Quoting: fangm
Using sv%.
And you are saying it's a middle ground then also stating that they are likely still behind Buffalo and Ottawa. So who are they better than? Toronto? Tampa? Boston? Florida?. Maybe Montreal. The odds of them making the playoffs are ridiculously low and odds makers are always way off on hockey. Vegas had and still today has horribly low odds of winning. Toronto and Edmonton are always top 3/4 but never go far.
I have no idea how you are filtering the goalies to come up with bottom 5% - like I’m sure there’s a way if you just delete most of the ones below them…
Hey mate, you gotta actually play the hockey season to see who is better than who. One argument was that Detroit smokes Buff/Ott bc of depth. The other argument was that Detroit has a better chance of finishing last than making playoffs, lmfao. Anyways, I think Detroit will place above Montreal in the standings, one of Buffalo or Ottawa, and maybe Boston. My opinion is a fringe playoff team. I’m not going to use extremely insane and actually wrong in to your case, ‘facts’ and analysis. Instead I’m just pointing out that both your arguments are insane. But you asked who they might finish ahead of, there is my answer.
And ok, if the bookies are terrible at setting markets in hockey, you must make a killing because you are so smart? Like f**k dude who do you think you are. Vegas was pretty close to always in top 5 shortest odds down the stretch last year. Right now they are 6th shortest but it’s marginally longer than the teams shorter than them. It’s not easy to repeat anyways but please tell me how you would set the market right now? Let’s not forget that bookies will shorten odds on teams that are heavily bet, aka Toronto, to minimize their exposure. Oh ya, and Edmonton? Easily gave Vegas the best run of anyone in last playoffs. They near undoubtedly were the 2nd best team and would have won had it not been for Vegas.
You can make 33 cents on your dollar for Detroit missing the playoffs right now. That’s a lot better f*cking value than any bank will give you so go do it then pal. But let’s circle back around to what the ACTUAL argument was and what my point was. You’re telling me that Detroit has a higher likelihood of dead last, than of making the playoffs. My point - just look at the odds, they don’t agree, I don’t agree, no one else would agree with that ludicracy. But if you’re so sure, go make some coin off it