Quoting: Xan
I was genuinely trying to make it fit. It breaks down into two trades in my mind. A player and a pick for Markstrom, and a first for Hanifan. The retention on Hanifan means the Markstrom trade gets upgraded a little, so the Devils can still make another move. It just so happens that the goalie and the defenceman the Devils need are on the same team. With Hamilton coming back next year, Hanifan might be deemed expendable, or might not, but there are some options there. Is your objection the cost or the pieces?
I like Hanifin as potential target, but our best option may be trying for him over summer when/if he hits UFA. We have tons of injuries and our record shows it. If we take took much cap this year , we will be forced into using LTIR which has implications on our cap next year (we have a bunch of performing ELCs that are likely to earn bonus money). Holtz is on verge of real breakout...he has been our top scorer per-60 in 5v5, but just hasn't really gotten much ice time. It would take a lot to obtain him.
I think the max we would do for Hanifin, assuming we felt we had good chance of extending him, would fall into this range:
-- Hanifin (100%) -- 2024 1st round pick*
-- Hanifin (100%) -- Kevin Bahl, 2025 2nd round pick
-- Hanifin (50%) -- 2024 1st round pick*, 2025 3rd round pick
-- Hanifin (50%) -- Kevin Bahl, 2025 2nd round pick, 2024 3rd round pick
-- Hanifin (50%) -- 2024 1st round pick*, Topias Vilen or Daniil Misyul
(* top-10 protected, if we make ECF, turns into top-10 protected 2025 1st round pick)
I think the comps for Hanifin would be
-- Hampus Lindholm (2022) -- minus the salary dumps, so roughly Vaakanainen plus 1st (Moore+retention=two 2nds)
-- Ben Chiarot (2022) -- minus the retention, so roughly Smilanic plus 1st
-- Brenden Dillon (2020) -- two 2nds
-- Justin Faulk (2019) -- Edmundson, Bokk, 7th (with 5th)
-- Tomas Kaberle (2011) - 1st, 2nd, lesser prospect
For a Hanifin/Markstrom combo comp...maybe start with this trade and build from there
-- LAK got: Korpisalo, Gavrikov
-- CBJ got: Quick, 1st, 2nd
As for Markstrom, it doesn't sound like he will be a trade option, so no point in creating a ton of options...but I would imagine it would look a little like Mike Smith 2017 trade.
-- CGY Got: Mike Smith, 25% retained ($1.4m off $5.7m), 2 years remained
-- ARI Got: Chad Johnson (1 full year remained at $2.5m), Brandon Hickey, conditional 3rd that became 2nd of CGY reached playoffs
That would look something like
-- NJD gets: Jacob Markstrom, 25% retained ($1.5m off $6m)
-- CGY gets: Vitek Vanecek, Charlie Leddy, 2024 3rd round pick (that becomes 20205 2nd if Devils reach playoffs)
So Hanifin / Markstrom together...so around
-- NJD gets: Markstrom (25%), Hannifin (50%)
-- CGY gets: Bahl, Vanecek, Leddy, 1st, 3rd
(Ballpark)