Quoting: dannibalcorpse
Campbell walks if you offer him 1x$3.5M. He's already 30, this is probably his one shot at a big deal that gives him some stability. Someone will offer him 4x$4Mish on a deal and he'll be gone.
And with Mrazek - I am going to keep pounding this drum. He's nearly impossible to trade - he's been very bad, he's over 30, he's injury prone, and his contract is back-loaded so even your normally cap-dump destinations aren't going to want to trade for him because he's making more money in real dollars than his cap hit will be. His buyout cost is only $1.43M/$1.43M/$833K/$1.03M. Give Liljegren a bridge deal here (2x$2M would probably pull it off) and you'll have the room to ice this roster and give Lilly his raise in 2024.
No contract is “impossible to dump”. A team will take it, even if the sweetener is high. The backloaded portion definitely doesn’t help, but a team that is both:
a) bad and looking to take on bad contracts, and
b) isn’t struggling financially
Could definitely take him on and hope he ups the play. This would basically be the equivalent of Shayne Gostisbehere being dumped (team taking on a bad contract hoping the player can return to his former level of play). Mrazek could be dumped for a similar return to another team or, potentially; have the 1-1.5 retained per year that the buyout would be equal to and save themselves from paying the ~0.9 mil for the 2 years after this contract runs out. Lots of options here, and Dubas will certainly do his research here and take his time.
Campbell hasn’t earned a 4 year deal imo. If a team offers that, he should for sure take it, but I can’t see him getting a 4 year deal based off being 30 and only 2 years as even a tandem goalie/starter.
Signing Lily now long term I think is best because if we bridge him for 2 years now, he very likely asks for well over the 4.25 once it’s over. Spend extra now, yes; but save the money long term. Its a gamble but certainly worth it for the long run imo; this sort of deal has paid off in the past plenty times (ex. Shea Theodore)
McDavid, Connor
$250,000)
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