Edited Feb. 15 at 4:21 a.m.
Quoting: ryTown
Thats like saying, pre 2022-23, that MacKinnon was not a 100 point player. He had been on pace for it multiple times, but didn't hit the games played so didn't get there. Sure its a 'fact,' but its a sell-job.
And again, this whole time Ive referred to Laughton as a pseudo-2C, not a slam dunk by any means. He's clearly capable of 40 point seasons, as he's been mid-to-high 30s with a few 40s trickled him. Put him as a 2C next to Nichushkon Lehkonen, or potentially even a Rantanen, and he'd do fine - something that RyJo clearly has not done.
The reality is the Avs are a cap-strapped team, and unless they develop their own 2C (fingers crossed on Ritchie), they're not going to be able to have a true, legit 2C. Even someone like Gourde who is 5.166M next year would create a lot of challenges at that price, as much as I'd love him. Trading for someone with a little bit of term (Jenner is my first choice but CBJ fans continue to say the price is unrealistically high, Laughton is probably my 2nd choice) makes more sense in my opinion than continuing to pay a price year after year for a rental. Sure, we can Henrique this year, for what cost? And then we have the same problem next year, and have to likely pay that same price AGAIN for someone new.
Sorry but you're wriggling like a worm on the end of a hook. That's a straw man and you know it. To use MacK as a guy who had been on pace literally in your own words MULTIPLE times (4 years plus one where he was one point shy prior to actually exceeding 100) compared to a guy who you said (repeatedly) had been on pace for 40 points 'more times' (and note the plural) not on one singular occasion besides is simply bizarre to me. BUT as a cold hard fact yes MacKinnon was not a 100 point player until he hit 100 points. There is however a HUGE difference between a guy on pace on multiple occasions and a guy who has been on pace ONCE which is where we look behind the facts for other facts, the ones I've actually given you and you repeatedly choose to ignore, and if you were looking at MacKinnon you'd say this guy is one who can consistently produce at that rate.
Again, Laughton may, as you say, be capable of putting up 40 points between Val and Lehky (btw RyJo hasn't really played that much with either, even at this point in the season his most common linemates by a significant margin are Drouin & Tatar according to Natural Stat Trick), he may not. That's always part of a gamble in a trade. I would say that the Avs actually haven't given RyJo the best chance to be successful because logically the best move would be to play him with the slowest two other forwards (which is tough to find on the Avs and tough to find data on) which is probably Drouin (who he did seem to have some chemistry with early on) and Lehky (now he's back from injury). Of course other injuries/the PAP etc hasn't helped there, but I digress.
Your final section in this comment is where you've made the most sense so far (apart from Laughton being your second choice but that's my opinion and I'm sticking to it), you're spot on with the cap situation and with Ritchie, I'm hoping he comes to fruition sooner rather than later, Gourde and Jenner I agree with you on and Rico is arguably only a partial improvement on RyJo (as with Granlund, Laughton, Jenner et al). Mittelstadt will be too dear to re-sign (and to acquire). Nelson already is too expensive. My own personal choices would be Novak as he may be a guy the Avs can afford to re-sign (assuming the Avs can move RyJo, I can't see Novak costing more than 4 mil per, possibly less) though again may be costly to acquire, or else looking to Laughton's team mate - Frost.
None of this is to say Laughton is a 'bad' player and if you wanted him I can understand why to a degree, but if the Avs went after him it should be as a 3C and play Colton at 2C and roll the dice, and for me you simply don't pay a 1st and then some for that guy.