Oilers - A Plan of some sort - CapFriendly

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Oilers - A Plan of some sort

Created by: ricochetii

Team: 2019-20 Edmonton Oilers

Initial Creation Date: Apr. 25, 2019

Published: Apr. 25, 2019

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

Step 1 - Lucic: Oilers have to move on. They can continue paying for this mistake for a few more years, or they can do what it takes to unload him and start the healing process.

Step 2 - Nugent-Hopkins: I think he can bring in two decent wingers. The plan is to acquire 2 players in the 40-50 point range, and turn them into 60-70 point players on McDavid or Draisaitl's wings.
(Note: I picked Montreal because I know they have the cap space and wingers to spare. Other options/teams can be looked into.)

Step 3 - Braun: I'm not exactly sure how much it would take, but options are somewhat slim without moving this year's 1st and more. Personally, I think Edmonton should pay a higher price to acquire someone better. More options may present themselves as teams start making roster decisions for next season. At least consider this a placeholder until other possibilities open up.

Step 4 - Offload Gagner, Manning, and/or Russell, if at all possible. Cheaper replacements can be found in the UFA market. That would free up around $10M extra. Retain if necessary on Gagner and Manning. Even moving half their cap is a win.

Step 5 - Using the $10-20M freed up by these moves, target one of the UFA wingers that can be signed with term. (Skinner or Nyquist for example.)
The remainder goes to plugging holes on a short term basis. Bottom 6'ers with good work ethic and two-way ability preferred, on 1-2 year deals to fill the roster.

I'm showing around $10M remaining, not counting scratches and retaining half on Gagner/Manning (total retention is close enough to the cost of burying them in the minors anyway). That can be used to upgrade the players signed to fill the holes and possibly pick up a solid backup.
(Note: I didn't address Edmonton's goaltending, because they've already made their decision in the crease. You have to give Koskinen the season, with a better team in front of him, to see if that was the right decision.)

Step 6 - Prospects will fight to push guys out of the lineup, and they will start on the 3rd line if they do. No more McDavid ticket until you're tall enough for the ride.

Free Agent Signings

RFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Khaira, Jujhar	2	$950,000
Puljujärvi, Jesse	2	$950,000
Starrett, Shane	2	$850,000

UFA		YEARS	CAP HIT
Stolarz, Anthony		2	$850,000

CREATED	YEARS	CAP HIT
UFA, Signing	6	$8,000,000
UFA, Signing	2	$1,000,000
UFA, Signing	2	$1,000,000

Trades

EDM

Boedker, Mikkel ($2,000,000 retained)

Additional Details:

Edmonton pays Lucic's $3M signing bonus prior to trade.
Lucic waives his NMC for this trade and for expansion. Ottawa will give him an opportunity to re-establish himself before going to Seattle.

OTT

Lucic, Milan
2020 1st round pick (EDM)

Additional Details:

Ottawa receives a 1st round pick, with the expectation that they will keep Lucic for one season, and then pay Seattle to take him in expansion. They will earmark a 2nd and 3rd for that purpose, but attempt to lower that cost by showcasing Lucic.
Worst case: They give Seattle the lesser of their three 1sts and hope Edmonton's pick is better than the one they give up.
Best case: They give Seattle only a 2nd round pick.

Alternative: Ottawa chooses to keep Lucic or Seattle doesn't want him. Since they won't be required to protect him, he isn't costing them more than his salary/contract in any case, and they've already been duly compensated with the 1st. They will hope the pick is a lottery pick, not a bad bet given the Oilers' struggles to reach the post season.

EDM

Additional Details:

You could swap Shaw with Armia, but I personally feel like Shaw would help Edmonton more. Especially if he can replicate this year's performance, and he's spent more time in the top 6.

You can also swap Tatar with Drouin. Drouin is the more talented player and has a higher likelihood of breaking out if playing with skilled linemates. Tatar however, is the more reliable player and not untalented himself.

Read this trade as one of:
Tatar + Shaw
Tatar + Armia
Drouin + Shaw
Drouin + Armia

MTL

Additional Details:

The principle of this trade is to exchange Nuge for two wingers. Montreal is one team I know can afford to make such a deal involving established NHL players. You might get more "potential" in a package elsewhere, but the goal is to make the playoffs THIS SEASON and stop the festering in Edmonton.

EDM

Braun, Justin

Additional Details:

Braun is the most likely victim of the cap crunch and expendable if the Sharks are able to re-sign Karlsson.

SJS

Bear, Ethan
2019 2nd round pick (EDM)

Additional Details:

Sharks are low on RHD prospects and Bear should be about ready for the NHL full time.

EDM

*Can be any team.

ANA

Gagner, Sam ($1,575,000 retained)

EDM

*Can be any team.

ANA

Manning, Brandon

EDM

*Can be any team for picks.
Get what you can, but take whatever you can.

ANA

Russell, Kris

Buyouts

Benoit Pouliot: $1,333,333
Eric Gryba: $300,000

Retained Salary Transactions

Sam Gagner: $1,575,000 (55.56%)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2019
2020
2021

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
20	$83,000,000	$73,166,999	$0	$0	$9,833,001

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Tatar, Tomas $4,800,000$4,800,000 LW, RW UFA - 2	McDavid, Connor $12,500,000$12,500,000 C UFA - 7	UFA, Signing $8,000,000$8,000,000
Shaw, Andrew $3,900,000$3,900,000 C, RW UFA - 3	Draisaitl, Leon $8,500,000$8,500,000 C, LW UFA - 6	Puljujärvi, Jesse $950,000$950,000 RW UFA
Boedker, Mikkel $2,000,000$2,000,000 LW, RW UFA - 1
Khaira, Jujhar $950,000$950,000 LW, C UFA - 2	Brodziak, Kyle $1,150,000$1,150,000 C UFA - 1	Kassian, Zack $1,950,000$1,950,000 RW UFA - 1
	Cave, Colby $675,000$675,000 C RFA - 1	UFA, Signing $1,000,000$1,000,000

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Nurse, Darnell $3,200,000$3,200,000 LD UFA - 1	Braun, Justin $3,800,000$3,800,000 RD UFA - 1	Koskinen, Mikko $4,500,000$4,500,000 G M-NTC UFA - 3
Klefbom, Oscar $4,167,000$4,167,000 LD UFA - 4	Larsson, Adam $4,166,666$4,166,666 RD UFA - 2
UFA, Signing $1,000,000$1,000,000	Benning, Matthew $1,900,000$1,900,000 RD UFA - 1	Stolarz, Anthony $850,000$850,000 G UFA - 2

Apr. 25, 2019 at 7:28 p.m.

ConnorMcHellebucyk

Buljujarvi

Joined: Jul. 2018

Posts: 4,209

Likes: 2,552

Try Joel persson on that third pair

ricochetii liked this.

Apr. 25, 2019 at 7:33 p.m.

kingsfaninSD

Joined: May 2017

Posts: 1,170

Likes: 286

Ottawa will not retain salary to take on Lucic trade. Edmonton will either have to buy him out or add a lot more to take that contract.

Apr. 25, 2019 at 7:42 p.m.

ricochetii

Thread Starter

Go Habs Go

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 10,667

Likes: 4,091

Quoting: ConnorMcHellebucyk

Try Joel persson on that third pair

It's possible, but he'll have to earn a spot first. Unknown quantity at this point.

Quoting: kingsfaninSD

Ottawa will not retain salary to take on Lucic trade. Edmonton will either have to buy him out or add a lot more to take that contract.

Did you read, or was it not clear? The goal is for Lucic to go to Seattle. It's only costing Ottawa $1.5M extra to host him for 1 year.
Boedker's $2M retention (50%) is $1.5M actual dollars. Ottawa's portion of Lucic's salary is $3M (Oilers already paid him $3M signing bonus).
Ottawa's total salary paid is $4.5M and they would have been paying Boedker $3M, so the difference is $1.5M.
Not sure if that's clearer or more confusing.

ConnorMcHellebucyk and CD282 liked this.

Apr. 25, 2019 at 8:58 p.m.

Cdn_bacon

Joined: May 2015

Posts: 3,559

Likes: 611

You’re hired
-Bob Nicholson

ConnorMcHellebucyk liked this.

Apr. 25, 2019 at 9:04 p.m.

ConnorMcHellebucyk

Buljujarvi

Joined: Jul. 2018

Posts: 4,209

Likes: 2,552

Quoting: ricochetii

It's possible, but he'll have to earn a spot first. Unknown quantity at this point.

I agree but the oilers signed him to one year for a reason

ricochetii liked this.

Apr. 25, 2019 at 9:16 p.m.

brocklesnar

Best In The World

Joined: May 2018

Posts: 3,272

Likes: 658

Lucic is not waiving for Ottawa

Apr. 25, 2019 at 9:20 p.m.

ricochetii

Thread Starter

Go Habs Go

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 10,667

Likes: 4,091

Quoting: AH96

You’re hired
-Bob Nicholson

Not sure if sarcasm ...

Quoting: ConnorMcHellebucyk

I agree but the oilers signed him to one year for a reason

They'll definitely give him a shot. I wouldn't bank on it working out is all.

Quoting: brocklesnar

Lucic is not waiving for Ottawa

Technically he's waiving for Seattle.
Word seems to be that he'll waive for anywhere but Vancouver. He's no happier with himself than Edmonton and probably just wants out at this point. I believe it.

ConnorMcHellebucyk liked this.

Apr. 25, 2019 at 9:21 p.m.

Dwight_Schrute

Joined: Jun. 2018

Posts: 648

Likes: 196

Quoting: brocklesnar

Lucic is not waiving for Ottawa

I dont understand how you are so sure of this when it was widely reported last year he was willing to anywhere other than Vancouver.

CD282 and ConnorMcHellebucyk liked this.

Apr. 25, 2019 at 9:27 p.m.

brocklesnar

Best In The World

Joined: May 2018

Posts: 3,272

Likes: 658

Quoting: FlamesBlow

I dont understand how you are so sure of this when it was widely reported last year he was willing to anywhere other than Vancouver.

When did he say he won't play in Vancouver? Dallas, Edmonton, Montreal, Islanders, Vancouver were his top 5 destinations to sign. He signed with Edmonton 1)Play with Mcdavid 2)Get closer to his family 3)Prefers to play in the western conference

Apr. 25, 2019 at 9:45 p.m.

#10

ricochetii

Thread Starter

Go Habs Go

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 10,667

Likes: 4,091

Quoting: brocklesnar

He tried Edmonton and it didn't work. This isn't about where he chose to sign, but where he goes from here.

Did you miss the Bruins - Canucks series and the Lucic bar fight?

Quote:

Lucic told reporters in Boston on Monday. "Other than being at Rogers Arena, no one will ever see me in downtown Vancouver ever again."

Apr. 25, 2019 at 10:27 p.m.

#11

brocklesnar

Best In The World

Joined: May 2018

Posts: 3,272

Likes: 658

Quoting: ricochetii

He tried Edmonton and it didn't work. This isn't about where he chose to sign, but where he goes from here.

Did you miss the Bruins - Canucks series and the Lucic bar fight?

Quote:

Lucic told reporters in Boston on Monday. "Other than being at Rogers Arena, no one will ever see me in downtown Vancouver ever again."

“I am still – and always will be – proud to be from there. It is home. While the actions of a few individuals have deeply upset me and will impact the time I spend downtown going forward, I will not let those incidents diminish the love and pride I have for the city as a whole.” -Milan Lucic

"It's obviously something that's been a dream of mine since I've been a kid: To play in your hometown and play for the Canucks"-Milan Lucic

ricochetii liked this.

Apr. 25, 2019 at 11:20 p.m.

#12

ricochetii

Thread Starter

Go Habs Go

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 10,667

Likes: 4,091

Quoting: brocklesnar

I'm sure he's retracted or at least media played it, but you asked when he ever said anything like that.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 1:23 a.m.

#13

vols94

Joined: Jul. 2018

Posts: 4,202

Likes: 1,006

San Jose Accepts

ricochetii liked this.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 8:23 a.m.

#14

kingsfaninSD

Joined: May 2017

Posts: 1,170

Likes: 286

Quoting: ricochetii

It's possible, but he'll have to earn a spot first. Unknown quantity at this point.

Did you read, or was it not clear? The goal is for Lucic to go to Seattle. It's only costing Ottawa $1.5M extra to host him for 1 year.
Boedker's $2M retention (50%) is $1.5M actual dollars. Ottawa's portion of Lucic's salary is $3M (Oilers already paid him $3M signing bonus).
Ottawa's total salary paid is $4.5M and they would have been paying Boedker $3M, so the difference is $1.5M.
Not sure if that's clearer or more confusing.

Why would Ottawa trade for Lucic and then have to give a draft pick or two to Seattle to take on his contract? It's a lose lose situation for them. Boedker had almost twice as many points as Lucic on a bad team.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 9:23 a.m.

#15

ricochetii

Thread Starter

Go Habs Go

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 10,667

Likes: 4,091

Quoting: kingsfaninSD

The 1st round pick is worth more than what Ottawa is giving up. Potentially a lot more if Edmonton still manages to get a top 10 pick or win the lottery.

Forget everything else. In it's simplest form, this trade is a 1st round pick for a 2nd and a 3rd. I don't think any GM would turn that down.
If Boedker and Lucic both had a 1 year contract at $3M, most GMs would take Lucic. In this scenario, their contracts ARE equal. Each player earns $3M next season after Edmonton pays Lucic's signing bonus.
Everything to this point is in Ottawa's favor and an easy yes for any GM.
Ottawa retaining $1.5M is a non-factor. They have to spend to the cap anyway and this counts toward that.

That's why Ottawa does this.

Why Ottawa doesn't do this, is they don't think Seattle will take Lucic at that price.
Let's say Seattle demands a 1st instead. If Edmonton's pick is better than the one they give to Seattle, it's still an okay trade. Say Edmonton's is #20 and they give Seattle SJ's pick, which is #25. They've only gained 5 spots from the Lucic trade, but there are no negatives to the trade so it's still a net gain.

Ottawa only loses if Seattle refuses to take Lucic at all, which IS a possible outcome. In that case Ottawa simply took a 1st round pick for Lucic's contract. If Lucic plays well, it's a win-win. If he doesn't, Ottawa isn't in contending mode anyway and can afford to ride it out.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 9:28 a.m.

#16

ricochetii

Thread Starter

Go Habs Go

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 10,667

Likes: 4,091

Quoting: vols94

San Jose Accepts

Think that's about ballpark for Braun, or could he be had for less?

Apr. 26, 2019 at 8:27 p.m.

#17

vols94

Joined: Jul. 2018

Posts: 4,202

Likes: 1,006

Quoting: ricochetii

Think that's about ballpark for Braun, or could he be had for less?

Doug Wilson would drive him to the airport for Bear and a 2nd

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Apr. 26, 2019 at 9:16 p.m.

#18

ricochetii

Thread Starter

Go Habs Go

Joined: Mar. 2017

Posts: 10,667

Likes: 4,091

Quoting: vols94

Doug Wilson would drive him to the airport for Bear and a 2nd

Good to know. Not many obviously "available" RHD for trade right now. At least not many you'd want to trade for.

Apr. 27, 2019 at 8:11 p.m.

#19

vols94

Joined: Jul. 2018

Posts: 4,202

Likes: 1,006

Quoting: ricochetii

Good to know. Not many obviously "available" RHD for trade right now. At least not many you'd want to trade for.

Braun is the most obvious San Jose D to move in the summer and they will have to move one of them

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