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srof12

Member Since
Mar. 29, 2022
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New Jersey Devils
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Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 1, 2023 at 12:53 p.m.
Thread: Mantha to NJ for Playoffs
I can't imagine Washington would entertain any trade that involved retention given that they'll need cap space for next year and trading Mantha would be because of said cap space issues. I personally think Washington should hold onto him and let him play top 6 minutes under a different coach, but if they were to trade him, I don't think this return is very appealing to DC.

Washington has been reportedly only been entertaining trade offers for good value, no meager returns, which makes me think Mantha is unlikely to move (since most would agree his value is quite tarnished right now), and in this trade itself Blackwood brings no value to DC and would be viewed as a dump for them (wouldn't get time over Kumper and Lindgren). The Foote + Cond. 3rd part isn't horrible, (about what Washington had to add in to upgrade from Vrana to Mantha) but I think Washington would keep him for next year if the offer didn't start with a 2nd based on the previous trades/extension choices.
Forum: Armchair-GMMar. 1, 2023 at 1:16 p.m.
Thread: Mantha to NJ for Playoffs
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>srof12</b></div><div>Theoretically we could make this same trade with no retention. There's space. But a 3rd/2nd and a decent prospect in Foote for retaining 1.5 million feels pretty fair no?</div></div>

Sure it's fair but doesn't mean its the best option for washington. They clearly are not gearing up to make the playoffs this year so they don't need the cap space right now. Laviolette almost certainly won't be back and a new coach might give Mantha higher usage. More teams will probably be willing to take a risk on Mantha in the summer when he only has one year left and their strategies are a bit more set. There's just no real downside to waiting on a Mantha move until this summer unless there is truly an offer you can't refuse. BMac has already proven he's not moving guys just to move them with the Jensen extension. Foote and a 3rd are nice, but not that nice.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 19, 2022 at 3:10 p.m.
Thread: Why are Devils fans mad at Severson
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>Severson made a bad play a couple of games ago (turnover at blueline) that lead to an odd-man rush and a goal against. It stunk. But the bigger picture is that there is a group of Devils fans that have hated Severson, Hischier, and a couple of others….and they can be quite noisy on social media. So any time one of those guys does anything wrong, it seems to get amplified.

Severson has been prone to the occasional WTF mistake ever since he arrived in NHL. His own goal vs San Jose, his 2-on-1 defending against the leafs, the turnover the other night. But those events = trees. The rest of his resume = forest. He has been one of the better puck movers in last few years, especially d-zone exits and passing through neutral zone. He has played well defensively 5v5, especially when paired with a partner whose strength is d-zone denial (ie, Siegenthaler, Greene). He does well in possession style system (specifically getting pucks out of zone and onto puck carriers sticks). And he can run PP if needed (as we saw last year with Dougie out).

Also, useful to note his usage has changed a lot with a healthy Hamilton and Marino in lineup. Fewer PP minutes and less offensive opportunities. But his GF/60 rates haven’t really slipped.

We’d be lucky if he returned a package like Bourgault/1st. He probably gets a good prospect or late 1st if we moved him though. RD market can get a little frothy at times, so maybe a bit more.</div></div>

my spicy hot take is that his turnover wasn't even a bad play as opposed to being like, half a second too late to execute a good play lmao
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 21, 2022 at 11:39 a.m.
Thread: Meier comps to NJD
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Rob32sjsharks</b></div><div>he absolutely is</div></div>

Last 3 years:
GAR/60 -- M: 0.557 || B: <strong>0.589</strong>
xGAR/60 -- M: 0.511 || B: <strong>0.792</strong>
RAPM xG+-/60 -- M: 0.23 || B: <strong>0.318</strong>
RAPM C+-/60 -- M: 4.49 || B: <strong>5.26</strong>
RAPM Goals +-/60 -- M: 0.175 || B: <strong>0.195</strong>
Points/60 -- M: 2.76 || B: <strong>3.07</strong>
A1/60 -- M: 0.83 || B: <strong>1.17</strong>
G/60 -- M: <strong>1.27</strong> || B: 0.98

Meier is better than Bratt in exactly 1 category, an individual one mostly due to his extremely high volume of shots (22.9 iCF/60 compared to 15.09). His net impact on the game is worse than Bratt in every regard.

He is likely a step down from Bratt rather than a step up.

He is also 2 years older and will cost about the same amount of money.
Forum: Armchair-GMDec. 16, 2022 at 10:47 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMJun. 20, 2022 at 6:14 p.m.
Thread: Screw It Trade Fiala Dumba and Talbot
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jnowariak</b></div><div>You’re kidding me about Gritsyuk, right? I realize NJD fans found an obscure prospect that popped in his D3 year and want him to be the centerpiece of everything, but they want that because he’s unlikely to play for NJD (lineup, development, or contract reasons). If he was 1st RD material, he’s be playing in NA.</div></div>

He didn’t really “pop in d+3” though. It wasn’t like he was just some random kid that got lucky. He really emerged as legit NHL talent after world junior tournament a couple of years ago. Two seasons back, he tore up Russian juniors and his linemate was subsequently drafted in 1st round by Columbus as an overager. Last year, he was basically a 13th forward on the team that won KHL championship (with a roster loaded with veteran forwards). Minutes were hard to come by. This year, he led KHL in scoring for his age group and was youngest forward on Russian Olympic roster and featured in their top-6.

You don’t have to take him seriously, but do not deride those that do.