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ms39

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Jul. 14, 2022
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Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 14, 2023 at 6:25 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug. 4, 2023 at 10:30 a.m.
Thread: Arizona Will Make the Playoffs With 87 Points
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ms39</b></div><div>87 may seem like a shocker but my gut says that the Avs and Stars dominate the Central with the Wild taking a step back, Blues not returning to their good form, Winnipeg and Nashville really struggling (relative to 2022-23), and Chicago still being plain awful. There’s a window for the third team to sneak in with a low point total while Colorado and Dallas gobble up the points and both crack 110. May not be Arizona but with good goaltending, better center depth than it may seem at first glance, and a serviceable D corps, I like their chances. I’m not a Coyotes fan, but, as an Islanders fan, Arizona’s arena woes have endeared them to me this summer!
Thank you all for engaging here in the dog days of August!</div></div>

The wild will 1000% reach the playoffs, people have been predicting them to fall off since they were knocked out by St Louis I’m 2022, and it hasn’t happened and I don’t think it will happen anytime soon

And St Louis is light years ahead of Arizona in every category except for goaltending, Vejmelka is the most overrated goaltender in the NHL and there’s no competition for that spot

And yeah I can say the same about Nashville and Winnipeg
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 18, 2023 at 2:33 p.m.
Thread: Lou had a very Successful Retool
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Juiceman</b></div><div>3rd line wingers are not the guys you lock up for 7 years. Same with 30 year old 3rd pairing defensemen. You give those guys 4 years max. The Islanders are already old and did nothing to get younger. How do you even consider this a re-tool?</div></div>

Horvat would've signed for more as a UFA and is a phenomenal 2way forward/ goal scorer. Engvall was a top 6 forward with the islanders and played great last season with nelson and palmeri. If he grows on that which Lou is banking on that contract will be looked at as a steal. Mayfield while the term is too long signed for less AAV so it is what it is. Varlamov also got more term to get lower AAV. Additionally, The Islanders really arent very old-- its a false narrative that is skewed by their 4th line/role players/backup goalie. Islanders core and their ages:

Barzal 26, Horvat 28, Nelson 31, Pageau 30, Engvall 27, Pulock 28, Pelech 28, Dobson 23, Romanov 23, Aho 27, Mayfield 30, Wahlstrom 23, Lee 33, Fasching 27, Sorokin 27

That core doesn't look too old to me??? But, that wouldn't fit your narrative!!

Then again your team is the Sabres who are constantly the youngest team in the league and consistently underperform and miss the playoffs... Hey at least "Buffalo's Savior" Jack Eichel Won a cup!!! :tearsofjoy :tearsofjoy :tearsofjoy :tearsofjoy
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 14, 2022 at 11:40 p.m.
Thread: Tkachuk to the Island
I'll do my best to be constructive but instead of hitting the trades first I want to talk contracts:

-One thing Gaudreau and Filip Forsberg before him did this summer was set the market for extensions. Forsberg signed 8x$8.5M, Gaudrea signed 7x$9.8M. Even being younger, I can't see Tkachuk pushing *this* much past what those two guys got. I'd put the ceiling of his extension at $10M. Bellows signs below $1M, a long term Dobson extension probably clocks in at $7M max, and Romanov probably bridges at $3M. That's about $5.5M less in cap if you bring the contracts to a more realistic number.

As far as the trade:
-Not going to comment on the overkill because you said it yourself: you're emptying the entire draft cupboard. I don't think it will take that much, but for the sake of the bit I'll let it slide. It is fair to say that Beau probably heads to Calgary in any version of this deal.

-I don't know if Varlamov waives for San Jose, and I don't think the Sharks have the cap to make this deal straight up. Even if they do, I don't think the Isles add this much - they're more or less the same age, almost identical stats last year, and while Varly has the higher cap hit he also has the recent playoff success so I think he makes up a little of that negative value there.

-Palmieri would probably waive to go back to the Devils, and I think the value is actually fair here. Isles add a little extra value to the package to get a better pick back.

-This goes off the rails. Wahlstrom is a high potential forward and one of the few young NHL-ready players in the organization. Pairing him with Panik and a 4th to get back a pair of 2nds is undervaluing what he's worth to the team.

-Mayfield should have higher value than this - he's an expiring 4th/5th D on a very cheap deal. If I'm moving him I'm looking for a strong package - a 2nd rounder pick and B-tier prospect coming back at least. There's no one in the org ready to step up and take over RD3, so if you're going to create a new hole it has to be for a strong return.

-Minnesota probably doesn't need a goalie after signing MAF and acquiring Filip Gustavsson, and this is where that extra money you saved up to comes into play. Instead of offloading Reimer because of cap constraints, he sticks around as Sorokin's backup and then you don't have to rush Jakub Skarek into the NHL.

-If you want Martin off the roster I think you can more easily bury him in Bridgeport - it's a minimal cap penalty for burying him (~$350K) and I think Lou keeps him around out of loyalty. A 6th and a 7th isn't a ton to pay, sure, but if you can keep those lottery tickets on hand, why not?

-Lee put up 28 goals last year on the island; Lucic has scored 28 total goals in 206 GP since coming to Calgary in 2019. Lee bounced back nicely from his torn ACL last season and plays a game that should hopefully age well - he's not a speed guy, he's a more physical player but he's not a guy that throws the body all the time (the way Lucic played earlier in his career.) I still think you're not gonna love the last couple years on his deal, but he's still a useful player on this team. And you cannot discount the fact that he was the first guy named captain after Tavares left the team - he seems to take that role very seriously and I think that he flexes his NTC on any deal with the goal of being a one-team man for his career.