It's not bad for a non-fan, actually!

I would say Carrier is not an upgrade on Ceci and Edmonton has already said they aren't trading Broberg for a rental, so that trade doesn't seem realistic.

Capitals accept and buyout Campbell in the off season

The Nashville trade makes no sense from an Oilers perspective. Carrier is a downgrade on Ceci. If the other two trades went as you have them, then the OIl would simply bury 2 players (Gagner and Brown say) in the AHL and have the cap space to keep Ceci and Vinnie as well as still having Broberg.

The other two the Oil would probably do, though at that cost I would at least try to get Dowd included in the deal!!

I'm an Oiler fan and I wouldn't do the Ceci/Broberg trade in a vacuum but paired with the addition of Tanev I would do it with replacing Broberg with that 2026 1st or another prospect. these pairings drastically upgrade your D core AND you get out of Campbell's contract in the Mantha deal

Flames are looking for interesting young players or prospects more than picks, so that offer wouldn’t get Tanev, especially with retention

What you would or wouldn't do is irrelevant. Holland wouldn't do it.

Because he already said that he wouldn't trade Broberg for a rental.

And signing Carrier for $3.5M in the summer to replace Ceci makes the Oilers worse next year.

Big Vin has been playing quite well since Knoblauch/Coffey came here.. I don't know that the Carrier deal is necessary, although he's definitely an upgrade on Desharnais.

That said.. for those saying Carrier isn't an upgrade on Ceci, I would counter that Tanev + Carrier sure is an upgrade on Ceci+Desharnais, however.