an extension today for $4.5M, meaning he's expected to take the brunt of the starts next season. You certainly don't need to pay your backup more than $1M. Trade for someone like Campbell who currently leads the league in SV% and GAA and is locked up for another season at $650K. He'll cost a B prospect or a 2nd/3rd round pick.

So now you're at a cap hit of just shy of $79M with all spots filled except for one forward slot (probably LW). That give you $4M to sign or trade for someone to take a middle-six winger spot. If you add in LTIR relief for Sekera, then you have $9M to work with. I wouldn't say they're in an ideal cap position, but they're not in "cap hell" either.</div></div>

So in essence you will be able to ice the same useless ass team next year for just under the cap ceiling- that is the definition of CAP HELL
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 21, 2019 at 7:49 p.m.
Thread: Oilers in Cap Hell
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tkecanuck341</b></div><div>Why are you paying seven figures to 4th line players and healthy scratches? The way I see it is that you can give all those spots to prospects on ELCs or role players on league minimum contracts, and save nearly $3.5M of cap space just on those 4 spots.

Couple that with the cap that's expected to increase significantly this summer and the Oil has nearly $7M in cap space to make some adjustments. That's not a huge amount to work with, but that's certainly not "donezo" or "scraping up against the cap".</div></div>

They actually are up against it pretty bad for next season. They have four RFA's in Puljujarvvi,Rattie, Khaira and Reider which would eat up about $4.5 per season just on qualifying offers. They have three UFA's in Chiasson and both their goalies. All told they have about $15.5 million in cap space to sign all those pieces and two good goalies are gonna take about $7-8 million at least. They're not likely to bring back Reider or Rattie so that's about $2.75 million to spend elsewhere, they're likely to sign Khaira and Puljujarvvi but I have no clue how much they'll cost, likely not a ton but it's still gonna be more then they're making now. Chiasson is on pace to earn himself a pretty decent raise probably in the $2-3 million range if he stays with the Oilers so thats basically the Reider/Rattie not signing savings. Unless they can move out some of the expensive unproductive pieces like Lucic,Spooner and Russel or a bunch of the smaller dead weight pieces that really add up Iike Manning, Benning and Kassian they're not gonna have much cap space to sign any free agents this summer that will actually make any significant impact. They may not be exactly "scraping up against the cap" but in reality it's pretty close and unless they make a bold trade or two or Yamomoto, Puljujarvvi and Bouchard all take massive steps forward next season I think next seasons Oilers will look a lot like this seasons Oilers.
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 16, 2018 at 1:13 p.m.
Thread: Willie Signs Gardiner Leaves Creating Cap Room
Ummm what? There is no post LTIR cap hit, its all covered. No need to trade Horton.
Big overpayment for Oz and Johnsson.
Overpayment for Matthews, especially with his injury, he will get closer to 11. He is much more a better Eichel than a Worse McDavid.
If Marner hits his projected point totals, yeah I can see that aav, add the 8th year though. He likely gets 8 max however.
Johnsson will get like 1.25-1.5 (1 or 2 years)
Oz will get like 1.5 for 2 years
Sparks will not get paid that much, think closer to 800k (like what Mac got)
lindholm probs gets whatever oz gets.
too much for T.moore, will accept QA.
Kappy is high there for that deal, I think he cools down enough to get less in the end, either that or we use the 5 million in space (kappys hit plus projected space with all signed) we likely have to get a good deal in early (5-6 years at a decent aav like we did for Rielly).
Funny that we don't need to trade anyone when you don't overpay.

Proof:
Forwards cap hit: 60.29
Hyman(2.25)-Tavares(11)-Marner(8)
Marleau(6.25)-Matthews(11.34)-Nylander(6.5)
Kapanen(3)-Kadri(4.5)-Brown(2.1)
Johnsson(1.25)-Goat(.675)-Lindholm(1.5)
Leivo(1)-Grundstrom(.925)

Defense cap hit: 14.726,666
Rielly(5)-Dermott(.863,333)
Ozhiganov(1.5)-Zaitzev(4.5)
Rosen(1)-Liljegren(.863,333)
Borgman(1)

Goalies cap hit: 6
Andersen(5)
Sparks(1)

Total cap hit: 81.016666
Cap space (cap @82.5): 1.483334
Board of Governors have said likely cap with no NHLPA inflater is 81.5 next year, NHLPA has committed to 1.25%. That comes to a cap of 82.5 million.
Forum: Armchair-GMNov. 16, 2018 at 1:36 p.m.
Thread: Willie Signs Gardiner Leaves Creating Cap Room
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jamiepo</b></div><div>We don’t need to get rid of Horton. We will get full relief from his contract.

Nylander contract looks good, think you may be a bit high on marner and Matthews but we will know more by the end of this season. Ozhiganov johnsson and sparks contracts look a bit high. Should be able to use excess money from contracts to fill remaining roster spot.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jamiepo</b></div><div>We don’t need to get rid of Horton. We will get full relief from his contract.

Nylander contract looks good, think you may be a bit high on marner and Matthews but we will know more by the end of this season. Ozhiganov johnsson and sparks contracts look a bit high. Should be able to use excess money from contracts to fill remaining roster spot.</div></div>

I think Toronto no longer gets full relief from putting Horton on ltir so it would be better to move him