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TheEarthmaster

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Jun. 7, 2018
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St. Louis Blues
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Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 11 at 10:47 a.m.
Thread: Moving Krug
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheEarthmaster</b></div><div>What message is he supposed to be receiving? Don't get old and injured? If someone stupidly offers you 6.5 million until you're 36 you should say no? His on-ice struggles are not effort or buy-in related, at least the way I see it, so he's not going to be jumpstarted by a trip to Springfield. He's just a guy in his 30s who doesn't have 6.5 million dollars a year value anymore. This was a very apparent risk when Armstrong signed him.

I said this yesterday but I don't really see the upside for the Blues on going scorched Earth on Krug- whether that means buying him out or burying him in the minors. The buyout penalty is inherently not worth it, and while Krug might waive his NTC if the alternative is playing in the AHL, I don't think it becomes an easier sell to other teams that he's at all worth acquiring if this bubble playoff team feels he's not good enough to be on their roster.</div></div>

That’s fair but it’s less about the injury and being old

It’s about making moronic plays
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 10 at 11:55 a.m.
Thread: Blues next year opening day
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>xercuses</b></div><div>I’d rather just buy him out</div></div>

If we are really desperate to move him (which I'm highly doubtful of as we're not competitive anyway as we're in a retool), I'd rather retain on him for 3 more seasons (during the retool) then buying him out for 6 (!) more seasons and potentially hamstringing our next window of opportunity.

Buying out Krug will cost us:
23/24: 333,333
24/25: 2,333,333
25/26: 2,333,333
26/27: 2,833,333
27/28: 2,333,333
28/29: 2,333,333
29/30: 2,333,333

If we buy him out at 50% it's 3,250,000 just for 3 more years (again, years we're probably not competitive in).

So, still prefer to buy him out?

TBH, I'd try to move him for another bad contact (any interest in Anders Lee for example?) with a shorter duration/higher cap. If that's not possible, keep him untill it's easier to move him.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 10 at 12:04 p.m.
Thread: Blues next year opening day
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheEarthmaster</b></div><div>The other thing to be mindful of here is what is really the upside of going scorched earth on Krug. They need to be moving out the bad contracts and Krug certainly has one, but if you're adding around half of his cap hit as dead money (either in a retention trade or in a buyout) PLUS signing Hanifin to a big extension, you're tying up more money in your defense on veteran players than you are right now. Has that worked out well at all for the Blues over the last couple years? Signing a big UFA player into his thirties is a win-now move. You're banking on getting a few good years in which you can hopefully win a cup and then deal with the bad years later. That doesn't track with where the Blues are. They are not winning now.

I've said it a million times but it would be malpractice for the Blues to add any more veterans with significant term/money contracts until they get rid of their commitments they currently have. If you're retaining or buying out Krug, you're getting rid of some of the commitment but not all of it. To reinforce this roster with an additional pricey veteran? I just don't see the point.</div></div>

I would agree with almost everything here. I think we also often overstate the degree of detriment in which Krug is to the roster. Regardless of how frustrating it is watching him he is a very high end puck mover.

The other thing is, i'm not sure the organization is of the same mindset that we're that far off for some odd reason. I think if we could clear out Krug's cap hit, they would heavily pursue a guy like hanifin. If not I still see us as having a bit of a deficiency with production from the backend that the organization will probably try and remedy this offseason with a low cost signing or trade. I think that's kind of the directive they took with the Krug for Sanheim deal that had arose last offseason.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 4 at 2:08 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 29 at 3:25 a.m.
Thread: Dvorsky
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheEarthmaster</b></div><div>I can't really get worked up about who is going to play 3C if there are literally no other significant roster changes being made besides just bringing in Snuggerud. If Armstrong insists on keeping (or is forced to keep) the team in neutral then you might as well just play Schenn there. You do what's best for Dvorsky's development at that point, because I think you'd be hard pressed to expect much more out of this roster than we've seen this year.

I also don't think that Bolduc, Dean and Snuggerud are going to play so well down the stretch this season as to make the Blues forgoe bringing in any forward help this summer. I don't think they can go into the season with all of those guys penciled in for a roster spot. Veterans are fine as long as they don't cost too much money for too long. That's what really makes Stephenson a non-starter for me.</div></div>

Army is going to have to make some trades this summer.
Forum: Toronto Maple LeafsMar. 20 at 10:40 a.m.
Thread: Every bad move Dubas has made as GM of PIT and TOR
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Brad_Treliving</b></div><div>Koivunen is 5'11" 160 pounds playing double the ice size in a soft Finnish league (sounds like a Dubas player). He's not going anywhere near the NHL

There is a reason why DW parted ways with this guy</div></div>

Because he got JAKE F**king GUENTZEL. Koivunen was one of the top prospects in the Canes farm system and is already under contract. He was loaned to Finland this year because we don't have an AHL affiliate because Levin threw a tantrum. He's going to be in the NHL soon, and he's got the skill level to be a top six guy in the NHL. He's going to be a very good player, and simply discounting him because he's 5'11 is comical, once again because Seth Jarvis (you know, the guy the Canes fleeced the Leafs for taking Marleau on?) is 5'10. There's less an 0 reason to doubt Koivunen makes the NHL, the issue is where in the middle six he slots in
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 12 at 5:38 p.m.
Thread: retool
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheEarthmaster</b></div><div>Signing Chandler Stephenson for his age 30-35 seasons at 6 million per when he's been one of the worst defensive players all year and is not scoring nearly as much as he used to to justify it- gonna be a big yikes from be dawg.

This is where the "staying competitive" and the "building for the future" thing that the Blues are trying to do seems really incongruent. That's a contract you sign when you're in win-now mode, you just need a passable center to get you over the hump. But they can't afford to have 33 year old Chandler Stephenson taking up cap space for when Dalibor Dvorsky and Jimmy Snuggerud need his money and roster spot (especially if we're already still going to have Brayden Schenn taking up that money and a roster spot lower in the lineup).</div></div>

I could agree with this. I almost want to do complete rebuild and trade everyone but Thomas and 1st / 2nd year players but don’t think Blues will ever do that.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 29 at 3:57 p.m.
Thread: BLAME ARMSTRONG
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AC14</b></div><div>I loved Vince Dunn, but he was essentially Torey Krug on an small deal at the time of the expansion draft.

Walman also could not stay in the lineup. He was inconsistent and not really all that impactful. For Walman and Dunn if you want to criticize a lack of knowing what they had, sure. But we weren't in a position to deal with mistakes of younger players as we were in a presumed window.

</div></div>

Just a couple points of order...

1 - Yeah, that's just not true. Dunn was nowhere near as calamitous as Krug has been the past two seasons, and he was a young guy still developing. It was an idiotic decision by Army, and it only gets worse when you remember the Avs got Toews for a couple 2nds a couple days later. HUGE dumpster fire and very easy to blame Army for.

2 - Did Walman even make a bunch of mistakes? Remember, this is the same coaching bunch that tried to forcefeed Tucker and Kessel on the 2nd pairing through all sorts of mistakes. Walman not getting enough chances is on the coaching staff, not Walman.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 26 at 4:19 p.m.
Thread: come on doug
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheEarthmaster</b></div><div>That was insane to me, like if that's the threshold for "remarkable" then like Joel Hofer must be the front runner for the Vezina right?</div></div>

More like front runner for president of the universe. JR is great at personal features and occasionally at analyzing video clips. He's horrible at scoops and rating players. Just brutal. Dude thought Leddy was GOOD last season. Not that he wasn't horrific or terrible or bad... GOOD. And he loves to stir up bull**** about our players, too. That whole Berube-Kyrou thing was his doing. And then he pretended he had no idea doing what he did would cause a stir. What a liar.

But the entire Athletic hockey section has turned to doodoo. There's not even an editor on staff. What a bait and switch that site turned out be. I hope it goes under hardcore.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 21 at 12:28 p.m.
Thread: Is this acceptable
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BDHockey</b></div><div>Fair enough. I don't think the Blues should be buying for this season either. My view was that Ferraro is a young defenseman who would be useful for us down the line when we reach contention again. The only LD or really defenseman of any kind that we have concievably being ready by then would be Lindstein.</div></div>

Well you need to also factor in that there's 2 drafts and 2 offseasons at least in the perceived time of this rebuild. A trade would be beneficial, but there's plenty of time for that. We're looking at probably 3-4 potentially available guys currently that may make sense to try and add to try and add substance to our LHD group at the top of the lineup. There will be the same most likely in 2-3 years as well. We just need to filter some guys out to get a more clear direction and see what we have at the same time before jumping on something that's wishful thinking
Forum: Armchair-GMJan. 30 at 5:53 p.m.