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Comparing Zegras to other RFA Trades w 4 YRs of Control

Created by: BrodeurBro30
Team: 2023-24 Anaheim Ducks
Initial Creation Date: Sep. 21, 2023
Published: Sep. 21, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Legend
Left Handed
Original Team
Waivers Exempt
Right Handed
Position
Trade Clause
Max Perf. Bonus
Expiry Status
Term Remaining
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
Waivers ExemptMcDavid, Connor
$12,500,000 (Performance Bonus$250,000)
C
NMC
UFA - 5
Description
Zegras just finished his ELC and has 4 years of control left off his contract. I found two other players that were traded right after their ELCs ended (Jonathan Drouin, Dougie Hamilton).

Here are those respective players trades

The Drouin - Sergachev Trade

To MTL
- Jonathan Drouin (came off a 20 goal season like Zegras, Top 6 FWD)
- Conditional 6th Round Pick

To TBL
- Mikhail Sergachev
- Conditional 2nd Round Pick

The Dougie Hamilton Trade (draft picks only)

To CGY
- Dougie Hamilton

To BOS
- 2015 1st Round Pick (#15)
- 2015 2nd Round Pick (#45)
- 2015 2nd Round Pick (#52)

I present two different Zegras trades based on these comps:

Disclaimer: I DO NOT BELIEVE THIS WILL BE THE FINAL TRADE or close to a framework of an actual deal. I thought including and comparing star players with 4 years of team control left would be interesting. Given that many teams are up against the cap, money tends to be an issue and factored into a lot of trades.
Trades
1.
ANA
  1. Slafkovsky, Juraj
  2. 2024 2nd round pick (COL)
Additional Details:
Giving up on a No. 1 OVR pick seems far-fetched, almost impossible. While riddled with injuries, and a disappointing rookie year, he’s still 19. He’s an incredibly promising Power FWD, but Montreal has shown in the past that it likes to play with fire.

Trading a blue chip prospect in Sergachev, Pick #13 (2022) and Picks #31,37 (2023) shows they are not reticent with parting with solid trade capital to get the guys that can play Montreal hockey.
MTL
  1. Zegras, Trevor [RFA Rights]
  2. 2024 6th round pick (ANA)
Additional Details:
The Ducks, like the Lightning, decide they want a blue chip prospect/young NHL player that fills an organizational need and that is able to step in and grow with this core.

It’s also a league shattering and risky trade, filled with mixed emotions like the Drouin trade many years ago. The Ducks want a lot for Zegras and this is something that could be in the works.
2.
ANA
  1. 2024 1st round pick (BUF)
  2. 2024 2nd round pick (BUF)
  3. 2025 2nd round pick (BUF)
BUF
    Trevor Zegras

    - Buffalo has also been another team speculated in a Zegras deal. Used them for pure Draft capital example like the Dougie Hamilton trade.

    I don’t think a trade will be purely draft capital
    Buyouts
    DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
    2024
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the BUF
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the BOS
    Logo of the COL
    Logo of the BUF
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the PIT
    Logo of the SJS
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    2025
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the BUF
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    2026
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    Logo of the ANA
    ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
    23$83,500,000$60,957,917$0$10,175,000$22,542,083
    Left WingCentreRight Wing
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $1,456,250$1,456,250
    LW, C
    M-NTC
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $5,000,000$5,000,000
    RW, C
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $7,000,000$7,000,000
    RW
    UFA - 7
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $3,650,000$3,650,000
    LW, RW
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $950,000$950,000 (Performance Bonus$3,250,000$3M)
    C
    RFA - 3
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $6,250,000$6,250,000
    RW, LW
    NTC
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $2,750,000$2,750,000
    LW, RW
    UFA - 2
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
    C, LW
    RFA - 2
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $5,250,000$5,250,000
    RW, LW
    M-NTC
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $1,295,000$1,295,000
    LW, RW
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $425,000$425,000
    C, RW
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
    $950,000$950,000 (Performance Bonus$3,500,000$4M)
    RW, LW
    RFA - 2
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $775,000$775,000
    RW
    RFA - 1
    Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $6,500,000$6,500,000
    LD/RD
    M-NTC
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $4,000,000$4,000,000
    RD
    NTC
    UFA - 3
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $6,400,000$6,400,000
    G
    M-NTC
    UFA - 4
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$925,000$925K)
    LD/RD
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $687,500$687,500
    RD
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $812,500$812,500
    G
    RFA - 2
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $850,000$850,000
    LD/RD
    RFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $800,000$800,000
    G
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $775,000$775,000
    LD
    UFA - 1
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $762,500$762,500
    LD
    UFA - 1
    ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
    Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
    $1,800,000$1,800,000
    C, LW
    RFA - 1

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    Top Comments

    Sep. 21, 2023 at 10:23 p.m.
    #1
    n.1 Topias Vilen fan
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    Joined: Jul. 2021
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    I take issue with the Drouin comp. Although he was the same age as Zegras is now, their production is very different in the two years leading up to the trade.

    Drouin 15-16: 39 pt pace
    Drouin 16-17: 60 pt pace

    Zegras 21-22: 67 pt pace
    Zegras 22-23: 66 pt pace

    On top of that, Zegras is an extremely marketable fan favorite. It should take more than Slafkovsky and a 2nd to get it done imo.
    Lactic_Flaccid liked this.
    Sep. 21, 2023 at 10:30 p.m.
    #2
    Sennecke is a gem
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    Joined: Sep. 2022
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    Slaf is way higher ranked than Sergachev was at the time of the trade. IK this seems to be what ANA wants, but I can tell you now, if Slaf is the price for Z, Zegras will not be a Habs
    BrodeurBro30 and Just_A_Guess liked this.
    Sep. 21, 2023 at 10:33 p.m.
    #3
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    Joined: Mar. 2022
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    Quoting: pretzelcoatl
    I take issue with the Drouin comp. Although he was the same age as Zegras is now, their production is very different in the two years leading up to the trade.

    Drouin 15-16: 39 pt pace
    Drouin 16-17: 60 pt pace

    Zegras 21-22: 67 pt pace
    Zegras 22-23: 66 pt pace

    On top of that, Zegras is an extremely marketable fan favorite. It should take more than Slafkovsky and a 2nd to get it done imo.


    Drouin was stuck playing 3rd line his first two season in Tampa, while Zegras played 1st line. I think value should be close.

    And Slafkovsky value is higher than Sergachev was. Not sure MTL should be adding a pick.

    I think if a trade was to be made for Zegras, it would have been for MTL 5th overall pick at the 2023 draft.
    BrodeurBro30, Caufield, gretzkyghosts and 1 other person liked this.
    Sep. 21, 2023 at 10:34 p.m.
    #4
    Prime Primeau
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    Joined: Apr. 2023
    Posts: 5,625
    Likes: 2,226
    I wouldn’t give up Slaf for Suzuki. Suzuki and Zegras are about the same valie
    BrodeurBro30 liked this.
    Sep. 21, 2023 at 10:34 p.m.
    #5
    Avatar of the user
    Joined: Jan. 2023
    Posts: 353
    Likes: 169
    Quoting: pretzelcoatl
    I take issue with the Drouin comp. Although he was the same age as Zegras is now, their production is very different in the two years leading up to the trade.

    Drouin 15-16: 39 pt pace
    Drouin 16-17: 60 pt pace

    Zegras 21-22: 67 pt pace
    Zegras 22-23: 66 pt pace

    On top of that, Zegras is an extremely marketable fan favorite. It should take more than Slafkovsky and a 2nd to get it done imo.


    It’s difficult to find up and coming star players who get moved right after their ELC. It’s very rare and usually the team that drafted them will give an extension. I get what you are saying though and my idea was Drouin was also an up and coming player that had another untapped level (hindsight, he never broke through). Many are saying about Zegras, though we can all admit Zegras is a much better player than Drouin was at the time.
    CBA liked this.
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