Quoting: ZachArmel
Kerfoot's career shooting percentage is 11%, this year was actually lower than last year and his second lowest in his career. His points/60 at 5v5 were a career high for him, he's had 40+ points in 3 of his seasons, he played over 140 minutes on the pk and is a threat to score on the pk, he is fast and can play with elite players...
Individual shooting percentage and on ice shooting percentage are not the same thing. On-ice shooting percentage is how often the team scores when a player is on the ice and can help contextualize assist numbers. Individual shooting percentage only contexualizes goal numbers (which aren’t very good anyways).
Kerfoots career on ice shooting percentage average prior to this season is 8.48. If we assume perfect distribution between team goals scored while Kerfoot is in the ice and team goals that Kerfoot got a point on, he would have only got 37.54 points this year (we will round up to 38) based on 8.48 oniSh%. His most common linemate this year was John Tavares. 2nd most was Nylander.
While he did have a 51.9% xGF% this season 5v5, the leafs as a team had 55.19 xGF% 5v5. This means the team actually controlled play worse when he was on the ice compared to when he was on the bench.
If we look at his isolated impact from Evolving hockey, his xGF+/-/60 impact is -.091/60, meaning he actively hurt the leafs by 0.091 expected goals per 60 minutes. This is a tiny amount, so really we can only say with confidence based on this stat that Kerfoot doesn’t drive play.
TLDR, an NHL team interested in aquiring Kerfoot would be getting him as a complimentary player who, if he plays in the top 6, will probably get between 30-40 points assuming a normal shooting season and can pk pretty good.
Simply not at all what Vancouver needs