Road to the Playoffs

Forums/Armchair-GM

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Created by: wi55em

Team: 2019-20 Montreal Canadiens

Initial Creation Date: Apr. 26, 2019

Published: Apr. 26, 2019

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

Bergevin has to be actif, and should definitely not "be comfortable using the same lineup as last year" he said... Some of his tasks shall be the following:

1. If Marner is not able to get signed by Toronto before RFA deadlines, Bergevin should force Toronto to overpay him by submitting an offer sheet of 12M$. Hopefully, Toronto matches the offer. They are in the same division.. if we wish to get into playoff and pass 1st round at least we need to make Dubas's life harder. If its not matched, then we at least have Marner in the lineup (it covers up the four 1st pick we will lose). My line up won't include the offer sheet as I hope Toronto matches it.

2. If it is possible, in order of preference, sign Panarin (12M$/7y) or Duchene (8M$/7y) or Simmonds (5M$/5y). (Either Talent, or brute force). My line up includes the signing of Panarin.

3. Armia, Lehkonen, Byron, Shaw, Hudon. All of these players have the same game style. It needs to change. At least two of them shall be replaced. In my line up, Armia and Hudon wont be resigned and will be traded for their rights.

4. Unfortunately, I do not have any f**** idea how the defense can improve. So I resigned same defence as last year. But Bergevin and his team has to find something interesting on the top 4 left side defense. It has to go through a trade (give away 1st pick or/and 2nd round pick at this point). If it works out, do not sign Jordie Benn.

5. I won't buyout Alzner this summer but the next one (maybe.. only if necessary). We have a lot of cap space, and it does not make sense to make more cap space if it won't be used. Buying out Weise or Alzner or both will just make their salary slowly fade out in more years than necessary. Plus, buying out Alzner this year would impact the 2020-2021 cap space badly !

Note: Signing Panarin is reaaallly the most important/courageous signing Bergevin should do. No more 3-4th line grinders. We need a goal scorer and a big playmaker.

Free Agent Signings

RESERVE LIST		YEARS	CAP HIT
Ikonen, Joni		3	$725,000

RFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Audette, Daniel	2	$950,000
Olofsson, Gustav	2	$950,000
Reilly, Mike	1	$950,000
Lehkonen, Artturi	3	$2,500,000
Kulak, Brett	2	$1,200,000

UFA		YEARS	CAP HIT
Panarin, Artemi		8	$12,000,000
Benn, Jordie		3	$1,200,000

CREATED		YEARS	CAP HIT
Belzile, Alex		2	$975,000

Trades

MTL

2019 4th round pick (NSH)

NSH

Armia, Joel [RFA Rights]

MTL

2020 4th round pick (EDM)

EDM

Hudon, Charles [RFA Rights]

Buyouts

Steve Mason: $1,366,667

Buried

Karl Alzner: $3,550,000 ($4,625,000)
Dale Weise: $1,275,000 ($2,350,000)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2019
2020
2021

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
23	$83,000,000	$82,943,809	$0	$3,525,000	$56,191

Roster

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Panarin, Artemi $12,000,000$12,000,000 LW UFA - 7	Danault, Phillip $3,083,333$3,083,333 C UFA - 2	Drouin, Jonathan $5,500,000$5,500,000 LW, RW UFA - 4
Domi, Max $3,150,000$3,150,000 C, RW UFA - 1	Kotkaniemi, Jesperi $925,000$925,000 ($2,500,000$2M) C UFA - 2	Gallagher, Brendan $3,750,000$3,750,000 RW, LW UFA - 2
Tatar, Tomas $4,800,000$4,800,000 LW, RW UFA - 2	Poehling, Ryan $925,000$925,000 ($850,000$850K) C, LW UFA - 2	Shaw, Andrew $3,900,000$3,900,000 C, RW UFA - 3
Byron, Paul $3,400,000$3,400,000 LW, RW UFA - 4	Thompson, Nate $1,000,000$1,000,000 C UFA - 1	Lehkonen, Artturi $2,500,000$2,500,000 LW, RW UFA - 2
Deslauriers, Nicolas $950,000$950,000 LW, RW UFA - 1	Peca, Matthew $1,300,000$1,300,000 LW, C UFA - 1

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Mete, Victor $748,333$748,333 LD/RD UFA - 1	Weber, Shea $7,857,143$7,857,143 RD UFA - 7	Price, Carey $10,500,000$10,500,000 G NMC UFA - 7
Kulak, Brett $1,200,000$1,200,000 LD/RD UFA - 3	Petry, Jeff $5,500,000$5,500,000 RD M-NTC, NMC UFA - 2	Lindgren, Charlie $750,000$750,000 G UFA - 2
Benn, Jordie $1,200,000$1,200,000 LD/RD UFA - 2	Juulsen, Noah $863,333$863,333 ($175,000$175K) RD UFA - 1
Reilly, Mike $950,000$950,000 LD UFA - 2

Special Teams

Power Play 1
Panarin, A.		Domi, M.		Kotkaniemi, J.
	Weber, S.		Drouin, J.

Power Play 2
Poehling, R.		Shaw, A.		Tatar, T.
	Petry, J.		Mete, V.

Penalty Kill 1
	Lehkonen, A.	Danault, P.
	Benn, J.	Weber, S.

Penalty Kill 2
	Byron, P.	Thompson, N.
	Kulak, B.	Petry, J.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 12:06 p.m.

csick

KFTW

Joined: Jul. 2018

Posts: 43,299

Likes: 24,131

Shouldn't have let Radulov walk

wi55em and CaptainFlynnt liked this.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 12:11 p.m.

MountRoyal514

Joined: May 2017

Posts: 796

Likes: 257

I think Armia gets more than a 4th.

CaptainFlynnt liked this.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 12:12 p.m.

wi55em

Thread Starter

Joined: Apr. 2019

Posts: 65

Likes: 23

Quoting: csick

Shouldn't have let Radulov walk

Definitely.. But he would have costed 7M$ at Montreal with taxes. A bit overpayed but the style he plays is exactly what Montreal needed.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 12:15 p.m.

wi55em

Thread Starter

Joined: Apr. 2019

Posts: 65

Likes: 23

Quoting: MountRoyal514

I think Armia gets more than a 4th.

The best we could get for Armia is a second round pick if someone makes an offer sheet (over 2M$). I don't think any team would give a 2nd round pick for Armia. So the realistically best is a 3rd round pick. I put 4 just for fun. Bergevin will deal with this in more details. Armia could be part of the trade I mentionned for a top 4 defenceman.

MountRoyal514 liked this.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 12:23 p.m.

Bcarlo25

Joined: May 2018

Posts: 21,231

Likes: 7,011

I think the road to the playoffs is a tough one for the habs. They're in such a tough division. They aren't finishing ahead of Boston, Tampa, or Toronto, so they're fighting for a wildcard spot. So they're going to have to finish ahead of two of Washington, Pittsburgh, NYI, Carolina, Columbus, and Florida, who I think will be much improved. That's just a tall order. It's likely that Boston and Tampa will take a step back in a couple years, and that should be Montreal's time to pounce.

wi55em liked this.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 12:27 p.m.

wi55em

Thread Starter

Joined: Apr. 2019

Posts: 65

Likes: 23

Quoting: Bcarlo25

Yea definitely. That's why Montreal has to force Panarin to come. The Flyers and the Sabres shall not be underestimated tho ! I won't be surprised if the top 16 of the league next year has 10 from the eastern conference.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 1:54 p.m.

CaptainFlynnt

Habs

Joined: Apr. 2016

Posts: 2,224

Likes: 384

Quoting: wi55em

You undervalue Armia. Big, 30+ points, very strong penalty killer. He gets over $2M easy.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 2:02 p.m.

CaptainFlynnt

Habs

Joined: Apr. 2016

Posts: 2,224

Likes: 384

1. No way MTL offersheets Marner. No one is giving up 4 1st round picks for anyone in this lottery format, and no one is offer sheeting a player just to piss off a rival GM.

2. Overpayment for Panarin.. I don't think he's worth the risk. Duchene would be a way better option if they can get him for what you say. Simmonds is not much better than armia at this point, so why give him that contract?

3. How do you think Armia 6'4" and Byron 5'9" have the same style? Are you serious?

4. MTL will have to trade for one. They have some assets but it would make the most sense for them to trade a top 6 winger (like Drouin) for one.

5. Very good call on not buying out Alzner. It shouldn't be an option this offseason.

P.S. the habs gotta bring weal back. A cheap bottom 6, powerplay and faceoff specialist is a better option while waiting for Suzuki, Ylonen, Ikonen, Poehling, KK, etc. To develop than overpaying for Panarin in my opinion. If the habs sign Panarin, these young guys aren't going to ever get an opportunity in 1-2 yrs and the habs will be stuck with Panarin's big contract when they need to resign their guys.

Apr. 26, 2019 at 2:25 p.m.

wi55em

Thread Starter

Joined: Apr. 2019

Posts: 65

Likes: 23

Quoting: CaptainFlynnt

1. I do understand that offer sheets are not in the sight of many GM (if not all). But we cannot leave Toronto signing big names and adding talent to their lineup. Bergevin has to see every team of its division as a threat and act upon it. I cannot see the Habs go to playoffs if they at least don't make it harder for other GMs to build theirs.

2. Panarin is way less risky than Duchene no doubt about it. 12M$ is a lot of money but that's what you need to get a player that is already (nearly) set to play with Florida (a direct contender with the habs).

3. They do not have the same style. I was wrong on that. But they are both typical 3rd liners that would cost around 3M$ each at their best. Byron is already at that price. I may undervalue Armia's importance but I think having both Lehkonen and Armia which are terrible finishers is bad for the kids that may be lined with these guys. Kotkaniemi could have finished the season with 45+ points if Lehkonen and Armia would have converted their chances into goals.

4. I think Drouin has a great potential. Of course, we do see how frustrating his game can be. I will still believe in him and keep him in the lineup.

I guess Bergevin read your post. Weal is coming back. He was definitely a great pickup at the trade deadline. I don't mind having him.. But again, that won't give the Canadiens a better chance to get into the playoffs in my opinion. Of course I may be wrong here. As I was when I predicted the habs would finish 3rd at the bottom of the eastern conference this year.

CaptainFlynnt liked this.

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