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Accelerating the accelerated rebuild with cap space

Created by: jonh514
Team: 2022-23 Montreal Canadiens
Initial Creation Date: Aug. 12, 2022
Published: Aug. 12, 2022
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
This post is predicated on the assumption that Price will never play again, and the Habs are using that space to accelerate the rebuild.

Holloway, Guhle, Barron, Niemela, Primeau and Pelletier all play in Laval next season to help the Rocket win the cup
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$2,500,000
3$950,000
Trades
1.
EDM
  1. Anderson, Josh ($2,750,000 retained)
Additional Details:
Oilers get a top 6 forward for the next 5 years at a significant discount. Habs retain 50% for 5 years because they believe in their ability to develop the players coming back into future top 6

Value is the best player right now + Cap relief now and for 4 more years
2.
MTL
  1. Holl, Justin
  2. Kerfoot, Alexander
  3. Niemelä, Topi
Additional Details:
Habs get Niemela as the prize in this deal, a RHD prospect with true NHL upside
Holl & Kerfoot are the 2 players I most often see the Leaf fans trying to cap dump, but I am open to other cap dump options
TOR
  1. Dadonov, Evgeni ($2,500,000 retained)
  2. Norlinder, Mattias
  3. Ylönen, Jesse
  4. 2023 4th round pick (VGK)
  5. 2023 4th round pick (PIT)
Additional Details:
Leafs get Dadonov at a discount to play in their top 6 (consistent 20+ goal scorer) who is not a defensive liability
Leafs get Ylonen who is NHL ready and can play bottom 6 (maybe top 6 upside, but I doubt it at this point)
Norlinder is a bit of a project since they lose organizational depth at D
Throwing in a few picks cause the Habs have too many future contracts in their organization as it is
3.
MTL
  1. Monahan, Sean
  2. Pelletier, Jakob
Additional Details:
Habs get Pelletier as a future top 6 they can develop
Habs take Monahan as a cap dump
CGY
  1. Dvorak, Christian
Additional Details:
Flames get an Elite #3 or decent #2 center on a good deal
Buyouts
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2023
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the FLA
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the CGY
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
2024
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the COL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the EDM
2025
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$82,500,000$73,226,666$1,132,500$4,857,500$9,273,334
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$950,000$950,000 (Performance Bonus$3,500,000$4M)
RW, LW
RFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$7,875,000$7,875,000
C
UFA - 8
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$880,833$880,833 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$5,500,000$5,500,000
LW, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$2,500,000$2,500,000
C, RW
RFA - 4
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$6,500,000$6,500,000
RW, LW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$3,500,000$3,500,000
LW, C, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,700,000$1,700,000
C
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$3,000,000$3,000,000
RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$4,500,000$4,500,000
LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,100,000$1,100,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,400,000$3,400,000
RW, LW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$750,000$750,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Calgary Flames
$6,375,000$6,375,000
C, LW, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$4,875,000$4,875,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,500,000$3,500,000
RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$875,000$875,000
LD/RD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$762,500$762,500
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$2,875,000$2,875,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$842,500$842,500 (Performance Bonus$507,500$508K)
LD/RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,000,000$2,000,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,000,000$1,000,000
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$750,000$750,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$10,500,000$10,500,000
G
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,400,000$3,400,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1

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Aug. 12, 2022 at 10:59 a.m.
#26
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HuGo is a Boss GM
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Quoting: CD282
You are a million miles from getting Holloway.

Puljujarvi > Anderson, you'd have to add Caufield in order to get Holloway. Good luck.


Thanks for wishing me good luck!
Aug. 12, 2022 at 11:02 a.m.
#27
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Quoting: yycofred
Dive into his metrics a little bit, he'd be an awful fit on the Flames, Calgary could use 6.375M of Monahan's cap space at the end of the year or be tied to a middling Dvorak for 3 more, hence the Flames don't make the move 1 for 1 in my mind.

Lebrun's quote about Pelletier in a Chiarot trade was "My feeling is that the Habs have a strong interest in Flames prospect Jakob Pelletier, drafted in the first round in 2019" A lot of fan blogs and posts say there was rumours but it was pretty clear from Treliving at the deadline that Pelletier has a future with Calgary. Never a real concrete rumour.


Fair enough. I don't put too much stock in rumours. I do believe of all the French Canadian players not in the NHL currently, Pelletier is #1 on the Habs wishlist. So at least that part of the rumour makes sense.
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Aug. 12, 2022 at 11:07 a.m.
#28
Leafs Sufferer
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Quoting: jonh514
It's always tough proposing TOR/MTL trades as I get evicerated no matter what. I tried to balance value for the win-now teams vs futures for the Habs that are fair.

Some fans over-value their prospects... The biggest asset right now in the NHL is cap space. There is no guarantee regarding Niemela but I really believe in him. Still a risk for the Habs as well.


I'd have to disagree with you on one thing, there isn't any risk for the Habs here.

Both Kerfoot and Holl are off the books as of next year, if they even make it that far. Both can be flipped as deadline acquisitions, essentially getting your 2 4th round picks back at the least.

MTL has internal prospects valued higher than Norlinder and Ylonen, plus they'd be getting a higher end prospect in Niemela. The risk is mostly in TOR's court, which they are gambling that Niemela doesn't turn into the top 4 RD they think he can be.

Seems I am kind of talking myself out of this deal. I don't mind TOR taking the gamble and moving a higher end prospect, but only to make a significant upgrade to the current roster. This situation is more about saving cap space than adding something valuable to the roster.
Aug. 12, 2022 at 11:09 a.m.
#29
ginger
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Quoting: jonh514
Isn't Knies top prospect followed by Robertson and Sandin?


Sandin isn’t really a prospect anymore, Leaf’s top 2 prospects is knies and Niemela. Robertson hasn’t really proven himself yet
Aug. 12, 2022 at 11:12 a.m.
#30
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Quoting: Ritzy
I'd have to disagree with you on one thing, there isn't any risk for the Habs here.

Both Kerfoot and Holl are off the books as of next year, if they even make it that far. Both can be flipped as deadline acquisitions, essentially getting your 2 4th round picks back at the least.

MTL has internal prospects valued higher than Norlinder and Ylonen, plus they'd be getting a higher end prospect in Niemela. The risk is mostly in TOR's court, which they are gambling that Niemela doesn't turn into the top 4 RD they think he can be.

Seems I am kind of talking myself out of this deal. I don't mind TOR taking the gamble and moving a higher end prospect, but only to make a significant upgrade to the current roster. This situation is more about saving cap space than adding something valuable to the roster.


I know Toronto has been MUCH better than the Habs at development in the past decade if not more. That being said, Norlinder was considered to be a top 4 prospect 2 years ago, and his game did not transfer to the North American smaller ice very well. There is always risk with players 2-3 years out.

Ylonen can help the leafs as well for a few years, but I agree the value is not Dadonov, but cap-savings so you can do things like retain Sandin. I am open to any cap dumps, not specifically those 2 players. I am looking to make a deal here!
Aug. 12, 2022 at 11:13 a.m.
#31
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Quoting: NR1
Sandin isn’t really a prospect anymore, Leaf’s top 2 prospects is knies and Niemela. Robertson hasn’t really proven himself yet


Sorry sir. I was going off these articles written by smarter hockey people than me:

https://thehockeywriters.com/maple-leafs-top-10-prospects-2022-23/
https://theleafsnation.com/2022/06/25/the-current-state-of-the-leafs-prospect-pool-heading-into-the-entry-draft/
Aug. 12, 2022 at 11:23 a.m.
#32
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Quoting: jonh514
Even if that were true, great 3rd liners make a lot more than 2.75M don't they?

The player I really want in the deal is Holloway. I would gladly swap Pulj for Foegele if that gets the deal done.


we don't have to give up holloway for andersen in any deal. Very overrated player to give up our top prospect for. pass everyday of the week.
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Aug. 12, 2022 at 11:31 a.m.
#33
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Quoting: gary_gobbler
we don't have to give up holloway for andersen in any deal. Very overrated player to give up our top prospect for. pass everyday of the week.


Alright sir. Thanks for sharing your perspective!
Aug. 12, 2022 at 11:33 a.m.
#34
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Quoting: jonh514
Alright sir. Thanks for sharing your perspective!


no problem, whole point of armchair gm'ssmile
Aug. 12, 2022 at 11:39 a.m.
#35
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Quoting: jonh514
I know Toronto has been MUCH better than the Habs at development in the past decade if not more. That being said, Norlinder was considered to be a top 4 prospect 2 years ago, and his game did not transfer to the North American smaller ice very well. There is always risk with players 2-3 years out.

Ylonen can help the leafs as well for a few years, but I agree the value is not Dadonov, but cap-savings so you can do things like retain Sandin. I am open to any cap dumps, not specifically those 2 players. I am looking to make a deal here!


I think I misunderstood what you meant by taking a risk. I assumed you meant about the trade, but it appears as though you meant risk in drafting.

In any case, I think Id rather yank out all the prospects, have Kerfoot + Holl for Dadanov half retained and TOR adds pick(s) to compensate.
Aug. 12, 2022 at 11:40 a.m.
#36
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Quoting: rext7177
Hard no from edmonton, Anderson is overrated, and is a prime candidate for a steep regression


A hard no from Edmonton is an understatement.

Poolboy still has a ceiling, and produces almost as much as Anderson and Holloway is projected to be a legit top 6. In two years, Edmonton had the privilege of having the worst player in the deal lol.
Aug. 12, 2022 at 11:42 a.m.
#37
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Laughably bad for Calgary. Pelletier has far more value than Dvorak alone. Healthy Monahan for Dvorak is a side grade for some unneeded cap relief for only 1 year
Aug. 12, 2022 at 11:57 a.m.
#38
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Quoting: Ritzy
I think I misunderstood what you meant by taking a risk. I assumed you meant about the trade, but it appears as though you meant risk in drafting.

In any case, I think Id rather yank out all the prospects, have Kerfoot + Holl for Dadanov half retained and TOR adds pick(s) to compensate.


Ah. Don't think the Habs go for that. The goal is to look for prospects who will be truly NHL-ready in 0-3 years. I think anyone drafted after the top 32 in 2023 will be minimum 4 years away. Habs don't really care for who is on the team this year or next. They are looking to compete in 2024-25.

Thanks for thinking about it anyways! Nice to interface with a Leafs fan who does not think all Habs fans are nuts... I really want a Canadian team to win the cup, and the Leafs, Oilers, and Flames are closest.
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Aug. 12, 2022 at 12:00 p.m.
#39
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
Laughably bad for Calgary. Pelletier has far more value than Dvorak alone. Healthy Monahan for Dvorak is a side grade for some unneeded cap relief for only 1 year


Thanks for your response. I was looking at Monahan as a cap/salary dump. I did not realize he will play. I was mostly looking at Dvorak (as a need filled with Monahan out) against Pelletier. Good value for the Habs for sure but Dvorak is ahead of Pelletier today (though Pelletier will probably pass him in value in a few years).

Not looking to offend anyone here (though I seem to be offending everyone!)
Aug. 12, 2022 at 12:04 p.m.
#40
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Quoting: rext7177
Hard no from edmonton, Anderson is overrated, and is a prime candidate for a steep regression


At 50% retained?? That's sweet! I take that deal. Imagine a big strong fast first line of:
Kane - McDavid - Anderson

That is built for playoffs.
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Aug. 12, 2022 at 1:00 p.m.
#41
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Quoting: jonh514
Thanks for your response. I was looking at Monahan as a cap/salary dump. I did not realize he will play. I was mostly looking at Dvorak (as a need filled with Monahan out) against Pelletier. Good value for the Habs for sure but Dvorak is ahead of Pelletier today (though Pelletier will probably pass him in value in a few years).

Not looking to offend anyone here (though I seem to be offending everyone!)


If Monahan could not play a replacement for dirt cheap in Kerfoot (who is as good or better than Dvorak) could be acquired instead. Calgary ideally wants to move Backlund to 3C, not acquiring an inferior 3C with term to prevent that.

As for Pelletier's value, it is not far off of Caufield's. I would say Caufield certainly has more value than Dvorak
Aug. 12, 2022 at 1:36 p.m.
#42
Wolf.for.Vezina
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Flames reject, Pelts will be better than Dvorak
Aug. 12, 2022 at 1:50 p.m.
#43
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
If Monahan could not play a replacement for dirt cheap in Kerfoot (who is as good or better than Dvorak) could be acquired instead. Calgary ideally wants to move Backlund to 3C, not acquiring an inferior 3C with term to prevent that.

As for Pelletier's value, it is not far off of Caufield's. I would say Caufield certainly has more value than Dvorak


That valuation is offensive. In any case, good luck with your season!
 
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