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Tkachinla

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Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 26, 2022 at 1:43 p.m.
Thread: JT Miller please
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BStinson</b></div><div>O great paying for a cap dump in the hopes he can prove he isnt “dead”.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TampaBayLightning22</b></div><div>Detroit passes, You're not getting rid of Sean Monahan without at least attaching a 3rd round pick to him. He's coming back from double hip surgeries in consecutive years his value isn't that high right now.

And you're not getting Filip Forsberg any cheaper than the Matthew Tkachuk deal Forsberg will cost at least $9,500,000 x 7 years on the open market. He wants more than $8,000,000 per to remain in Nashville he's not taking less from Calgary.</div></div>

My sarcasm here is that Monahan is still a good player. He’s going to come back healthier and stronger than the past 2 years have shown. And a team that plays him in the Top 6 will increase his value substantially from today’s level.

+ “We shall see”: I don’t think CGY is going to add picks to “dump his cap”, in spite of Capfriendly popular opinion.

+ The Forsberg AAV comment could well be true. He could end up starting with a 9, but my hope here is that Team Sweden (aka Calgary Flames) is an interesting landing spot for him, assuming Johnny gets a bigger bag elsewhere.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 20, 2022 at 6:19 p.m.
Thread: If Johnny Stays
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>You didn't hurt my feelings. But I'm always amazed though that some many homer fans just can't imagine their own players leaving as UFAs, but think signing other teams UFAs are OK.</div></div>

We were discussing CGY trading Monahan / Dube and the valuation of those specific players. Not about the Gaudreau or Tkachuk situations, or any UFA/RFA for that matter.

But on that note:

Yes, there’s above a 0% chance that Gaudreau goes to UFA and finds a higher AAV than CGY offers and he signs elsewhere. But there’s also a high chance that he stays with CGY.

+ Yes there’s above a 0% chance that Tkachuk signs his QO for $9M x 1 year and then leaves CGY. But there’s also a high chance that he stays with CGY.

That’s how UFA/RFA works. Players earn the right to decide.

As someone who closely follows CGY, and based on the progress of these two players and the progress of the team, I think that it’s above 50% chance that they stay. And CGY can make the money work with 1-2 trades.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 29, 2022 at 1:31 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 3, 2022 at 1:34 p.m.
Thread: Keeping the gang together
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>"Keeping the gang together". Well you didn't. Doubt if Lucic is going to waive to lousy team in what might be his final NHL season. And why would teams trade for Monahan? Best thing for the Flames, cap wise, is Monahan stays on LTIR for an extended period.</div></div>

Treliving has said with Monahan’s surgery ASAP that he will have plenty of time to get healthy before next season. So a long stint on LTIR won’t last into next season.

That said, I think everyone who believes that no teams in the league would pay to acquire Monahan are wrong. He’s a low risk reclamation project worth the gamble. CGY needs to move his contract to keep Gaudreau and Tkachuk going forward, especially if all UFA/RFA players are signed with reasonable (ie. Smart) term.

I think Monahan for a 3rd round pick to take him and his salary is a reasonable deal. And I think we’ll find out this summer what Treliving is able to pull off on that trade. I could be wrong and CGY gets pinched to move him, but I’m leaning towards CGY getting something back.

Maybe destinations: CLB, BOS, ANA (acquire, help him score a bit, then eat salary and trade to contender at TDL for asset), etc.

Who knows. All I know is that CGY isn’t going to let Gaudreau or Tkachuk leave. It can be done.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 4, 2022 at 6:44 p.m.