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2006 Lowe Deadline in 2024

Created by: smokewiseganja
Team: 2023-24 Edmonton Oilers
Initial Creation Date: Dec. 17, 2023
Published: Dec. 17, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
In 2006, the Oilers added Chris Pronger, Roloson, and Samsonov. All 3 pieces were absolutely crucial in their cup run, and plugged various holes in the roster. That team wasn't a playoff team prior to acquiring those guys.

These oilers are significantly better -- Moneypuck has them rated 1st in xG% all situations, and 5v5, by solid margins. One could easily argue that an average goalie would propel them to top 5 in the standings, and an even better goalie would make them real killers.

Let's extrapolate those moves made in 2005 and 2006 (Pronger was in the off season, not the deadline) into 2024. We'd be looking at a move for:
- A 1A goalie
- A top 4 D (no pronger-esque D man is available)
- A 2nd line winger

Ironically, that fits exactly what the Oilers need today. So do we think it's realistic in a cap world for all 3 of these moves to get done? The Jackets did it with essentially the same amount of picks/prospects available to them. If Ken Holland is truly all in, it's possible.
Trades
1.
EDM
  1. Duclair, Anthony ($1,500,000 retained)
  2. 2025 4th round pick (WPG)
SJS
  1. Brown, Connor
  2. 2024 2nd round pick (EDM)
2.
EDM
  1. Varlamov, Semyon
  2. 2024 5th round pick (NYI)
NYI
  1. Bourgault, Xavier
  2. Campbell, Jack ($1,250,000 retained)
  3. 2024 1st round pick (EDM)
  4. 2025 3rd round pick (EDM)
3.
EDM
  1. Tanev, Christopher ($1,250,000 retained)
  2. 2024 4th round pick (CGY)
  3. 2026 7th round pick (CGY)
CGY
  1. Broberg, Philip
  2. Ceci, Cody
  3. 2026 2nd round pick (EDM)
Buyouts
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2024
Logo of the CGY
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the NYI
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the NSH
2025
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the WPG
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
2026
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the CGY
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
21$83,500,000$79,411,667$850,000$650,000$4,088,333
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$5,125,000$5,125,000
LW, C
NMC
UFA - 6
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$12,500,000$12,500,000
C
NMC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$5,500,000$5,500,000
RW, LW
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$5,125,000$5,125,000
LW, RW
NMC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$8,500,000$8,500,000
C, LW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 2
Logo of the San Jose Sharks
$1,500,000$1,500,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,750,000$2,750,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,100,000$2,100,000
C
RFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$650,000$650K)
LW, C
RFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,000,000$1,000,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$900,000$900,000
C, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$807,500$807,500
RW, C
RFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$775,000$775,000
RW, C
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$9,250,000$9,250,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 7
Logo of the Calgary Flames
-$125,000-$125,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the New York Islanders
$2,750,000$2,750,000
G
NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$6,000,000$6,000,000
LD/RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$3,900,000$3,900,000
RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,600,000$2,600,000
G
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,750,000$2,750,000
LD/RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$762,500$762,500
RD
UFA - 1

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Dec. 17, 2023 at 7:53 p.m.
#1
Josh Anderson Sucks
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Islanders arent selling this TDL, we are actually good rn. Idk whats happening but we look great most of the time
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Dec. 17, 2023 at 7:54 p.m.
#2
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I highly doubt Lou trades Varlamov especially at the deadline. I wouldn’t mind the package but there’s no shot we’d take Campbell back
Dec. 17, 2023 at 7:55 p.m.
#3
Thread Starter
Smokewise Ganja
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Quoting: Kyle_Okposo_Lover
Islanders arent selling this TDL, we are actually good rn. Idk whats happening but we look great most of the time


I wouldn't say this is really a selling move though. Sorokin can play 75% of the games... A team desperate for a goalie would totally pay a ton for Samsonov, who is way better than a backup. You're downgrading the backup goalie, taking on cap, and getting a ton of picks back which you could just turn around and use on a rental
Kyle_Okposo_Lover liked this.
Dec. 17, 2023 at 7:58 p.m.
#4
tasieboy
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Joined: Dec. 2021
Posts: 181
Likes: 65
Didn't the oilers try to trade for Varlamov in 2022 and he wouldn't waive?
Dec. 17, 2023 at 8:00 p.m.
#5
Thread Starter
Smokewise Ganja
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Likes: 306
Quoting: tasieboy
Didn't the oilers try to trade for Varlamov in 2022 and he wouldn't waive?


That was Toronto, and he doesn't have a full NTC anymore. Very likely all Canadian teams are on there tho
Dec. 17, 2023 at 8:01 p.m.
#6
Josh Anderson Sucks
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Joined: Feb. 2022
Posts: 4,836
Likes: 2,022
Quoting: smokewiseganja
I wouldn't say this is really a selling move though. Sorokin can play 75% of the games... A team desperate for a goalie would totally pay a ton for Samsonov, who is way better than a backup. You're downgrading the backup goalie, taking on cap, and getting a ton of picks back which you could just turn around and use on a rental


If the islanders flip Bourgault + 3rd for a backup while also dumping Campbell ill take it. I just dont want Campbell on the books
Dec. 17, 2023 at 8:14 p.m.
#7
tasieboy
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Joined: Dec. 2021
Posts: 181
Likes: 65
Quoting: smokewiseganja
That was Toronto, and he doesn't have a full NTC anymore. Very likely all Canadian teams are on there tho


https://oilersnation.com/news/apparently-semyon-varlamov-wont-waive-his-no-trade-clause-for-the-edmonton-oilers Varlamov wouldn't wave for Edmonton and he does have a full NTC the next two years of his contract.
Dec. 17, 2023 at 8:28 p.m.
#8
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On the sharks deal no retention I’d be ok white that, with retention you lose the 4th going back.
Dec. 17, 2023 at 8:40 p.m.
#9
we miss leo k
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-Sharks wouldn't be sending back a pick here - Duclair has shown he can play well with good linemates and has been one of the only scoring threats on a bad Sharks team this year. Even based on his current 35ish point pace, I think he would get back more than a mid/late 2nd rounder with full retention on his own, without the Sharks needing to have to include additional draft capital.

-It's been said upthread, but Varlamov has a full NTC and has already been rumored to have nixed a trade to Edmonton in the past. I'd also argue that taking on the 4x$3.75M left on Jack Campbell's contract is a heavy burden to add into the trade - the Isles take on the same term for a backup goalie, except he costs them $1M more and has a much worse track record. Bourgault is 21 and not really forcing himself out of the AHL currently, and the 1st will most likely be in the 17-25 range. I don't know what the cost of dumping Campbell would realistically cost, but I don't think there's enough value here even if you look past the fact that Varlamov isn't likely to go anywhere.

-I think the Flames pass here. It'll be easier for them to flip out Tanev at the deadling with 50% retention and get a solid return without having to take on extra term and salary - if this was Ceci's walk year, I would look at it a little differently, but if I'm Calgary I don't love taking on an extra year of an over-30 dman with a $3.25M hit (plus giving up a 4th & a 7th?) just to get Broberg and a 2nd rounder three drafts away.
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