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vinnylou

Vinnylou
Member Since
Jun. 18, 2016
Favourite Team
Edmonton Oilers
2nd Favourite Team
Ottawa Senators
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Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 28, 2021 at 11:25 a.m.
Thread: Cap Space with Hyman and Barrie
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>vinnylou</b></div><div>Only time will tell. But I don't see 2 million. Maybe it's just me. But BC the DRY line had incredible numbers for 27 games. Really bumped his numbers. He was pretty non existent most of last season. He struggled this year. Also trading bear isn't a bad move if he's filled with a bigger body who can defend. BC Bouchard will outperform him shortly. .. he doesn't have the size as Petry did. So I don't see it becoming another Petry deal of being a shutdown guy. <strong>Barrie smashes bear in every offensive category.</strong> Best way to defend.. is be in the offensive zone. LoL</div></div>
What?? That's the most ignorant statement I've read all week. Here's some education for you:

<em>Barrie's "offensive production" is a mirage. Check out McDavid's on-ice numbers (5v5) from this past season.

McDavid with Barrie: 4.09 GF/60 – 3.34 GA/60 = +0.75 GD/60
McDavid w/o Barrie: 4.10 GF/60 – 2.68 GA/60 = +1.42 GD/60

Barrie doesn’t improve McDavid’s output while dragging him down defensively.

McDavid with Bear: 4.38 GF/60 – 3.03 GA/60 = +1.35 GD/60
McDavid w/o Bear: 4.03 GF/60 – 3.08 GA/60 = +0.95 GD/60

McDavid does better with Bear offensively and is about the same defensively. Maybe that was just luck though – lets check xG to see.

McDavid with Barrie: 2.71 xGF/60 – 2.60 xGA/60 = +0.11 xGD/60
McDavid w/o Barrie: 3.38 xGF/60 – 1.83 xGA/60 = +1.55 xGD/60

McDavid with Bear: 4.12 xGF/60 – 1.67 xGA/60 = +2.45 xGD/60
McDavid w/o Bear: 2.71 xGF/60 – 2.43 xGA/60 = +0.28 xGD/60

Nope, luck actually ran against Bear this year - despite this McDavid still posted better offensive AND better defensive numbers with Bear than with Barrie.</em>

Here's Nurse-Barrie compared to Nurse-Bear: <a href="http://naturalstattrick.com/pairings.php?fromseason=20202021&amp;thruseason=20202021&amp;stype=2&amp;sit=5v5&amp;score=all&amp;rate=y&amp;team=EDM&amp;loc=B&amp;toi=255&amp;gpfilt=none&amp;fd=&amp;td=&amp;tgp=410" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">NST link</a>
Their GF% mirrors their O-zone faceoff% pretty well, and luck played a part (PDO), but the Nurse-Bear pairing had better underlying numbers in EVERY category despite Barrie having a 'career' year and Bear having a 'down' year. Oh, and keep in mind that the Nurse-Bear pairing played with McDavid 48.8% of the time while the Nurse-Barrie pairing played with McDavid 65.8% of the time.

Fact: signing Barrie and trading Bear makes this team worse. You can't argue for "adding a bigger body" and support the Barrie signing at the same time.
Forum: Fauteuil - DGJul. 28, 2021 at 10:26 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 23, 2021 at 8:49 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 16, 2021 at 10:45 p.m.
Thread: What is Eberle worth
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>vinnylou</b></div><div>I'm aware of that. But Kenny doesn't want to lose out on an NHL defenseman before free agency starts. BC if you're defense is bear and Bouchard and some other bum. You're going to have a bad time. Even if it's Barrie , Bouchard and bear. At least there's a veteran playing top pair that has before . I didn't like the Keith trade BC it just created another gap .. that will now be on the right side. I'd move bear for a winger. Offer more term to Larsson and 3/4 year term for Barrie. Then Bouchard is well insulated taking 1st pp time. Jumping between top 4/6. Let him work out the wrinkles in his game. Then when he's ready to take over Barrie will be trade Bait or contract will be done</div></div>

Go with the triple B's Bear Bouchard Barrie :tearsofjoy
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 15, 2021 at 2:53 p.m.
Thread: Most Recent News
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>vinnylou</b></div><div>No man, leafs want to keep him. But you're never as good as your best year and you're never as bad as your worst year. Like Smith was one of the top goalies in our division. So that must mean Oilers must sign him to A 6 million dollar contract right? I don't think so. They're not letting anyone talk to Freddy for a reason. BC he could get a lot more on the market. If I was him and you guys offered me that. I'd wait till the 28th And easily make double of that.</div></div>

We have the same thought process here but I was going of the news from this morning that was pointing towards the Leafs signing Landeskog and Andersen. If they were doing that then the AAV's I have are the only ways to make it feasible, yes the Landeskog reports have him at much lower AAV's but thats the Avs offer and its criminally low. However looking at more recent news it sounds that Kuemper is the target and Andersen is the back up plan.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 15, 2021 at 11:42 a.m.
Thread: Curious to see some movement
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>vinnylou</b></div><div>He's gone dude. LoL he isn't good. If he needs 5 days rest in between games I'd rather pay him on another team than see him on ours. We need more consistent saves. He was absolute garbage. Good thing Holland does want to get younger in net. We can't waste no more time with him. 4 years of him ( trying to include him in next one ) is a drain on our team . 4 goals on 4 shots. That's worse than dubynk.</div></div>

He had one bad game last year… his bigger downfall was letting in an early goal fairly consistently which does suck but he typically played solid afterwards. His numbers from this past season aren’t anything to write home about but when you dig deeper into it he was pretty good. Started the season as the only goalie in town so was over worked and on top of that remember how poor the Defense was for the first couple weeks they were all garbage that reflects more on the goalie than them. Rested kosk is a good kosk very capable of splitting starting duties 50-50 in fact some might suggest myself included that a more even split would help prevent those first shot goals more because he’s more engaged in regular games rather than sitting for two weeks then see game action. Problem with retaining on him then bringing someone new that’s better is you have to put whatever retention on top of the new goalies salary so in this case your basically paying Anderson 8 million next year. extension talks with smith if he comes back and plays anywhere close to the level of last year you just doubled the budget for his back up attaching term to another goalie who isn’t exactly young. With that all being said goaltending decisions is the only real thing can’t agree on with the team you constructed I do like some of the other pick ups like Ryan could be a very underestimated help to the team. Hoffman wouldn’t be top choice but would be interested to see how it plays out.