Post cup AVS - Kadri leaves and core set up for more - CapFriendly

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Post cup AVS - Kadri leaves and core set up for more

Created by: ltpppvvv

Team: 2022-23 Colorado Avalanche

Initial Creation Date: Jun. 20, 2022

Published: Jun. 20, 2022

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

TLDR; how to keep the core top 6 and top 4 for years to come and keep the strong forechecking with D support identity. And do not trade Girard.

It seems that Kuemper 5Mx4/5 Nichushkin 6Mx6 and Lekhonen 4Mx4/5 are considered fair deals.
Kadri and Burakovsky sadly have to leave, as there is no way to keep the D core together otherwise.
Pandemic screwed the Avs here. It seems the cap will rise by fixed amount of just 1M until 24/25, and then the expected jump is in the 5-6M range.
I think in the next 3 seasons keeping the core together should be prioritized until that cap jump. Below everything you will find, in my opinion, notable signings for the 2 seasons after the upcoming.

--Upcoming season's signings, apart from the 2 most important pieces, reflect that needed flexibility:
Stastny - 3.5Mx1 should be possible if he wants to come back
Sturm - 1.5-2Mx1 + Gudbranson - 1.75Mx2 combo
or Sturm - 1.5-2Mx2 + Dman up to 2-3Mx1
I would try to get Sturm on a one year prove it deal, if not possible then find a one year D.
Stastny replacements could be Johan Larsson, Blackwell or Aston-Reese - cheaper, less O more D and forecheck. One year D I don't know, could be Lyubushkin etc.

This way, next year up to 9M in cap space would be freed (dump or buyout MacDermid's last year for very late pick) for 23/24 season, and up to 3M for 24/25. That should be enough to keep these players. Top 6 and Top 4 D secured for many years, bottom 6 and bottom pair bridge until cap spike.

--Notable signings for next season 23/24:
MacK - 12Mx8 from EJ, Newhook 3.5Mx3 from JT, EJ minimum, JT leaves = 0 total change
Byram - 6Mx6 = 5M needed
Myers and Sedlak = 2-3M needed (on top of current salary) depending on how good they are
Total = 7-8M needed, maybe 9M with Sturm
--Notable for season 24-25:
Toews - 6-7Mx5 = 2-3M needed depending on if he keeps his current play, he will be 30
Francouz - 2Mx2 = 0 change
Total = 2-3M needed

AHL, minors extended etc.

Free Agent Signings

RFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Lehkonen, Artturi	5	$4,000,000
Aubé-Kubel, Nicolas	3	$1,200,000
Bowers, Shane	1	$925,000

UFA	YEARS	CAP HIT
Nichushkin, Valeri	6	$6,000,000
Kuemper, Darcy	4	$5,000,000
Stastny, Paul	1	$3,500,000
Gudbranson, Erik	2	$1,700,000
Sturm, Nico	1	$2,000,000

Trades

COL

LAK

MacDermid, Kurtis
2023 7th round pick (COL)

Additional Details:

Trade last contract year. Back to Kings, mentorship for young guys.

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2022
2023
2024

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
22	$82,500,001	$81,065,000	$25,000	$3,562,500	$1,435,001

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Landeskog, Gabriel $7,000,000$7,000,000 LW, C NMC UFA - 7	MacKinnon, Nathan $6,300,000$6,300,000 C NMC UFA - 1	Nichushkin, Valeri $6,000,000$6,000,000 RW, LW UFA - 8
Lehkonen, Artturi $4,000,000$4,000,000 LW, RW UFA - 5	Newhook, Alex $908,333$908,333 ($850,000$850K) C, LW RFA - 1	Rantanen, Mikko $9,250,000$9,250,000 RW, C UFA - 3
Compher, J.T. $3,500,000$3,500,000 C, RW UFA - 1	Stastny, Paul $3,500,000$3,500,000 C, LW UFA - 1	O'Connor, Logan $1,050,000$1,050,000 RW, LW UFA - 3
Sedlak, Lukas $800,000$800,000 C, LW, RW UFA - 1	Sturm, Nico $2,000,000$2,000,000 C UFA - 3	Aubé-Kubel, Nicolas $1,200,000$1,200,000 RW UFA - 1
Meyers, Ben $912,500$912,500 ($212,500$212K) LW, C UFA - 1	Bowers, Shane $925,000$925,000 C RFA - 1

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Toews, Devon $4,100,000$4,100,000 LD UFA - 2	Makar, Cale $9,000,000$9,000,000 RD UFA - 5	Kuemper, Darcy $5,000,000$5,000,000 G UFA - 5
Byram, Bowen $894,167$894,167 ($2,500,000$2M) LD/RD RFA - 1	Johnson, Erik $6,000,000$6,000,000 RD M-NTC, NMC UFA - 1	Francouz, Pavel $2,000,000$2,000,000 G UFA - 2
Girard, Samuel $5,000,000$5,000,000 LD/RD UFA - 5	Gudbranson, Erik $1,700,000$1,700,000 RD UFA - 4

Jun. 20, 2022 at 4:29 p.m.

UpsideDownQue

Joined: Aug. 2017

Posts: 8,440

Likes: 6,060

I don't agree with is the Sturm AAV. He should be closer to 1M, if not then go with Helm again or someone like him at 4C

I don't think Sakic will trade Macdermid right after extending him but that's a very minor move anyway so whatever

Aside from that this looks pretty good and is well thought out. Maybe add in a couple minor trades for prospect swaps (Kaut & Bowers?)

ltpppvvv liked this.

Jun. 20, 2022 at 4:34 p.m.

turtlemountain

Joined: Jun. 2015

Posts: 2,699

Likes: 3,017

The only thing MacDermid will be mentoring players on is how to fight and how to eat nachos in the press box for the playoffs.

Jun. 20, 2022 at 4:34 p.m.

ArakinSkywalker

Dr.

Joined: May 2019

Posts: 2,525

Likes: 1,446

seems like a waste to just let manson walk to sign an old stas and gudbranson. I think there will be enough money, sakic will figure it all out

Xqb15a liked this.

Jun. 20, 2022 at 4:56 p.m.

Xqb15a

Joined: Aug. 2020

Posts: 11,547

Likes: 9,166

Sakic will negotiate hard, I’d throw the Rust contract at Nichushkin that gets his AAV down to 5.25, Lehkonen I’d throw years on it to get him down to $3.5, Statsny if you can’t get him to come for $2M he isn’t coming for $3.5M, Sturm is overpaid by about a $1M get rid of Gudbranson and resign Manson.

ltpppvvv liked this.

Jun. 20, 2022 at 5:09 p.m.

ltpppvvv

Thread Starter

Joined: Jun. 2022

Posts: 5

Likes: 1

Quoting: UpsideDownQue

I agree on the Sturm AAV, and if Helm does not retire I too was impressed more by him these playoffs. I just thought since we traded Jost for Sturm that Sakic would give him year or two more.
I put trading MacDermid just as an option for 23/24 if Avs need a million more in cap space, but yeah, otherwise just keep him till the end.

And sadly I don't know much about other teams' prospects, but sure, I agree if it's not working here. Saw on some other post how Kaut's game is not really suitable for Bednar's system, so swapping them for fast and strong bottom 6 prospects maybe.

Quoting: ArakinSkywalker

seems like a waste to just let manson walk to sign an old stas and gudbranson. I think there will be enough money, sakic will figure it all out

I agree, but I think term will be the issue with him, this upcoming season I think the Avs could afford him for up to 4M, but later when Byram, Newhook, Toews and younger guys in bottom 6 I don't know how it will be possible. And since he is 30 I think he would like one more multiyear deal. I do hope Sakic figures something out cause he seems great partner to Girard.

Quoting: Xqb15a

Although yes, that could be one way to bring Manson back, save 1-1.5 M long term on Lehkonen and Nichushkin, and add it to Gudbransons 1.7, and almost there.

UpsideDownQue liked this.

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