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nmstars31

Member Since
May 4, 2016
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Dallas Stars
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Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 19, 2023 at 3:56 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 19, 2023 at 3:33 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 19, 2023 at 11:20 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 13, 2023 at 9:02 a.m.
Thread: Bowney
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 4, 2023 at 4:50 p.m.
Thread: Baby Sharks
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Tennisman142</b></div><div>EKholm plays with a better partner in Bouchard and they also have Nurse on the other pair. Sanheim also never played against the top competition on the flyers and that was left to Provorov and now York takes those responsibilities. Pulock has Pelech and Dobson with him. Weegar on Florida had Ekblad playing with him and now on the Flames has Hanafin, Andersson, and Tanev. Morrisey is the one who has doing very well and is not getting caved in and that's why he is a #1D. He also signed a longterm contract a couple years ago and that's why his cap hit is lower. Petry also doesn't paly against the top competition as Letang does that. Parayko plays with Nick Leddy and has Krug and Faulk as the 2nd pair. All 3 of those defensemen are worse than Hanafin, Andersson, Dobson, Pelech, Ekblad, Letang</div></div>

Weegar took the difficult assignments away from Ekblad, Ekholm did the same for Josi, Petry shared the burden with Weber in Montreal but also took many of the difficult minutes. Parayko’s best comp is probably Scott Mayfield (except Mayfield performed excellently next to Leddy). Parayko is a fine player on the ice, but overpaid by roughly 2.5M for the next 7 years and he will only get worse. Unless a team is willing to overpay him by that much for the next 7 years, he has negative value because he represents an opportunity cost. We can agree to disagree on if St Louis actually wants to trade him (despite all the rumours), they will almost certainly have to pay a premium (or retain which is unlikely since they want to compete themselves) if they are to move him. Ultimately, if they see a championship window and a better and/or cheaper replacement for his minutes, the cost is not that hard to swallow. Zach Dean doesn’t forecast as anything more than a middle six player, those are relatively abundant
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 4, 2023 at 4:27 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 4, 2023 at 4:20 p.m.
Thread: Baby Sharks
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Tennisman142</b></div><div>But they aren't playing similar roles. The usage category is very clear about this. One is in the 92nd percentile of hardest minutes/role/quality of teammates and the other is in the 37th percentile of the same category. I've looked at Moneypuck, naturalstattrick, hockey reference, and Dom's model and they all have Pesce playing a more 50/50 role of Ozone starts to Dzone starts while some of the models have Pesce having more offensive zone starts than Dzone starts. Parayko on the other hand is getting handed very defensively skewed minutes because we have to shelter the 2nd pair of Krug and Faulk. My whole argument is Parayko is a 2nd pairing D who is being played in harder minutes than he has ever before. He's being played as if he is a top 5D in the league and he is simply being overwhelmed because of that. Put him on the 2nd pair like he used to be in 2015-2019 and he'll play much better. He was the best defensive defensemen on the blues from 2016-2019 and allowed Pietrangelo to play in a more offensive role. Putting Pesce in the spot Parayko is in and he will crumble the same way playing harder minutes than he has every played with a way worse partner and not having Slavin to play in front of him. I'm not saying Parayko is better than Pesce, I think Pesce is slightly better than Parayko but he isn't miles ahead of him and certainly the worth is not a boluc plus a 20241st better than him.</div></div>

I mean Parayko might not be as bad as he looks given his deployment, but he’s being paid like a number 1 which is the whole problem. With Pesce you can replace his minutes for a player who is marginally better and save 2.5M in cap space to improve your team for when he’s not on the ice (you know, what you’ve said the whole problem is)