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OlegP
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
NHL Trades
Mar. 16, 2022 at 8:34 p.m.
Thread:
(FLA/MTL) - Smilanic, 1st, 4th for Chiarot
Hey all you suckers! It finally f****** happened! "He's terrible " only should get a 4th" where are you people? Ypu just got busted by Habs fans!
2023 draft is better than this one, and unprotected so large W. Simalnic is a good prospect, and a 4th on top of that. Don't tell me that hughes fleeced, because any gm woudo get this amount of value in chiarot 1000%.
Their defense is nasty:
Chiarot - Ekblad
Forsling - Weegar
Montour- Gudas
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 30, 2022 at 10:58 a.m.
Thread:
Leafs
-I'll leave it to Vancouver fans to dissect this one but personally I can see the value. I think Toronto maybe adds a little more to make it even.
-I can't see Arizona doing this. Engvall & Kerfoot are the types of players a contending team should be making a move for, not a cap floor team like the Coyotes. Plus, I think they can get a better return trading Chych & Crouse separately than what you're offering up here.
-No idea why Seattle would do this. They're giving up the younger goalie, who had better numbers last season, and is on a less-expensive contract. Plus, you're having them retain, and all you're doing is giving them a pick swap that moves up them up 5-10 spots in the 3rd round next year?
-Can't see Montreal adding this much cap, it also doesn't make sense for them to be adding a 33 year old LD when they already have Joel Edmundson, Alex Romanov, and Jordan Harris signed to play LD next season.
-Sure, Holl probably gets that, Columbus might not be the team but the value seems fine.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 30, 2022 at 4:39 p.m.
Thread:
Leafs
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Allen_B1492</b></div><div>Keep Nylander your obviously not Vancouver we not throwing JT away like that, if we would even consider a trade with the leafs, I know Marner is lower in the stats than JT and taking up a franchise suffocating amount of Cap space for a winger but if Tor wanted to hold onto 2 or 3 mil of that contract that would be a conversation starter</div></div>
If you would like a response/debate you'll have to rewrite your statements, I have no idea what your trying to say.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 31, 2022 at 2:22 a.m.
Thread:
So you still okay with that offense
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Allen_B1492</b></div><div>Declined this trade doesn't make Canucks better why do it
Honestly the only team that wouldn't have benefited from taking JT at the deadline are the ones that are holding the cup above their heads at the end of this. He has had a career year for the Canucks that has landed him in Top 10 in the NHL not playing with 10+M line mate. if he does go and I hope he doesn't he will be going for full price
FYI Brock is getting min 7.5M or less with a 8yr contract so probably 7.5M</div></div>
<em>"Honestly the only team that wouldn't have benefited from taking JT at the deadline are the ones that are holding the cup above their heads at the end of this. He has had a career year for the Canucks that has landed him in Top 10 in the NHL not playing with 10+M line mate. if he does go and I hope he doesn't he will be going for full price"</em>
I agree with this statement.
<em>"Declined this trade doesn't make Canucks better why do it"</em>
Can't see how the Canucks would decline this trade if it were on the table. Necas is a good young player with high potential who's age fits in with the current cores. Morrow is projected to be a top 4 RD, Bear could step in right now and take a spot on Vancouver's right D side, and the pick although late is a 1st rounder is in a deep draft. The team isn't a playoff team right now and doesn't have the cap space or assets to become a contender for years to come. In my opinion, adding young impact pieces to the core is the only way this team becomes a contender in the next 3-4 years.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 31, 2022 at 1:57 a.m.
Thread:
So you still okay with that offense
I had a Cane's fan recently tell me,
"Morrow is projected to be at the same level as Makar, if not better. Assuming that’s true, why would the Canes want to trade Morrow if he has the potential to be at the level or better than arguably the best defenseman to ever play hockey."
LOL.
That said I do think the ask is a bit steep. Necas, Morrow and a 2nd would work for me.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 29, 2022 at 11:51 p.m.
Thread:
What I think happens
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Xqb15a</b></div><div>Who gives a rip if played well under MS, he’s never scored 40pts or even 20 goals, how did it work out for MTL playing him at 2C. He gets destroyed 5v5. It’s funny you think a 23yo minute eating dman that produces 30pts season in season out without PP1 time, eats 20+ minutes a game and is locked up for half a decade on contract and can play both sides doesn’t fetch more. Oh that’s right he’s short. Give me a break. If COL were to trade him they are going to want a proven young top 6 winger with term plus a kicker. I mean ffs look at what MTL got for the traffic cone Chiarot and you’re trying to tell me I’d be disappointed. Thanks for the feedback.</div></div>
Chiarot was a rental, that why MTL got that much for him.
Colorado, like a few other teams, will need a cheap 2C this summer. I think Dvorak will be traded for a first.
I said you'd be disapointed if you think you're getting more than two 1st in term of value for Girard. I don't thinl COL get a top prospect for him.
Not saying they absolutly want Dvorak as a 2C. A few teams were reportedly interested in him before he was traded to MTL. Maybe COL was one of them.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 29, 2022 at 10:24 p.m.
Thread:
What I think happens
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Xqb15a</b></div><div>Heck no, MTL can have fun eating that Dvorak contract, he isn’t a 2C not even remotely close. On top of that Girard out scores Dvorak and you think the difference is a 2nd. Yeah full reject on that trade idea. I could see COL moving Girard but both pieces would be significantly better than Dvorak and the 33rd pick.</div></div>
Eat the Dvorak contract? 4.4 million for a 50 point 2-way center isn't bad at all, lmao
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 29, 2022 at 11:39 p.m.
Thread:
Torontos Prospect Pool Is Pretty Great
Leafs prospect pool is ridiculously overrated. Only 3 prospects of note. 1 of whom, the oldest ... Robertson, is having a really hard time adjusting to the NHL and looks like a worse pick every season. Of the other 2, only Knies really looks like he might be an impact player. Niemala looks strong in a weak league but there's every reason to think he will have trouble transitioning to smaller ice and will probably end up a 3rd pairing dman. Amirov sitting out because of a medical diagnosis and frankly is a long shot to play in the NHL at this point.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 29, 2022 at 11:12 p.m.
Thread:
Offseason
Habs easily accept. No takebacks!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 29, 2022 at 3:07 a.m.
Thread:
Huge splash
that would be a huge splash and one that would probably get Billy fired a if he took! that is a horrible deal for Min
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 29, 2022 at 2:27 a.m.
Thread:
What I think happens
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DucharmetheDOMinator</b></div><div>Easy reject by habs
We have lots of LD we do not really need Girard at this stage in our teams direction
Especially at that price.
I'd pay 1st + Norlinder MAX
Not our best defensive forward who can score 15-25-40 in the future and our only legitimate RHD prospect, and a 1st for 2nd paid LD defenseman
This is not thought out
Just because he's from Quebec, doesn't mean we're interested in him, or we'd pay a kings ransom for him.
Sorry, no more taking advantage of us!</div></div>
<a href="/users/Brian9Rogers" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Brian9Rogers</a>
Girard was mostly used on the right side with Colorado.
How about Girard for Dvorak and MTL 2022 33rd overall? Pick is almost a 1st.
Dvorak would be a decent 2C for now, and cheap enough to be 3C when Newhook is ready to play top 6.
MTL and COL did good for each others on the Lehkonen trade, i'm sure they can find the perfect deal for Girard.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 29, 2022 at 12:35 a.m.
Thread:
Does this make sense
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OlegP</b></div><div>Pipeline is bare. When you're clinging to guys like Hallander.. Leafs fans did that a few years ago. It's gone out of style. Poulin is a natural progression. Oh, yes!</div></div>
Leafs are still doing that with Knies.
Forum:
Fauteuil - DG
Mar. 23, 2022 at 6:06 a.m.
Thread:
Could Pitts be interested
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Mr_Gardoki</b></div><div>Lehkonen is worth a 2nd at best.</div></div>
That did not aged well
Forum:
Fauteuil - DG
May 14, 2022 at 4:39 p.m.
Thread:
Could Pitts be interested
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Mr_Gardoki</b></div><div>What are you talking about? I said a 2nd at best and he gets a 2nd + a prospect. I was a hell of a lot close than all the habs fans trading him for multiple firsts and prospects. What didn't age well was all those loony Lehkonen trades.</div></div>
Barron = 1st RD pick
2024 2nd RD pick
I don’t think a single habs fan had a better offer than what they actually received
Forum:
Fauteuil - DG
Mar. 11, 2022 at 1:27 p.m.
Thread:
Could Pitts be interested
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>gaudetster</b></div><div>Poulin + 1st for anderson</div></div>
No but fair
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Mr_Gardoki</b></div><div>Hoffman has played 42 games and Zucker has played 31. Zucker is a far superior player in every other aspect of the game than Hoffman and it's not even close.</div></div>
Hoffman is getting paid to score goals only, because yes he sucks at everything else
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Mr_Gardoki</b></div><div>Lehkonen is worth a 2nd at best.</div></div>
The chance a 2nd RD pick make it too the NHL is 20%, the chance he becomes as good as Lehkonen is what 5% ? Plus he won’t be as good as Lehkonen for at least 4-5 years. So no, he is worth way more than a 2nd RD pick
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Pensfan89</b></div><div>If he was worth what that other commenter said, Lehkonen would have been traded by now lol.</div></div>
Never said he is worth that, that would be the price but no GMs are ready to pay that much
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Mr_Gardoki</b></div><div>MTL fans haven't learned from the Toffoli trade. They're delusional about Lehkonen.</div></div>
Toffoli was not fitting MTL so it didn’t need an overpay to move him. Lehkonen is a RFA and fits the team in every aspect. Age, level of compete, speed, etc. Might go for less than what I suggest, but that would be my bias opinion (he’s my favorite player so that doesn’t help).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 29, 2022 at 12:03 a.m.
Thread:
Ottawa Senators offseason
MN accepts
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2022 at 10:50 p.m.
Thread:
Ottawa Senators offseason
You can have Hoffman and Armia too if you really want that return for white
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2022 at 2:05 p.m.
Thread:
Nobokovs Mock Offseason Habs
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Campabee</b></div><div>TBH Montreal probably takes both these but the Knights won't work for them since they need major cap space not just 1 Mil or less</div></div>
Unfortunately I cannot post it today because CapFriendly limits to 10 posts a day, but in the VGK page of my mock offseason you can see how it all works out. The major thing they do to fit under the cap is essentially trust Logan Thompson as a #1. Which I get is a risk but he has played *really* well, they basically trusted him as their primary goalie with their season on the line already, and imagine what VGK could do with a starting goalie costing under $800k.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2022 at 1:49 p.m.
Thread:
Nobokovs Mock Offseason Habs
TBH Montreal probably takes both these but the Knights won't work for them since they need major cap space not just 1 Mil or less
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2022 at 11:51 p.m.
Thread:
Does this make sense
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OlegP</b></div><div>Not excited about Poulin either despite Pens fans clinging to him like the next big thing. He's projected as a bottom 6 forward according to Corey Pronman. He lacks a lot of pace. Underwhelming season in the AHL.</div></div>
I will cling if I want to cling
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2022 at 2:51 p.m.
Thread:
Would they consider
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>That is too much. Just do the 2nd overall for pasta (as been offered by Bruins fans). Or wait a year and hope he signs as UFA.</div></div>
Holtz has more value because he looks like more of a sure thing than anybody available at 2. Keeping Holtz in a Pasta trade is redundant because you're just hoping he turns into another Pasta. Having one of Slafkovsky/Nemec/Jiricek + Pastrnak is a lot more valuable than having Holtz + Pastrnak IMO.
I also don't think he ever hits FA.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2022 at 1:47 p.m.
Thread:
Would they consider
Montreal probably considers that IF we can move one of Hoffman or Drouin lol.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2022 at 1:52 p.m.
Thread:
Getting a 1st for helping Cap Crunched Teams
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>dannibalcorpse</b></div><div>I can definitely see why it's worth taking but I don't think it's a slam dunk. Dvorak is significantly less productive than what Strome has done the last few seasons, or what Copp did after coming over at the deadline. He's cheaper, sure, but you're probably playing him at 2C on opening night if you keep him because if you acquire him, you're still looking at only have 9 forwards, 5 D, and 1 goalie signed for next season and $8M in cap space to fill out those margins.</div></div>
At even strength Dvorak was as productive as Dubois was over a full season, Dubois spent the entire season with Connor or Ehlers too.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2022 at 11:22 a.m.
Thread:
Getting a 1st for helping Cap Crunched Teams
-I can't see Chicago trading a recent 3OA pick who's still just 21 years old for a cap dump, a mid tier prospect that's actually a year older than Dach, and a late 1st.
-You *might* get Dumba for Drouin retained & the Edmonton 2nd; you're going to have to add a lot to get their 1st. They can get a dozen better offers if they made Dumba available for trade.
-Weber to Arizona makes sense, I just think 34 OA is too rich a price to pay for the Coyotes. Set your sights lower.
-I can't see Philadelphia unloading a top 5 pick just to get 1 year of JVR off their books. He rebounded enough to put in 24 goals this season so he's still somewhat useful, and he's only being paid $5M against a $7M cap hit. I could see a cap floor team just absorbing his deal for a 3rd/4th rounder, or the Flyers just keep him and flip him out with 50% retention at the deadline. Unless the Flyers are going to be completely unrealistic, I think they realize they need at least a retool and trading a top 5 pick would be lunacy when they don't *need* to clear that cap space.
-The Rangers, however, do need to be mindful of their cap constraints this summer and even though this is an overpay, I think they look to re-sign Ryan Strome or Andrew Copp before they downgrade to Dvorak.
-Somehow this is worse than the Philly trade? You've now taken the 5th overall pick and Jeff Petry and sent them both to Dallas for an okay-to-good prospect and a 36 year old goalie coming off hip surgery that, in the best case scenario, has him back and moving around in late September.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
May 28, 2022 at 11:41 a.m.
Thread:
Getting Younger and 2nd OVA
-Rangers probably take that deal - every sign points to them moving on from Georgiev, and last I heard Kravstov wasn't gonna come back for them, so getting a few chances at ELC players on a team that needs them is a win for both sides.
-I can see the logic in this trade - but if I'm Bill Armstrong I'd probably want to have another mid-round pick coming along with that package.
Let's look at the draft trade values then - I'm going to reference Dom @ The Athletic's draft pick value chart as a guideline - there's not a ton else out there assigning easily digestible point values to picks. Also doing a quick look at recent draft pick trades, the team moving up always gives up a little more value than the team trading back, so we'll always assume Montreal is sacrificing pick value to move up.
Calgary (27 OA = 3.2 GSVA) + Carolina (worst case is 32 OA = 2.8 GSVA) for Washington (20 OA = 4.0) has a lot of surplus value for Washington but I also couldn't see 27 & 32 getting you into the lottery, so it's a safe pick to target. Maybe Washington throws back a 3rd rounder to even it out?
So now you have 20OA (4.0) going to Vancouver for 15OA (4.9). The difference between the two picks would be equivalent to a mid/late 2nd rounder; I think that Jake Allen with $1M retained *might* equal that value - except for the fact that I don't think it makes a ton of sense for Vancouver to acquire him when they already have Thatcher Demko starting 60-65 games next year and Spencer Martin ready to clean up the last 15 or so. For the sake of argument, though, I'll call this fair.
Now you're making a HUGE jump - 15OA (4.9 GSVA) to 2OA (12.3). The difference in value between those picks is equal in value to the 7th overall pick, which leads me to this question: if you had the 7th overall pick, would *you* trade it for Jesse Ylonen & Josh Anderson? It's an insane underpay for the Devils - you are going to need to do much better than someone from your second tier of prospects and an overpaid winger with that much term left.
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