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Forums/Armchair-GM

Otherside of the Liljegren Trade

Created by: Random2152
Team: 2023-24 Vancouver Canucks
Initial Creation Date: Jun. 9, 2023
Published: Jun. 9, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Just looking at what the other side of this is - and if it could work for Vancouver cap wise
https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/721928?post_id=4154333

Value was determined by a few things:

Garland is worthless and maybe even has negative value from all reports - most recently by Servo.

Liljegren has a similar value to Sandin - a little more because he is RHD.

28 overall + 25th overall (estimated pick value of Lily) is valuable enough to get 9th overall and 140th overall according to Dom L's pick value chart.

You get it for a cap dump and 11th overall
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$2,649,998
1$900,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
4$3,000,000
Trades
VAN
  1. Liljegren, Timothy
  2. 2023 1st round pick (BOS)
TOR
  1. Garland, Conor
  2. 2023 1st round pick (VAN)
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2023
Logo of the BOS
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the DET
Logo of the NYR
Logo of the VAN
2024
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
2025
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the VAN
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$83,500,000$78,028,192$850,000$962,500$5,471,808
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$5,500,000$5,500,000
LW, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$7,350,000$7,350,000
C, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$6,650,000$6,650,000
RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$4,750,000$4,750,000
LW, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$8,000,000$8,000,000
C, LW, RW
NMC
UFA - 7
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$4,150,000$4,150,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RW, LW
RFA - 1
$3,000,000$3,000,000
C, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$833,333$833,333 (Performance Bonus$82,500$82K)
RW
RFA - 3
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$825,000$825,000
LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$883,750$883,750
C
RFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$762,500$762,500
RW, C
RFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$7,850,000$7,850,000
LD
UFA - 4
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$4,400,000$4,400,000
RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$5,000,000$5,000,000
G
UFA - 3
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$900,000$900,000
LD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$1,400,000$1,400,000
RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$786,111$786,111 (Performance Bonus$30,000$30K)
G
RFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$2,250,000$2,250,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$6,000,000$6,000,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$775,000$775,000
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$2,649,998$2,649,998
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$3,250,000$3,250,000
LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$762,500$762,500
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$2,500,000$2,500,000
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$775,000$775,000
LW
UFA - 2

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Jun. 9, 2023 at 11:40 p.m.
#1
Judd Bracket ripoff
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I guess
Jun. 9, 2023 at 11:41 p.m.
#2
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Personally I love this move for both teams, creative thinking
Jun. 9, 2023 at 11:48 p.m.
#3
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Just Keep Swimming
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Quoting: The_Rocket
I guess


NGL, this is probably the biggest indicator that a trade is a good on on CF lmao
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Jun. 10, 2023 at 12:10 a.m.
#4
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Value is super fair for both teams. I just don't think Garland is what the Leafs need. But it would be hard to turn down the 11th overall pick. I really like Lily.

You could sell me on this trade though.

Mikheyev and Van 1st for Lily and Boston 1st and I instantly agree. I miss Mikheyev!
Jun. 10, 2023 at 12:21 a.m.
#5
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Quoting: TMLBRIAN
Value is super fair for both teams. I just don't think Garland is what the Leafs need. But it would be hard to turn down the 11th overall pick. I really like Lily.

You could sell me on this trade though.

Mikheyev and Van 1st for Lily and Boston 1st and I instantly agree. I miss Mikheyev!


Miky doesn't look the same.
Something is off with him - no thankyou.
And I really want to draft Moore. I think he goes in the 11-15 range and this gets us to the front of the line in that respect. Thats an extraordinarily fast 2-way centre who can come in as a 3C in 2025 and eventually be a 2C behind Matthews.
Jun. 10, 2023 at 12:46 a.m.
#6
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I love Liljegren, not a chance VAN does this
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Jun. 10, 2023 at 12:48 a.m.
#7
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Quoting: Warpbox
I love Liljegren, not a chance VAN does this


proper value, makes sense with your timeline and is a position of desperate need at a low $$ cost - all while dumping a contract that you haven't been able to give away?
Colour me doubtful that the no comes from VAN
Jun. 10, 2023 at 12:51 a.m.
#8
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Quoting: Random2152
proper value, makes sense with your timeline and is a position of desperate need at a low $$ cost - all while dumping a contract that you haven't been able to give away?
Colour me doubtful that the no comes from VAN


Proper value if it was another draft year. Liljegren would be great but VAN can't trade away more picks. This team needs a Moore or Reinbacher or whoever is available at 11 much more then they need Liljegren.

Let's be real here, if Hirose is our second pair Dman, we probably aren't contending at the moment
Jun. 10, 2023 at 12:55 a.m.
#9
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Quoting: Warpbox
Let's be real here, if Hirose is our second pair Dman, we probably aren't contending at the moment


You are more than welcome to tell that to your owner - but they very clearly think they are
Jun. 10, 2023 at 12:57 a.m.
#10
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Quoting: Random2152
You are more than welcome to tell that to your owner - but they very clearly think they are


They moved Horvat. They acquired Hronek afterwards sure, but let's not act like the Canucks are going all in
Jun. 10, 2023 at 12:59 a.m.
#11
Big Shoots
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Quoting: Random2152
proper value, makes sense with your timeline and is a position of desperate need at a low $$ cost - all while dumping a contract that you haven't been able to give away?
Colour me doubtful that the no comes from VAN


What do we think Liljegren's value is straight up? He has decent underlying numbers in a sheltered role, has only really played 3rd pair and was sat for the entire playoffs.

For me Garland is at worst an even asset. Can be traded without adding anything of real value. Add the 11th to that.

I think that is pretty bad for Van and I am a Liljegren fan.
Jun. 10, 2023 at 1:44 a.m.
#12
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Quoting: Warpbox
They moved Horvat. They acquired Hronek afterwards sure, but let's not act like the Canucks are going all in


I'm not sure how you don't see what they're doing. Is it some kind of protective denial so you don't go insane or what?
Jun. 10, 2023 at 1:45 a.m.
#13
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Quoting: BigShoots
What do we think Liljegren's value is straight up? He has decent underlying numbers in a sheltered role, has only really played 3rd pair and was sat for the entire playoffs.

For me Garland is at worst an even asset. Can be traded without adding anything of real value. Add the 11th to that.

I think that is pretty bad for Van and I am a Liljegren fan.


I literally list Lily's value in the desc you didn't read. Which also answers your wrong Garland opinion too.
Jun. 10, 2023 at 9:52 a.m.
#14
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Quoting: Random2152
I'm not sure how you don't see what they're doing. Is it some kind of protective denial so you don't go insane or what?


Obviously they're trying to be competitive now but they didn't trade their first last year and I doubt they trade it now. You know who is trying to win now though, the Maple Leafs
Jun. 10, 2023 at 12:22 p.m.
#15
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Quoting: Warpbox
Obviously they're trying to be competitive now but they didn't trade their first last year and I doubt they trade it now. You know who is trying to win now though, the Maple Leafs


Yup, and we have a glut of RHD both NHL ready and in the system, so we move one to make space and extract value for elsewhere
Jun. 10, 2023 at 1:57 p.m.
#16
Big Shoots
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Quoting: Random2152
I literally list Lily's value in the desc you didn't read. Which also answers your wrong Garland opinion too.


If the Canucks weren't needing to clear space Garland wouldn't be a negative asset. If you love Dom's model just go look at his output there. He's worth his contract. It's just teams aren't offering anything to the Canucks right now because they don't have to. If you can explain why he's a negative asset based on his production I'm all ears.

But I'll put it to you like this. What do you hope you are getting with a late 1st? If you draft a winger you hope they're middle six in 3 yrs. Garland is already that.
Jun. 10, 2023 at 2:36 p.m.
#17
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Quoting: BigShoots
If the Canucks weren't needing to clear space Garland wouldn't be a negative asset. If you love Dom's model just go look at his output there. He's worth his contract. It's just teams aren't offering anything to the Canucks right now because they don't have to. If you can explain why he's a negative asset based on his production I'm all ears.

But I'll put it to you like this. What do you hope you are getting with a late 1st? If you draft a winger you hope they're middle six in 3 yrs. Garland is already that.


Buddy doesn't know that trade value != intrinsic value lmao
Jun. 10, 2023 at 2:40 p.m.
#18
Big Shoots
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Quoting: Random2152
Buddy doesn't know that trade value != intrinsic value lmao


You can snark all you want but trade value doesn't mean anything unless there is a trade. Outside of that its speculation. Have you noticed that Garland wasn't moved after that report? I wonder why? Any guesses?
Jun. 10, 2023 at 3:04 p.m.
#19
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Quoting: BigShoots
You can snark all you want but trade value doesn't mean anything unless there is a trade. Outside of that its speculation. Have you noticed that Garland wasn't moved after that report? I wonder why? Any guesses?


This is insane amounts of copium.
Jun. 10, 2023 at 3:51 p.m.
#20
Big Shoots
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Quoting: Random2152
This is insane amounts of copium.


Haha nothing to say hey. I love it.

According to reports every Canucks player has negative value. hmm I wonder why?
Jun. 10, 2023 at 3:55 p.m.
#21
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Quoting: BigShoots
Haha nothing to say hey. I love it.

According to reports every Canucks player has negative value. hmm I wonder why?


Probably has something to do with the fact that your players are chronically overpaid and also bad.

It will be fun watching you melt down when you inevitably trade these guys for nothing (at best)
Jun. 10, 2023 at 4:06 p.m.
#22
Big Shoots
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Quoting: Random2152
Probably has something to do with the fact that your players are chronically overpaid and also bad.

It will be fun watching you melt down when you inevitably trade these guys for nothing (at best)


Well you mentioned trade value vs intrinsic value and now you've gone and put your foot in your mouth with this response.

I'm fine with moving players with picks if they're actually bad ie Myers, OEL but when they're actually good Boeser, Beauvillier, Garland I think it's an obvious game of chicken happening with teams thinking the Canucks might be willing to lose a trade to gain cap space.

But again if you want to explain to me why Garland is a negative asset besides the fact the Canucks might prefer to have a few million in cap space Im all ears. Cause if it costs to move Garland why not just keep him and pay to sell Myers?
 
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