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hoac434
Member Since
Dec. 30, 2022
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Montreal Canadiens
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Forum:
Armchair-GM
Oct. 5, 2023 at 11:45 a.m.
Thread:
Philly Trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>I can't see Konecky being the difference maker for his two years as Hab to justify the trade.
I've been impressed by Mailloux this pre season.</div></div>
The trade might be premature by a year since the habs realistically need one more high draft pick before they can start buying in to the playoffs but a Konecny trade wouldn't be just for 1-2 years of him, it would be to keep. He was a PPG player last year on that Flyers team and he is still relatively young which could fit well in our top 6 which is currently missing at least one or two pieces
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 27, 2023 at 11:31 a.m.
Thread:
Season Opening Roster
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SupremeBone</b></div><div>Alright, I'll bite.
1.) Sending down Edmunson at 1.75mil and Ylonen at 1mil would still leave the Oilers with a cap hit of ~600k (1.15mil/contract is buriable). I don't presume that Ylonen would be sent down, though. Assuming your own figure of 1mil on an extension for Ylonen (probably could be had for a bit less, but it's your figure sooo), that effectively means we'd have Ylonen on a cap hit of 1.6mil (1mil of his own, 600k of Edmundson's dead cap). That's fine, but non-optimal.
2.) The entire basis for your position assumes the premise that Foegele is a burden and, as such, should qualify as a cap dump- a term that SHOULD be defined as costing assets to be rid of. As my original comment suggests, I reject this premise entirely. Foegele is a quality bottom-6 F whose chance generation rates rank him between 2nd and 4th on the team (per-60) across individual scoring chance categories in company with Hyman, Kane, and McDavid. Keep in mind that this is while playing approx 75% of his minutes in the bottom-6, unlike the other 3. And it's not just chance generation but even his actual 5-on-5 offense (2.1 pts/60) exceeds his role by quite a margin. This in conjunction with his age, good on-ice chemistry with McLeod, and his off-ice relationships with the core players denotes a player of genuine value that the team should work to retain, not be desperate to dump.
<strong>Since you seem to need me to spell it out for you, the fact that I believe that Foegele is a valuable piece to the bottom-6 is the central point of my argument and one that I clearly stated in the original comment.</strong>
3.) You also frame the discussion (that snide "with no solutions" hasn't been missed) as if Edmonton would have no other options which is a falacious way to frame the discussion.
4.) Your "analysis" completely ignores Matvey Petrov's includsion in the deal who, after both his primary linemates from last year moved on from juniors, maintained a high level of play while evolving his style to produce another successful offensive season. While I won't sit here and suggest he's worth high picks, I'd peg his value within the range of 4th (or perhaps a 3rd) given his development since drafting.
5.) Lastly, you presume that any of the remotely comparable UFAs would sign in EDM <em>and</em> do so for a low enough cap hit to fit within what you seem to believe is an unmanageably tight cap situation. Given the aforementioned math on Ylonen and Edmundson, the replacement's cap hit would need to be less than 1.8mil to remain under the threshold of Foegele and a player on league minimum (3.425mil). This is without even addressing the likelihood that they contribute to the team to the degree that Foegele did this year.
Given all this, yes, I <strong>don't</strong> want to give up Foegele and Petrov for Ylonen ~1.6mil and a 3rd. Now take your "brilliant management solutions" and bad faith interpretations and shove 'em.</div></div>
As a non-oiler fan I often hear either that Yamamoto or Foegele are cap dumps/not worth that much. Do you think Yamamoto qualifies as that? If so would Yamamoto + Petrov for Ylonen + 3rd + Edmundson (50%) or Kovacevic work? MTL need to make some space in defence, we have 3 extras right now who would get picked up on waivers probably
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 27, 2023 at 11:26 a.m.
Thread:
Season Opening Roster
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Blasphem_Guy</b></div><div>So, would a package of FLA's 2023 1st and a top prospect like Joshua Roy be good value for Laffy?</div></div>
In terms of pure value probably since Laffy still has more upside than Roy but I don't see it happening, the Hughes regime probably wants to see what their prospects can do on the big stage first
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 27, 2023 at 9:31 a.m.
Thread:
Season Opening Roster v2
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Babatunde</b></div><div>Leafs don't even consider. You are trading a bad goalie with two more years and a bad AAV for a goalie who is on a an expiring deal and Leafs still pay the third. This isn't a donation, pay up if you want to dump Allen. Starts with your 2023 first</div></div>
So youre saying that a goalie who put up a .903 SV% and is injured 75% of the year is worth a top 5 pick + a goalie who put up a .891 SV%, not on a top 5 team but on a bottom 5 team and for 1mil cheaper
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 26, 2023 at 4:36 p.m.
Thread:
Season Opening Roster
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Blasphem_Guy</b></div><div>If NYR is willing to part ways with one young RW, I would pay the extra to get Lafrenière over Kakko.
Unfortunately, I also don't think MTL is willing to trade anything NYR would want in exchange (prob MTL's 2023 1st)</div></div>
It doesn't take from the fact that NYR will be in cap hell for the next 2 seasons so ideally they move someone. They wont get a top 5 pick for Laf or kakko, they haven't shown they are worth that. All other players on the roster seem a bit too immovable or with too little cap to make a difference
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 26, 2023 at 4:25 p.m.
Thread:
Season Opening Roster
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SupremeBone</b></div><div>For what feels like the millionth time, EDM has no use for Edmunson as all of Nurse, Ekholm, Kulak, and Broberg are better LD. Further, Foegele is a player I aim to avoid moving; an important piece to a well-functioning bottom-6.</div></div>
My bad, I thought it was the other way around
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 23, 2023 at 5:36 p.m.
Thread:
Patrick Kane Trade
Yeah sorry if it looks confusing, Its kinda a 4 way trade in MTL's POV, dannibal shortened it well
Im not brave enough to attempt giving a return for Kane for CHI
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 20, 2023 at 9:49 a.m.
Thread:
Habs Deadline
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Howie</b></div><div>Drouin ain't worth a 2nd lol. He's worth maybe a 6th rn he has no goals all season, injury issues and a larger cap affecting other possible moves just not a guy that is very good deadline acquisition</div></div>
As long as he creates chances, goals arent important. Would you value Kempe more than Q. Hughes because he has more goals?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 7, 2023 at 8:16 a.m.
Thread:
Dubas needs a solid
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MaxBorjshlapsky</b></div><div>I adjusted the offer with no retention...</div></div>
Sam is an untouchable, so the reports go. Put Allen instead and you may have a deal
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 7, 2023 at 8:15 a.m.
Thread:
Dubas needs a solid
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MitchJr</b></div><div>I agree Anderson brings something more to the mix than engvall (Anderson seems to torch leafs every time we play the habs), but their production is basically equal & engvall is also borderline elite defensively. Nothing happens when he is on the ice (which is frustrating to watch) but it’s also undeniably effective & valuable.
The difference between the two is not a 1st; and given Anderson’s contract (which is over priced with 5 years left :grimace ), I wouldn’t go near Anderson with a 10 foot pole</div></div>
Us as fans have a very different perception of Anderson than analysts and GMs. Everyone here says they would not touch Anderson and he is worthless, that MTL would have to pay to offload him. However all the reports we hear have him as a high value player who many GMs would like on their team
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 7, 2023 at 8:13 a.m.
Thread:
Dubas needs a solid
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Campabee</b></div><div>Montreal wouldn't do this trade cause it sucks for them! Monty has been solid and Hughes said he sees him as a Hab for a long time. Anderson has more value to the Habs than he does on the open market. You can have Wideman for a 4th though.</div></div>
the guy changed the offer
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 7, 2023 at 8:12 a.m.
Thread:
Habs Ideas
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>IDKtbh</b></div><div>I’m not very familiar with that Kovacevic kid, but I can’t see the Wings being interested in offloading Veleno in a deal that doesn’t really bare fruit.</div></div>
It depends what Detroit is looking for, veterans, prospects or young NHL ready players. That changes potential MTL offers
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 7, 2023 at 5:46 a.m.
Thread:
Habs Ideas
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>theleano1</b></div><div>Sure, Demko is not only the younger goaltender he is also the better goaltender, Allen has been a back up pretty much for his whole career well Demko has been one of the most promising goaltenders for the past couple years, I am not sure why the Canucks would downgrade without a sweetener coming the other way, if the Canucks where to trade Demko to MTL the price starts at Barron and FLA's 1st or else we have little interest in trading him</div></div>
Thats a good point, im basing this off of Demko's reported want to get out of VAN which should bring the value down. Maybe the FLA 1st instead of Ylonen?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 7, 2023 at 5:44 a.m.
Thread:
Habs Ideas
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Islesforthecup</b></div><div>Easy pass for NYI</div></div>
In your post you suggest Bailey and a 3rd for Vrana who passed waivers
How is Anderson for Bailey and a 2nd, anderson who reportedly is worth a first +, that much bigger of a pass
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 7, 2023 at 5:43 a.m.
Thread:
Habs Ideas
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Islesforthecup</b></div><div>Bc there’s not enough value going back to VAN</div></div>
It removes a lot of long term money given to at least 1 player who reportedly doesnt want to be in VAN for shorter cheaper contracts. How much more value would be needed?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 7, 2023 at 5:40 a.m.
Thread:
Habs Ideas
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>theleano1</b></div><div>Canucks pass</div></div>
Can you expand as to why?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Feb. 7, 2023 at 5:39 a.m.
Thread:
Dubas needs a solid
MTL wouldn't do this trade just because of the retained salary, maybe remove Mcmann and add a 4th on MTL's side?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 24, 2023 at 12:35 p.m.
Thread:
TDL attempt 23
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Lochness1202</b></div><div>How about no for kuzmenko! He’s probably worth that type of deal but we aren’t in a position to be trading 1st round picks. Just be patient.</div></div>
Realistically by the time we reach the 2025 draft we should be starting to contend for a playoff spot so I think a pick so late is expendable, Kuzmenko is a good player who is still young and would reach his prime around the that time. Getting this type of player for an arguably 2nd/3rd center, a depth defenceman and a late first seems worth it to me
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Jan. 1, 2023 at 11:30 a.m.
Thread:
Montreal deadline moves
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tryger</b></div><div>Yeah man, that’s what I’ve been saying. Hope you guys get the first, but it won’t be from a team like the Kings. We just left our rebuild, and the type of defenseman we need should be younger and more skilled, the Kings are leaning closer to Chychrun than any of the available defensemen on the market right now. Someone will overpay for Edmundson, but I’d be willing to bet it won’t be the Kings if the price is a 1st, especially since we have the Habs old GM as an assistant to our GM.</div></div>
The Kings don't have to be the trade partner, its more of a placeholder for an Edmunsson trade. Teams like Vegas and Edmonton might be a better fit
SalarySwish
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