Edited Dec. 28, 2023 at 1:39 a.m.
Quoting: Celtics21
I get that’s your opinion. Mine is by going cheap in your acquisition cost, you essentially have given a larger contract to a goaltender in Vanacek who frankly is not that differentiated from Keith Kincaid.
Despite all the talent with position players, the Devils are underachieving and there is discussion of firing a good coach because of it (I hope that’s just stupidity of a few).
You have this belief of “above replacement value”, but frankly I think you (like most fans) overrate the young prospects ability to get to a 100% level.
It’s a great conceptual basis to build most of your roster on above replacement value, but the Devils are a poster child of a talented as heck team that is underachieving because they didn’t invest in a goaltender.
The reason most of your goaltender based deals get utterly crapped on by other teams fans is they see why your team is struggling and know what they have, while you try to rationalize by pointing to old players getting less in return or cap based casualties as justification.
The best thing about trades is the majority of the answers to the trade requests are a polite “no thank you”.
Vanacek wasn’t a bargain bin get. He was a legit 25 year old starter who cost a 2nd, was good in year 1 then crapped out this 2nd year. We didn’t pick up Samsonov who went unqualified. He was a middle of the road get, which is what I want to avoid again. I view Ullmark as a middle of the road get who has had playoff disasters just like vitek. He doesn’t inspire confidence as a guy who can come into the devils system and lead us to a cup imo. That’s just my view.
Fans have a skewed view of goaltender value bc they all value their goalie based on whatever timeline fits best. If a goalie is having a good season that’s his new normal and will stay like that for years, if a goalie is having a down year that’s an aberration and won’t last. If a goalie is older they’ll defy history and stay in their prime.
But every goalie trade ever in the salary cap era points me in a certain direction, Kuemper, Martin Jones, Freddy Andersen, Schneider, Luongo, Bishop, Miller, varlamov, fleury, etc etc.
What is there to give me an indication that the goalie market has significantly changed to be more expensive?
-Contracts? Nope, the new Helle and Sorokin deals are a step DOWN from the old price Bob and vasy deals, while every other top tier contract goes UP. (Matthews, Mack, Dahlin etc etc)
-draft capital? Nope, goalies just keep getting drafted later and later. Becoming the running backs of hockey.
Why would I believe the goalie market is going up when every piece of evidence says it’s going down?
Sure a certain goalie may be unavailable, but 20 goalies aren’t up and down values. Odds are someone is willing to sell at a reasonable price or doesn’t believe all that much in their guy somewhere on that list.
If it IS true that the goalie market has gone up exponentially, I will pay that price and live with it. But I have seen nothing to justify that leap of faith.
If Fitzy makes a move and pays a ton for a goalie and in a press conference says “this is what the market is today, believe me I tried to find a deal” then I’ll be fine with the move and be happy to have a goalie. But until that day or something occurs to make me think prices have skyrocketed, I won’t.
And I don’t believe a year where the top goalies are filled mostly with a bunch of guys who could have been had for free or as cap dumps this past offseason is what makes the NHL realize (the only way to get a solution in net is to pay a ton of draft capital via trade bc they can’t be found in UFA)
Charlie Lindgren, Quick, Hill, and Talbot are among the best goalies in hockey. All could have been had for free.