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Fatwater

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Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 12, 2018 at 8:45 p.m.
Thread: tight
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>I_Know_Nothing_About_Hockey_Or_Any_Sport2</b></div><div>That's overpaying Stralman by a lot, and if he's going to cost that much, they'd be better off calling up Foote (since they don't have to trade for Karlsson here). At that age, Stralman shouldn't cost more than $3,500,000, which frees them $2,000,000. I'm not sure what the purpose of the Donskoi signing is, but if you get rid of that, you free up another $2,950,000. You then have slightly over $5,000,000 to re-sign Gourde, and you already have extra players called up. I'm also not sure why we would sign Künhackl when we have many young prospects to take that spot . If Stralman agrees to $3.5m, then the pairings should be (based on my opinions of who would form good lines, but these can be changed):

Palat-Point-Kucherov
Miller-Stamkos-Gourde
Killorn-Cirelli-Johnson
Katchouk-Volkov-Raddysh
Andreoff-

And the defensive pairings would have to be:
Hedman-Foote
McDonagh-Sergachev
Koekkoek-Stralman
Dotchin-

If Dotchin doesn't perform well enough to be a 7th defenseman based on the upcoming season, then they can sign Prosser and use him instead. If the Lightning don't acquire Karlsson and Callahan agrees to move (and a team agrees to take him, though many would benefit from him), managing the cap without losing key assets shouldn't be hard if you're careful with how you allocate cap (e.g: not giving Stralman over $5,000,000).

When this becomes problematic is when Vasilevskiy and Sergachev need extensions and Seattle comes. The Lightning have to protect Stamkos, Kucherov, Killorn, Palat, Miller, Johnson, Hedman, and McDonagh. That leaves them with one forward slot and one defensive slot. The forward slot is Point, and the defensive is Sergachev. The problem is that they will really want to protect Cirelli (if they wait to extend Gourde until after the draft). I've seen it mentioned a lot that Tyler Johnson is from Seattle, and if he agrees to go to his home town (which he might, especially if he can win a cup with the Lightning), they can put Cirelli in that slot. Johnson will then be the best player available, barring any unexpected breakouts. Vasilevskiy will hopefully agree to about $6.5 million, and if the cap goes up by another $2,000,000, then along with the other $2,000,000 that Johnson took up, they can afford to pay Sergachev around $4,500,000 on a bridge deal. Using the extra $894,166 from Sergachev's ELC, the $1,833,33 once Carle's buyout is off the books, and their little bit of remaining cap space, they can pay Cirelli about $3,300,000. You can play around with Cirelli and Sergachev's salaries, but $7,800,000 will hopefully be enough for both. Without Karlsson (who would force them to move Killorn and J.T. Miller, which could still be doable), they can keep their core in tact without having to sacrifice good players due to a "tight" cap situation.</div></div>

Agree with all this. TJ is from Spokane I believe but hopefully that's close enough. Killorn will also move into the Modified NTC clause 7/1/20 and have to provide a trade list so he could be moved prior to 20-21.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 12, 2018 at 8:30 p.m.
Thread: 2019-20 w/ Karlsson
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ColbyStamkosfan</b></div><div>A. You don't need Stralman, B. I believe you forgot about the cap increase. All told, that's 6.5 you're not accounting for I'm afraid. Oh, and don't forget to move Johnson.</div></div>

I disagree on Stralman. I think he gets another deal. I don't see them going into a season planning on playing Foote top 4 minutes without a verteran safety net. Maybe they get him to sign a little cheaper but I think they'll need him. I didn't guess at the cap, could be 2 mil, could be 4. What's the point? People can do some simple math I hope. This is just an example of what such a top heavy roster will look like. If you move Johnson who do you replace him with, another rookie? I think the best chance of moving him is the Seattle expansion draft anyways.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 19, 2017 at 10:13 p.m.
Thread: Updated 17/18 Lineup
I do hope Erne does make the team out of camp. Would like to see him get a shot on that 4th line with Yanni, et al. I think there's a 95% chance Kuch is on Stammer's RW. So, in my mind, the top six holes are LW on Stammer's line and RW on TJ's line. The former is fairly easy - Vlad/Killorn/Palat/Kunitz may all shuffle through that spot till somebody sticks. That line with Vlad at the start of last season was smokin. Who plays RW on TJ's line will be more interesting. Unless Callahan returns to 2014 form we don't have another legit top six RW. It seems to me there is a real opportunity for Taylor Raddysh if he's capable of making that leap. Kinda doubt he is but I'd love to see him get his 10 games at least. I'm sure Point will play there some, maybe a lot depending on how much the bottom six struggles to chip in goals. Point is legit top six talent but maybe they want him to progress at center on the third line. I know I'd like to see Yanni get some time on a line with Point.

My two cents fwiw. Should be fun to see how it shakes out.

On the D, I hope Koekkoek gets a real shot at 2nd pair.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 1, 2017 at 6:16 p.m.
Thread: Tyler Johnson to the Blues and getting cap compliant
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AK_tune</b></div><div>At this point I just really hope that Army manages to find somebody to play center on the first line. Stastny is way better suited at 2C and has had great chemistry with Fabbri. Schwartz and Tarasenko have chemistry but need that center to add even more offense. That said, I don't think Schmaltz+Barb is enough to land TJ. Might have to throw in one of our 2017 1sts, but I'd still do it. Realistically TJ is one of the few centers available, and Army and Yzerman have talked trades for a long time now., so they should be able to strike something. Would love to hear from a TBL perspective what a TJ trade looks like.</div></div>

I think most of their talk was about Shattenkirk and supposedly Drouin was the TB piece in that deal. The trouble with the trade above is it does not serve Tampa's need of a top 4 dman right now. Schmaltz may be that guy in a couple years but Tampa's window is now. And I'm not sure TJ is all that available. I know everybody seems to think he is but trading him would leave us very thin down the middle in terms of experienced centers. As much as it pains me to say it I think Drouin is more likely the guy that gets traded out of Tampa for a dman. How about Parayko for Drouin?