Quoting: Isles777
If Barzal puts up at least 70 pts this season he will end up getting around 9-10 mill AAV on a 6-7 year deal. That leaves at most 6 mill to lock up toews and pulock which is not enough. If toews has a big year with an increased role, he can get as much as 4.5-5 mill AAV and assuming pulock plays top pairing minutes, he will command between 6-6.5 mill AAV. That's more than 14 mill total.
Look, I love Barzal and the kid right now is the face of the Franchise, but he hasn't done nearly enough to warrant 10m coming off his ELC. He had a great year putting up 85 points his first year and won the Calder, but he was on an offense first team. Last year, when the team shifted to D he put up 62 points. Should he put up somewhere in between, I can see him coming in at 8-8.5m on an 8 year deal. Gotta remember Lou is our GM, he will shell out big bucks for Panarin (already an established scorer), but he's not going to give Barzal off his ELC that big of a raise. Here is what I predict for Barzal, Pulock and Toews...
Barzal: Either 8.8.5 or a bridge of 3x6.5... the bridge deal would allow the Leddy, Boychuk and Ladd contracts (assuming they aren't moved) to expire before Barzal cashes in big. The only way I see Barzal getting 10m is if someone offer sheets him, but I have a feeling Lou will get him locked up long before that becomes a possibility. The kid loves playing here and wants to do here, what JT was never able to do... win a Cup.
Pulock: 8x6 - He will get a Trouba-lite deal, same term, but less AAV... Unless of course he breaks out this year and puts up 50+ points.
Toews: 6x4 - This deal would be max assuming he has a solid first full season.
Lou has already stated (I can't remember where I saw/read this) that Barzal will get Term and AAV, while Pulock and Toews will get more term than AAV... I believe it was in an interview he did and it sounded like he had already talked with and had an idea of what these 3 guys were looking for.