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Zegras Mercer swap

Created by: pretzelcoatl
Team: 2023-24 New Jersey Devils
Initial Creation Date: Jan. 9, 2024
Published: Jan. 9, 2024
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Zegras seems like a good buy low candidate and is reportedly for sale. This year, despite poor results, his ixG/60 and xGF/60 are career-bests, his xGA/60 is improved from last year, and his PDO is .969 (aka abysmal luck).
Trades
1.
NJD
  1. Zegras, Trevor
Additional Details:
Just the bones of a trade, other pieces might move
ANA
  1. Mercer, Dawson
Additional Details:
Mercer is younger and scoring more in a smaller role, both he and Z are underperforming
2.
PIT
  1. 2024 3rd round pick (NJD)
Additional Details:
If the Devils make the Eastern Conference Finals and Nedeljkovic plays in at least 50% of New Jersey's playoff games, PIT instead receives a 2024 2nd round pick
Buyouts
Recapture Fees
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2024
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the COL
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NSH
2025
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
2026
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the NJD
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
22$83,500,000$75,910,000$422,500$5,025,000$7,590,000
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Anaheim Ducks
$5,750,000$5,750,000
C, LW
RFA - 3
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$8,000,000$8,000,000
C
UFA - 7
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$2,125,000$2,125,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$6,000,000$6,000,000
LW, RW
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$7,250,000$7,250,000
C
UFA - 4
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$7,875,000$7,875,000
RW, LW
UFA - 8
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$8,800,000$8,800,000
LW, RW
UFA - 8
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,400,000$1,400,000
C
RFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RW, LW
RFA - 2
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,100,000$1,100,000
LD/RD, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$3,150,000$3,150,000
C, LW
NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,000,000$1,000,000
RW, C
UFA - 2
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$775,000$775,000
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,350,000$1,350,000
RW
UFA - 2
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$925,000$925K)
LD/RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$4,400,000$4,400,000
RD
UFA - 4
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$1,500,000$1,500,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$3,400,000$3,400,000
LD
UFA - 5
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$918,333$918,333 (Performance Bonus$3,250,000$3M)
RD
RFA - 3
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$3,400,000$3,400,000
G
UFA - 2
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,050,000$1,050,000
LD
RFA - 2
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,850,000$1,850,000
RD
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$9,000,000$9,000,000
RD
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$1,000,000$1,000,000
LW, C
UFA - 1

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Jan. 9 at 5:29 p.m.
#1
MK458
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Sounds like Zegras was dealing with an injury the beginning of the season. Don't think Anaheim fans or the team believes this is anything more than struggling while playing through a nagging injury. For that reason I don't believe Anaheim would be willing to trade low on him
Jan. 9 at 5:29 p.m.
#2
MK458
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Sounds like Zegras was dealing with an injury the beginning of the season. Don't think Anaheim fans or the team believes this is anything more than struggling while playing through a nagging injury. For that reason I don't believe Anaheim would be willing to trade low on him
Jan. 9 at 5:32 p.m.
#3
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n.1 Topias Vilen fan
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Quoting: mk458
Sounds like Zegras was dealing with an injury the beginning of the season. Don't think Anaheim fans or the team believes this is anything more than struggling while playing through a nagging injury. For that reason I don't believe Anaheim would be willing to trade low on him


Mercer also started really slow though, and has gotten hot again lately. Despite the slow start, he is on pace for as many goals as last year, and since he's RFA Anaheim would have a chance to get him on a better contract than Zegras
Jan. 9 at 5:36 p.m.
#4
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Seems like a lateral move...each side will argue their side deserves more on the margins...

If Mercer extends long-term, I'd keep him.
Jan. 9 at 5:39 p.m.
#5
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
Seems like a lateral move...each side will argue their side deserves more on the margins...

If Mercer extends long-term, I'd keep him.


It is a lateral move with marketing upside. Probably depends on what kind of contract Merce wants
Jan. 9 at 5:42 p.m.
#6
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Quoting: pretzelcoatl
It is a lateral move with marketing upside. Probably depends on what kind of contract Merce wants


Hughes + Zegras = I'm buying stuff

Lock-in Mercer between $6m to $7m long-term, send futures
Jan. 9 at 5:43 p.m.
#7
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
Hughes + Zegras = I'm buying stuff

Lock-in Mercer between $6m to $7m long-term, send futures


I don't see a spot for Z if we trade futures, unless we want to say goodbye to Toffoli. I would also rather trade Mercer than Holtz, I think Holtz is the better player now and has more upside

Also, save the futures for a goalie trade this summer
Jan. 9 at 5:45 p.m.
#8
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Quoting: pretzelcoatl
I don't see a spot for Z if we trade futures, unless we want to say goodbye to Toffoli. I would also rather trade Mercer than Holtz, I think Holtz is the better player now and has more upside


Holtz > Mercer...really?

I know Mercer had a slow start, but I am not dinging him for that. Still the better player.

Holtz has too many N-zone turnovers at this point...but super high ceiling
Jan. 9 at 5:48 p.m.
#9
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
Holtz > Mercer...really?

I know Mercer had a slow start, but I am not dinging him for that. Still the better player.

Holtz has too many N-zone turnovers at this point...but super high ceiling


Holtz leads the team in 5v5 G/60 and P/60 despite being absolute cheeks in the 20% of his ice time that they stuck him with Tierney and/or Bas

It's true that Mercer has better possession stats, but neither of them have good fancies and Holtz is producing far better. Not to mention Holtz's shot is an asset sorely lacking on this team.
Jan. 9 at 5:49 p.m.
#10
I Love J Boqvist
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
Hughes + Zegras = I'm buying stuff

Lock-in Mercer between $6m to $7m long-term, send futures


I'd think we can get mercer at 5.5x8
Jan. 9 at 5:51 p.m.
#11
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Quoting: dgibb10
I'd think we can get mercer at 5.5x8


If we can, which I personally doubt, then this trade is a bad idea. I think an 8 year deal would come in closer to 7m.
Jan. 9 at 5:52 p.m.
#12
I Love J Boqvist
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Quoting: pretzelcoatl
If we can, which I personally doubt, then this trade is a bad idea. I think an 8 year deal would come in closer to 7m.


Depends on how he plays the rest of the year. If he's good enough to deserve 8x7 with 4 full years of RFA control (Boldy/Cozens level play), then I'm not moving him at all.
Jan. 9 at 6:03 p.m.
#13
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Quoting: dgibb10
I'd think we can get mercer at 5.5x8


I think maybe....

Boldy -- $7m x 7 years
Farabee -- $6m x 6 years

or...
Necas -- $3m x 2 years

...if he wants long-term with arb rights
Jan. 9 at 6:06 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
I think maybe....

Boldy -- $7m x 7 years
Farabee -- $6m x 6 years

or...
Necas -- $3m x 2 years

...if he wants long-term with arb rights


He'd have to play at a VERY high level from here on out to demand the boldy or cozens deal imo. If he does tho we can get more than Zegras for him
Jan. 9 at 6:14 p.m.
#15
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Quoting: dgibb10
He'd have to play at a VERY high level from here on out to demand the boldy or cozens deal imo. If he does tho we can get more than Zegras for him


He is currently playing at a very high level.

-- first 38 games in 2022-23: 21 pts
-- first 38 games in 2023-24: 20 pts

Rumors of his demise have been greatly exaggerated
Jan. 9 at 6:15 p.m.
#16
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If the Pens are out of the playoff race, this makes sense.
Jan. 9 at 6:16 p.m.
#17
I Love J Boqvist
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Quoting: NHLfan10506
He is currently playing at a very high level.

-- first 38 games in 2022-23: 21 pts
-- first 38 games in 2023-24: 20 pts

Rumors of his demise have been greatly exaggerated


I think his true upside is less than a cozens or a boldy imo.

I don’t think there’s the same superstar potential there. Higher floor tho.
 
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