No Regrets On The Tavares Signing

Created by: AnalyticsGeek

Team: 2020-21 Toronto Maple Leafs

Initial Creation Date: Nov. 27, 2020

Published: Nov. 27, 2020

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Legend

Left Handed

Original Team

Waivers Exempt

Right Handed

Position

Trade Clause

Max Perf. Bonus

Expiry Status

Term Remaining

McDavid, Connor

$12,500,000 ( Performance Bonus

$250,000)

NMC

UFA - 5

Description

I don’t understand how anyone can think the Tavares signing was a mistake. To me, that’s just an irresponsible & uneducated way of evaluating the Leafs’ situation. Tavares is a franchise level center who consistently ranks in the top 2-3% league wide in generating shot attempts & scoring chances. He’s consistently scored at 70-80 point rates on horrendous Islander teams. He is well worth the money. Where the Leafs went wrong was:

1. Not trading Kadri while he had peak value for a number 1 defenceman. They could’ve easily sent Kadri, a prospect & a 1st for a top tier defenceman like Hamilton, Spurgeon or Ellis.

2. Overpay Marner by around 2 million. With that extra cap space, the Leafs could've easily afforded to add a top right-handed defenceman.

People are being too harsh on a superstar for having 1 season below his usual expectation (still scored at a 34 goal 78 point pace). It’s easy to look at his age and cap hit and be influenced that he is the problem, but oftentimes we need to go deeper than that.

In conclusion, the Leafs got a franchise level number 1 center for free. He is still in his prime and there should be no regrets about his signing whatsoever.

Free Agent Signings

CREATED		YEARS	CAP HIT
Marner, Mitchell		4	$9,000,000

Trades

TOR

Ellis, Ryan

NSH

Nazem Kadri
Timothy Liljegren
2020 1st Round Pick

*Done During 2018 Offseason

TOR

Weegar, MacKenzie

FLA

Kasperi Kapanen
Travis Dermott

*Done During 2020 Offseason

TOR

Alexander Kerfoot

COL

Semyon Der-Arguchintsev
2021 2nd Round Pick

*Done After Avs Drafted Newhook

Buyouts

Mikhail Grabovski: $0

Retained Salary Transactions

Phil Kessel: $1,200,000 (15%)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2021
2022
2023

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
22	$81,500,000	$81,238,450	$0	$0	$261,550

Roster

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Hyman, Zach $2,250,000$2,250,000 RW, LW M-NTC UFA - 1	Matthews, Auston $11,640,250$11,640,250 C UFA - 4	Marner, Mitchell $9,000,000$9,000,000
Mikheyev, Ilya $1,645,000$1,645,000 LW, RW UFA - 2	Tavares, John $11,000,000$11,000,000 C, LW NMC UFA - 5	Nylander, William $6,962,366$6,962,366 RW UFA - 4
Vesey, Jimmy $900,000$900,000 RW, LW UFA - 1	Kerfoot, Alexander $3,500,000$3,500,000 LW, C, RW UFA - 3	Barabanov, Alexander $925,000$925,000 RW, LW UFA - 1
Robertson, Nicholas $821,667$821,667 LW, RW RFA - 4	Thornton, Joe $700,000$700,000 C, LW NMC UFA - 1	Spezza, Jason $700,000$700,000 C, RW UFA - 1

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Rielly, Morgan $5,000,000$5,000,000 LD M-NTC UFA - 2	Ellis, Ryan $6,250,000$6,250,000 RD UFA - 7	Andersen, Frederik $5,000,000$5,000,000 G M-NTC UFA - 1
Muzzin, Jake $5,625,000$5,625,000 LD NMC UFA - 4	Weegar, MacKenzie $3,250,000$3,250,000 LD/RD UFA - 3	Campbell, Jack $1,650,000$1,650,000 G UFA - 2
Sandin, Rasmus $894,167$894,167 LD UFA - 2	Lehtonen, Mikko $925,000$925,000 LD UFA - 1

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
Boyd, Travis $700,000$700,000 C, RW UFA - 1		Simmonds, Wayne $1,500,000$1,500,000 RW, LW NTC UFA - 1
Marincin, Martin $700,000$700,000 LD UFA - 1		Engvall, Pierre $1,250,000$1,250,000 RW, LW UFA - 2
		Marner, Mitchell $10,903,000$10,903,000 RW UFA - 5
		Brodie, TJ $5,000,000$5,000,000 LD/RD NMC UFA - 4
		Holl, Justin $2,000,000$2,000,000 RD M-NTC UFA - 3
		Bogosian, Zach $1,000,000$1,000,000 RD NTC UFA - 1

Special Teams

Power Play 1
Nylander, W.		Tavares, J.		Matthews, A.
	Marner, M.		Rielly, M.

Power Play 2
Spezza, J.		Thornton, J.		Robertson, N.
	Ellis, R.		Sandin, R.

Penalty Kill 1
	Kerfoot, A.	Vesey, J.
	Lehtonen, M.	Ellis, R.

Penalty Kill 2
	Mikheyev, I.	Hyman, Z.
	Muzzin, J.	Weegar, M.

Top Comments

Nov. 27, 2020 at 2:53 p.m.

AnalyticsGeek

Banned

Joined: Sep. 2019

Posts: 5,011

Likes: 1,636

What'd you guys think of my take on Tavares?

rickdabeaut liked this.

Nov. 27, 2020 at 2:58 p.m.

Byrr

Joined: Jul. 2019

Posts: 6,289

Likes: 3,037

I think you are judging by a 'now' perspective rather than considering what to expect as he gets older. He's already starting to slow down, the last few years on this deal are going to be what a Burns or Benn is now.

Ryancnbb liked this.

Nov. 27, 2020 at 2:58 p.m.

TheresAlwaysNextYear

Joined: Dec. 2018

Posts: 2,596

Likes: 1,129

100% agree. There was not a single player that hit the FA market in 2018/19 worth passing on JT. If they pass on him they have a gaping hole at 3c and most likely overpay for De Haan, Cole or Myers

leafs101 and Engvall_Enjoyer liked this.

Nov. 27, 2020 at 2:59 p.m.

TheresAlwaysNextYear

Joined: Dec. 2018

Posts: 2,596

Likes: 1,129

Only problem with this is how do they have Kerfoot if they're trading Kadri to Nashville?

Ryancnbb and Barilko14 liked this.

Nov. 27, 2020 at 2:59 p.m.

Ryancnbb

Joined: Oct. 2019

Posts: 3,213

Likes: 744

Quoting: MitchMarnerElite

What'd you guys think of my take on Tavares?

agree somewhat and that d is stacked, not sure if I would do the nash trade. I think signing brodie, keeping liljgren and getting a package for kappy or kadri of futures is fine and keep one of them

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