Which is a bigger risk

Created by: KentMcNally

Team: 2023-24 Montreal Canadiens

Initial Creation Date: Mar. 19, 2024

Published: Mar. 19, 2024

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Legend

Left Handed

Original Team

Waivers Exempt

Right Handed

Position

Trade Clause

Max Perf. Bonus

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McDavid, Connor

$12,500,000 ( Performance Bonus

$250,000)

NMC

UFA - 5

Description

I am curious about which team thinks this trade is a bigger risk, especially when one considers all of the factors (salary, length of contract, injury history and the potential of the player to produce in the future).
Montreal gets a guy that is locked in longer term (which could be good or bad) but has a suspect shoulder.
Ottawa gets the cheaper option (saving $4,6M) and could choose not to re-sign Dach if he does not pan out for the remaining 3 years on his contract. Dach also has his own injury concerns.

Who wins this trade and why?

Trades

Retained Salary Transactions

Joel Edmundson: $1,750,000 (50%)
Jeff Petry: $2,343,750 (50%)
Jake Allen: $1,925,000 (50%)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2024
2025
2026

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
24	$83,500,000	$80,397,916	$1,170,000	$4,035,000	$3,102,084

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Caufield, Cole $7,850,000$7,850,000 LW, RW UFA - 8	Suzuki, Nick $7,875,000$7,875,000 C UFA - 7	Gallagher, Brendan $6,500,000$6,500,000 RW, LW M-NTC, NMC UFA - 4
Pearson, Tanner $3,250,000$3,250,000 LW UFA - 1	Newhook, Alex $2,900,000$2,900,000 C, LW RFA - 4	Anderson, Josh $5,500,000$5,500,000 RW, LW M-NTC UFA - 4
Harvey-Pinard, Rafaël $1,100,000$1,100,000 LW, RW RFA - 2	Evans, Jake $1,700,000$1,700,000 C UFA - 2	Armia, Joel $3,400,000$3,400,000 RW, LW UFA - 2
Roy, Joshua $835,000$835,000 ($57,500$58K) LW, RW RFA - 3	White, Colin $775,000$775,000 C, RW UFA - 1	Slafkovsky, Juraj $950,000$950,000 ($3,500,000$4M) RW, LW RFA - 2
Pezzetta, Michael $812,500$812,500 LW, RW UFA - 2	Norris, Joshua $7,950,000$7,950,000 C UFA - 7	Ylönen, Jesse $775,000$775,000 RW, LW RFA - 1

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Matheson, Michael $4,875,000$4,875,000 LD M-NTC UFA - 3	Savard, David $3,500,000$3,500,000 RD UFA - 2	Montembeault, Samuel $1,000,000$1,000,000 G UFA - 1
Harris, Jordan $1,400,000$1,400,000 LD/RD RFA - 2	Kovacevic, Johnathan $766,667$766,667 RD UFA - 2	Primeau, Cayden $890,000$890,000 G RFA - 2
Struble, Jayden $867,500$867,500 ($57,500$58K) LD RFA - 2
Guhle, Kaiden $863,333$863,333 ($420,000$420K) LD/RD RFA - 2
Xhekaj, Arber $828,333$828,333 LD/RD RFA - 1

Scratches	Injured Reserve (IR)	Long Term IR (LTIR)
	Dvorak, Christian $4,450,000$4,450,000 C M-NTC UFA - 2	Price, Carey $10,500,000$10,500,000 G NMC UFA - 3
	Wideman, Chris $762,500$762,500 RD UFA - 1

Top Comments

Mar. 19 at 10:58 a.m.

littlejerryseinfeld

Joined: Nov. 2017

Posts: 27,891

Likes: 14,577

There is no trade...

aedoran and OldNYIfan liked this.

Mar. 19 at 11:02 a.m.

ht42

Joined: Apr. 2022

Posts: 2,461

Likes: 699

I think a repetitive shoulder injury is a higher-risk than what Dach haved. Don't forget that Dach have been operated by one of the most renowned surgeries in the world for this type of injury.

Billy316 liked this.

Mar. 19 at 11:05 a.m.

OldNYIfan

Once a Kings Fan Too

Joined: Jun. 2018

Posts: 40,499

Likes: 25,389

Quoting: littlejerryseinfeld

There is no trade...

I'm guessing he's talking about Thomas Chabot for Kirby Dach . . .

Billy316 liked this.

Mar. 19 at 11:22 a.m.

Bobrick

HockeyLeagueThreads

Joined: Apr. 2022

Posts: 552

Likes: 347

Quoting: OldNYIfan

I'm guessing he's talking about Thomas Chabot for Kirby Dach . . .

It's a Dach and Norris swap. That said, the bigger risk is for the Habs to take on Norris. His multiple injuries, longer contract and higher cap hit make it that way.

OldNYIfan, BorisBagel, Billy316 and 2 others liked this.

Mar. 19 at 11:30 a.m.

KentMcNally

Fall River Habs

Joined: Aug. 2021

Posts: 886

Likes: 336

Quoting: Bobrick

It's a Dach and Norris swap. That said, the bigger risk is for the Habs to take on Norris. His multiple injuries, longer contract and higher cap hit make it that way.

I tend to agree. However, Norris does have a 35 goal season already under his belt, which is something exciting for a center as young as he is. If he could get healthy and produce near that rate I don't know whether Dach replicates that production. Plus, the Norris salary for a 35 goal scorer in the future is not bad.

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Which is a bigger risk

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