Quoting: Larkinisking
Look at Galchenyuks numbers? They're identical to both Nyquist and Tatar but Galchenyuk is much younger then them. So he has a longer career ahead of him. Not even Nyquist/Tatar would bring back a top 8 pick and no way Galchenyuk does either maybe a mid teen pick but no way Galchenyuk is worth a top 8 pick in this draft.
Sorry, I don't follow. Chucky IS about as good as Tatar or Nyquist but is younger, which seems to mean he's potentially more valuable. Tatar has 3 years left on his contract and makes $500k more, but wasn't he just traded for a #1, #2 AND #3 pick? For a team like the Oilers who are close to being very, very good, that 6-10 pick is 2-3 years away from being useful. By then, RNH is heading to UFA, as is half of the D. To a GM who wants to win --
has to win -- Galchenyuk or Pacioretty is a much better bet than a lower lottery first rounder.
Look at the last 10 #6 picks since 2007. Some are excellent, some are full on busts: Sam Gagner, Nikita Filatov, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Brett Connelly, Mika Zibanejad, Humpus Lindholm, Sean Monahan, Jake Virtanen, Pavel Zacha and Matthew Tkachuk. Certainly fewer than half are markedly better than Galchenyuk and only Monahan was a factor as an 18-year-old.
The argument could be made the other way. The Habs, if they get bumped down in the draft, should look to pick up a top-6 forward and hope to score a late bloomer or two with the 4-5 second rounders they have.