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anduril

anduril
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Sep. 18, 2020
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Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 20, 2020 at 4:38 p.m.
Thread: Oilers Recover 2020 Draft Picks Change D and G
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>anduril</b></div><div>If you think it's terrible, then you either aren't noticing that EDM is taking on nearly $4m in cap or you are seriously underrating Klefbom (or overrating Parayko). The reasoning makes a lot of sense. The premise is STL wants to keep Pietrangelo (which may or may not be true). Including AP, STL has 3 righties that can play in the top 4. I think Faulk is untradeable because of the contract they gave him so that means STL has to decide between AP and CP. If they want to keep AP, they need cap. Bozak is their worst contract and they have more than enough forward depth that they can absorb his loss. So in this deal, they gain just under $4m in cap space by sending him out, even retaining 50% with 1 yr left. They also acquire Klefbom who is not as strong defensively as CP but offers a bit more offensive ability and plays an excellent two-way game. Klefbom's contract is universally recognized as a value deal and they get him for 3 years (as opposed to just 2 more with CP). The drop-off from CP to Klefbom is not massive by any stretch. A B prospect is a reasonable starting point to compensate for the retained money but I'd be open to increase the value of the sweetner to a point.</div></div>
No, I think the trade is terrible because it is terrible for the Blues.

It saves the Blues $4m in cap? Entirely disingenuous. If the Blues are willing to retain 50% on Bozak then there are plenty of teams who would want Bozak at a $2.5m cap hit and $2.125m salary. Bozak at 50% for a mediocre prospect doesn't do anything for the Blues... they can find that easily elsewhere.

So this trade is Kelfbom for Parayko. Which saves the Blues $1.33m in cap.

First, Parayko is comfortably a top-5 defensive defenseman in the League, he's significantly better than Klefbom in this regard. Klefbom is a top-pairing defenseman, but Parayko is elite defensively.

Is Klefbom better than Parayko offensively? Sure. Parayko average 33.77 points per 82 games in his five years in the League. In the same five year span Klefbom averages 36.23 points per 82 games. 2.5 points a season better offensively isn't closing that defensive gap.

Then we come to the fact that RHD are more valuable than LHD. Then we can talk about the fact that Parayko has missed 13 games in his five years in the League. Klefbom has missed 99 in that same span.

Klefbom has an extra year on his contract, and that's great... but it doesn't add the value you think. It's far, far easier to be comfortable giving a healthy Parayko a long term extension at 29, how comfortable will it be giving an injury-prone 30 year old Klefbom the deal he's looking for in three years?

As for the whole right-left balance on defense... that's a load of nonsense. If Parayko was a lefty then he still wouldn't be playing with Pietrangelo, if you have two stud defensemen then you want them on different pairings; so that one is on the ice 45-50 minutes a game and they are raising the level of their two defensive partners.

As for your proposed pairings for the Blues should that trade happen... Dunn-Faulk would not be a good second pairing when you consider their skill sets. There isn't the issue that some like to pretend there is in having so much money tied up on one side of the defense, particularly when one can play either side.

Then the fact that the Blues have Dunn, Scandella and Gunnarsson on the left side, with Mikkola viewed as NHL ready and the organisation extremely high on Perunovich. Yet, we've got nobody beyond Pietrangelo, Parayko, Faulk &amp; Bortuzzo in the right. Taking a RHD to add a lefty wouldn't make sense.

Downgrading Parayko to Klefbom to save $1.33m in cap is a terrible, terrible idea for the Blues. We save more than that buying Steen out.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 20, 2020 at 9:56 a.m.
Thread: Oilers Recover 2020 Draft Picks Change D and G
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>anduril</b></div><div>I think he'd make a lot of sense there, especially with all the turnover in the bottom six. He's capable of netting 10-15 goals and can play up and down the lineup as needed. He adds some real aggressiveness and he's fast. He's a guy that can change momentum with hits, fights, and crazy eyes. Won over Oilers fans who hated him with a passion because of his cheap shot on Sam Gagner, a very popular Oiler. The contract is an overpay for sure but very doable for Buffalo. He adds a dimension that I don't think they have. However, if not Buffalo, the asking price is fair and I think could be obtained somewhere. To my knowledge, he didn't burn bridges in Buffalo but feel free to correct me on this.</div></div>

Sabres are on a pretty tight budget this offseason. They probably shouldn’t spend 3.2 on bottom 6 players. They have a lot of RFA’s this year that’s why it looks like they have a lot of cap space.