Edited Jan. 10, 2020 at 10:36 a.m.
Quoting: BeastModeUnknown
Scorching hot take is when someone has an opinion without doing there research sir. Pietrangelo is an average defenseman, and looking at how Doughty and Karlsson's contracts turned out when they were 28 and 29, and Pietrangelo will be re-signed/signed at 30. Looks like it could be very much the same thing with Pietrangelo in decline.
I get the Karlsson/Doughty concerns, but there were big red flags for a few years before they signed those contracts that Doughty and Karlsson were going to have a rough go of it, and those red flags aren't there for Pietrangelo. Karlsson had been hurt in Ottawa, was hurt again in San Jose and then underperformed the rest of the season before being hurt yet again in the playoffs, and now is underperforming further. Karlsson relied heavily on his speed to cover his turnovers and create offense, and now that the injuries (and age, to a lesser extent) have taken that speed, he has the second highest giveaway rate among defenseman and looks like a shell of himself.
Doughty, meanwhile, has been overrated for years, and like the rest of the Kings in their cup days he was physical, using his body primarily to knock guys off the puck and outwork them. Obviously, it's harder to do that when you're in your thirties and have nothing to play for because your team is not good. There's an argument to be made that if Doughty had a better supporting cast he wouldn't be as bad as he is now.
Pietrangelo can use his body and isn't slow by any means, but is reliant on his decision-making ability, and while that was never going to earn him a Norris or Doughty/Karlsson level accolades when they were all in their prime, it's also not a physical quality that you can take away from him in his mid-thirties or earlier. It's why players like Shea Weber, Mark Giordano, and especially Joe Thornton were able to play at a high level in their mid thirties and beyond. Pietrangelo has also never been seriously injured thus far in his career (fingers crossed), so there's nothing that is going to catch up with him in his thirties in that regard. It also helps that we're talking about a contract for Pietrangelo that probably lands between 8.5-9.5 million and not between 11-11.5 million like the other two.
Pietrangelo will obviously decline as he gets into his thirties, but as this analysis from Dom shows, it likely won't be precipitous as he never dips below replacement value. He will likely have to take less responsibility as he ages, but I don't think that should be a deal breaker when we've got guys like Dunn and Parayko hopefully still around who can take over PPQBing and such.