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My odds for what NJD does with 2nd overall pick

Created by: NHLfan10506
Team: 2022-23 New Jersey Devils
Initial Creation Date: Jul. 2, 2022
Published: Jul. 2, 2022
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
My rough odds for what NJD is doing with 2nd overall pick. Used a combination of NHL historical data, betting odds and my own intuition to determine.

36% -- Keep pick and select Nemec
34% -- Keep pick and select Slafkovsky
12% -- Keep pick and select Cooley
8% -- Keep pick and select Wright
3% -- Trade down to 3/4 (example #1 below)
2% -- Keep pick and select Jiricek
1% -- Keep pick and select someone else
1% -- Trade down to 5-10 (example #2 below)
1% -- Trade out for winger (example #3 below)
1% -- Trade out for goalie (example #4 below)
>0% -- Trade up (example #5 below)

Overall, about 1-in-9 chance they trade the pick. About 1-in-40 chance they trade the pick for a player. And about 9-in-10 chance they keep the pick and make their selection.


EDIT ---

Summarizing table above:

95% -- Keep pick and make selection
4% -- Trade picks for primarily other picks
2% -- Trade picks for a player
Trades
1.
NJD
  1. 2022 1st round pick (ARI)
  2. 2022 2nd round pick (ARI)
ARI
    Example #1 (6%)
    2.
    NJD
    1. 2022 1st round pick (PHI)
    Additional Details:
    + Player/prospect
    PHI
      Example #2 (2%)
      3.
      CHI
        Example #3 (1%)
        4.
        WPG
          Example #4 (1%)
          5.
          NJD
          1. 2022 1st round pick (MTL)
          Additional Details:
          +picks/prospects
          MTL
            Example #5 (>0%)
            Buyouts
            Recapture Fees
            DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
            2022
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the ARI
            Logo of the PHI
            Logo of the MTL
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the ARI
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the EDM
            Logo of the NYI
            Logo of the CBJ
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            2023
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            2024
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            Logo of the NJD
            ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
            16$82,500,000$57,165,833$0$800,000$25,334,167
            Left WingCentreRight Wing
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $4,500,000$4,500,000
            LW, RW
            UFA - 1
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $8,000,000$8,000,000
            C
            UFA - 8
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $825,000$825,000
            RW
            UFA - 1
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $3,400,000$3,400,000
            LW, RW
            M-NTC
            UFA - 1
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $7,250,000$7,250,000
            C
            UFA - 5
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $2,000,000$2,000,000
            C, LW, RW
            UFA - 1
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $975,000$975,000
            C
            RFA - 1
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $1,825,000$1,825,000
            LW, C
            UFA - 1
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$400,000$400K)
            RW, C
            RFA - 2
            Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $3,166,667$3,166,667
            LD
            UFA - 1
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $9,000,000$9,000,000
            RD
            NMC
            UFA - 6
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $2,800,000$2,800,000
            G
            UFA - 1
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $1,125,000$1,125,000
            LD
            UFA - 1
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $4,166,666$4,166,666
            RD
            UFA - 1
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $4,125,000$4,125,000
            G
            UFA - 1
            Logo of the New Jersey Devils
            $863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$400,000$400K)
            LD/RD
            RFA - 1
            ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
            Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
            $6,166,667$6,166,667
            G
            UFA - 2
            Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
            $6,400,000$6,400,000
            LW, RW
            UFA - 1

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            Jul. 2, 2022 at 10:48 a.m.
            #1
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            #4 seems about right to me. Winnipeg might need to add a late 1st or early 2nd going back.
            Jul. 2, 2022 at 10:53 a.m.
            #2
            MisstheWhalers
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            Quoting: tonyhzs
            #4 seems about right to me. Winnipeg might need to add a late 1st or early 2nd going back.


            Chevy should totally do that if Fitzgerald was willing.
            tonyhzs liked this.
            Jul. 2, 2022 at 10:55 a.m.
            #3
            Daryl
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            I really think the 2nd pick for Hellebuyck is great for both side. NJ should probably compete soon and hellebuyck can get them into the playoffs. Jets can kick off their rebuild right and pick Cooley at 2
            MisstheWhalers liked this.
            Jul. 2, 2022 at 11:00 a.m.
            #4
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            Quoting: MisstheWhalers
            Chevy should totally do that if Fitzgerald was willing.


            Agreed. Start the rebuild in Winnipeg. The window is shut. Trade Schieffle. Gonna be stuck with Wheeler. Trade PLB. offload the D if possible. Keep Connor and Ellerslie unless a really good overpay comes back.
            MisstheWhalers liked this.
             
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