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ATTENTION ALL TEAMS - WHAT IS THE VALUE OF A TOP D PROSPECT

Created by: TheFlamingC
Team: 2019-20 Toronto Maple Leafs
Initial Creation Date: Aug. 4, 2019
Published: Aug. 4, 2019
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Some Leafs fans seem to think that Kapanen for a top D prospect straight up is a fair trade. I say no way. Other examples of this would be some of my trades below. The most common one is Andersson for Kapanen which all Flames fans tell Leafs fans isn't fair but some of them keep saying it is. I know some of these are better than Andersson however and some are worse but just showing other top D prospects/ really good young D. I also just wanted to know what the value of some players like these would be. Obviously, it also varies from player to player. I also know that if you went through this whole list only about 3 or 4 would be available. This is just theoretically. I added all these players so that almost every team had a player to say what it would take from them. I'd also imagine RD would get more because only 16 are on here compared to 30 LD. The trades I can remember with players like these have netted Dougie Hamilton, Jonathan Drouin, Matt Duchene, Mark Stone and Phil Kessel. All of which were in packages except for Drouin and they were the main piece in getting Drouin, Hamilton, and Stone. I think that those are all a lot better returns than Kapanen. The fact I can only remember 5 shows how valuable they are. Teams don't want to trade them even if they can get a Stone or a Duchene
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
3$925,000
3$925,000
3$925,000
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
5$8,000,000
5$8,000,000
Trades
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
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8.
9.
10.
11.
TOR
  1. McAvoy, Charlie [RFA Rights]
BOS
12.
13.
14.
15.
TOR
  1. Werenski, Zachary [RFA Rights]
CBJ
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
TOR
  1. York, Cam [Reserve List]
PHI
25.
TOR
  1. Harley, Thomas [Reserve List]
DAL
26.
27.
TOR
  1. Romanov, Alexander [Reserve List]
MTL
28.
29.
30.
Retained Salary Transactions
Buried
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the CBJ
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Logo of the VGK
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the CAR
Logo of the COL
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the SJS
Logo of the STL
Logo of the WPG
2021
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
Logo of the TOR
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2022
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ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
46$81,500,000$120,269,417$0$16,932,500-$38,769,417
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$894,167$894,167
LD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$400,000$400K)
RD
RFA - 3
Logo of the Philadelphia Flyers
$3,250,000$3,250,000
LD/RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Calgary Flames
$755,833$755,833 (Performance Bonus$57,500$58K)
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Arizona Coyotes
$4,600,000$4,600,000
LD/RD
UFA - 6
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$925,000$925,000
RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$500,000$500K)
LD/RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$880,833$880,833 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Carolina Hurricanes
$850,000$850,000
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the New York Islanders
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$537,500$538K)
RD
RFA - 3
Logo of the Calgary Flames
$1,237,500$1,237,500
LD
UFA - 5
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$425,000$425K)
RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$916,667$916,667 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$894,167$894,167 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RD
RFA - 3
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$1,450,000$1M)
LD
UFA - 2
$8,000,000$8,000,000
RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Calgary Flames
$894,166$894,166 (Performance Bonus$425,000$425K)
LD
RFA - 2
Logo of the New York Rangers
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
RD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Tampa Bay Lightning
$894,166$894,166 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$720,000$720,000 (Performance Bonus$20,000$20K)
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$728,333$728,333 (Performance Bonus$182,500$182K)
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$894,167$894,167
RD
RFA - 4
Logo of the Colorado Avalanche
$925,000$925,000
LD/RD
RFA - 4
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$175,000$175K)
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Calgary Flames
$730,833$730,833 (Performance Bonus$82,500$82K)
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Arizona Coyotes
$925,000$925,000
RD
RFA - 5
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$2,850,000$3M)
LD/RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$925,000$925,000
RD
RFA - 5
Logo of the Chicago Blackhawks
$894,167$894,167
LD
UFA - 4
Logo of the Philadelphia Flyers
$678,889$678,889
RD
UFA - 1
$8,000,000$8,000,000
LD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Detroit Red Wings
$714,166$714,166 (Performance Bonus$182,500$182K)
RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the New York Rangers
$833,333$833,333
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the New York Rangers
$925,000$925,000
LD
UFA - 2
$925,000$925,000
LD
RFA
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$450,000$450K)
LD/RD, LW
RFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$925,000$925,000
LD
RFA - 5
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$720,000$720,000 (Performance Bonus$70,000$70K)
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$825,000$825,000 (Performance Bonus$82,500$82K)
LD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$710,000$710,000 (Performance Bonus$70,000$70K)
LD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$360,000$360K)
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Dallas Stars
$894,166$894,166 (Performance Bonus$2,500,000$2M)
LD/RD
UFA - 2
$925,000$925,000
LD/RD
RFA
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$925,000$925,000
LD
RFA - 5
$925,000$925,000
LD
RFA - 5
Logo of the Pittsburgh Penguins
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$212,500$212K)
LD
RFA - 3

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Aug. 4, 2019 at 6:18 p.m.
#26
Sam
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Quoting: TheFlamingC
If Brannstrom got Mark Stone extended paired with only a 2nd how would Andersson for Kapanen be fair?


There is no correlation there, that is a totally different scenario with players that are not comparable. Kapanen and Andersson are roughly the same age and are both very good players playing in similar roles. I might even argue that Kapanen’s track record and impact were much greater than Andersson’s.
Aug. 4, 2019 at 6:20 p.m.
#27
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Quoting: SpaghettiPasta
Reilly gets back a good RHD, a first and a good prospect


Yes but apparently Nylander for Pesce was fair
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Aug. 4, 2019 at 6:21 p.m.
#28
14m in dead cap
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Quoting: SpaghettiPasta
Reilly gets back a good RHD, a first and a good prospect


I would never give up that for Mike Reilly.
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Aug. 4, 2019 at 6:25 p.m.
#29
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Quoting: STLBlues17
There is no correlation there, that is a totally different scenario with players that are not comparable. Kapanen and Andersson are roughly the same age and are both very good players playing in similar roles. I might even argue that Kapanen’s track record and impact were much greater than Andersson’s.


Andersson put up 20 points playing 3rd pair minutes with other rookies (they were also promising d-men but still were rookies) and has played an entire NHL season, will play the first pair next year, and was used as our extra attacker and got PP time vs Kapanen who is a middle six winger that put up 40 points playing with Auston Matthews the whole year. Brannstrom has never played a season in the NHL and is only potential and has proven nothing. Andersson still hasn't reached his ceiling as well. (nor as Brannstrom to be fair though).
Aug. 4, 2019 at 6:29 p.m.
#30
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The key here is that some of these prospects won't be successful in the NHL. There's a big difference between Werenski who already played three seasons, or McAvoy, guys we know will stay in the NHL, and other guys who are still in the AHL or who only played NHL games against weaker opposition. Can't see a team giving good NHL assets for a player in the latter category, which has a much higher level of risk.
Aug. 4, 2019 at 6:31 p.m.
#31
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Quoting: JayTea
I would never give up that for Mike Reilly.


It's Morgan Rielly. You might have known that just making sure you weren't actually thinking of Mike Reilly
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Aug. 4, 2019 at 6:35 p.m.
#32
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Quoting: leaflet
The key here is that some of these prospects won't be successful in the NHL. There's a big difference between Werenski who already played three seasons, or McAvoy, guys we know will stay in the NHL, and other guys who are still in the AHL or who only played NHL games against weaker opposition. Can't see a team giving good NHL assets for a player in the latter category, which has a much higher level of risk.


Yah, probably shouldn't have included McAvoy or Werenski. I just included all the really good young D I thought of looking at Button's list, past draft years, other prospects rankings, etc., most of them likely will succeed I think besides maybe 12 or 13 out of these 45 players
Aug. 4, 2019 at 6:39 p.m.
#33
Sam
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Quoting: TheFlamingC
Andersson put up 20 points playing 3rd pair minutes with other rookies (they were also promising d-men but still were rookies) and has played an entire NHL season, will play the first pair next year, and was used as our extra attacker and got PP time vs Kapanen who is a middle six winger that put up 40 points playing with Auston Matthews the whole year. Brannstrom has never played a season in the NHL and is only potential and has proven nothing. Andersson still hasn't reached his ceiling as well. (nor as Brannstrom to be fair though).


Kasperi Kapanen is a very good hockey player with room to become an even better one. Rasmus Andersson is also a good hockey player with a lot of potential. I just don’t see anything that’s special enough to make one of them a lot better than the other.
Aug. 4, 2019 at 6:42 p.m.
#34
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Quoting: STLBlues17
Kasperi Kapanen is a very good hockey player with room to become an even better one. Rasmus Andersson is also a good hockey player with a lot of potential. I just don’t see anything that’s special enough to make one of them a lot better than the other.


Andersson is an RD. Kapanen is a winger. Really good young D have a lot higher trade value than really good young forwards.
Aug. 4, 2019 at 6:44 p.m.
#35
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Quoting: STLBlues17
Kasperi Kapanen is a very good hockey player with room to become an even better one. Rasmus Andersson is also a good hockey player with a lot of potential. I just don’t see anything that’s special enough to make one of them a lot better than the other.


It's like Nylander for Pesce. Looks fair but Pesce is a d-man so his trade value is higher
Aug. 4, 2019 at 6:49 p.m.
#36
Sam
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Quoting: TheFlamingC
It's like Nylander for Pesce. Looks fair but Pesce is a d-man so his trade value is higher


In theory, sure. I still think Nylander for Pesce would be an outstanding trade for both sides though.
Aug. 4, 2019 at 7:13 p.m.
#37
Bcarlo25
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I just don’t get why you have established high end young d men on here when you’re talking about a trade for Kapanen
Aug. 4, 2019 at 8:02 p.m.
#38
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Wow. Super confused by this meaningless post.
Aug. 4, 2019 at 8:12 p.m.
#39
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This is very vague. What qualifies as a "young" Dman, If you are looking at prospects that have never played an NHL game, I would think that depends on how the teams grade the player out. Sometimes you are looking at a guy and saying he's a 2nd round draft grade, because that's about what you would get there and then that's the trade equivalent. If you are talking about a player with maybe a year or so game experience you are probably looking at roughly the same issue, but maybe comparing the limited experience they do have. You have POJ there and he's basically a 1st round pick, for the kessel trade. Instead of giving up a 1st they gave them a player selected first, who probably grades out as being equal to a 1st round pick, which frankly works better for both sides as the penguins don't want to wait 3 years for a player to develop in a win now mode. But that was his value there, the equivalent of asking for a 1st.
You can look at a player like Marcus Pettersson, and he went for Sprong. Both were pretty high rated 2nd round prospects with most likely equal grades. ANA rather have the winger for scoring and the penguins needed the defense. Sprong put up 14 goals in 47 games for ANA and Pettersson played well for the penguins so I'd say it was a pretty fair swap. Both teams were trading prospects with limited game experience and high talent. However, Pettersson isn't a 1st pairing defender, he was a 3rd pairing guy with potential to grow to a 2nd pairing player. Sprong is most likely a top 6 winger as he develops.

But if you are talking about players that are already established, Defense comes at a premium because it's so hard to find. Wingers don't hold that kind of value unless they are really good. 20 goal 40 point wingers aren't difficult to find there are a lot of them, but a solid 2nd pairing defender is. One of the reasons for that is teams aren't willing to move them like wingers.

I don't think Kapanen is worth Andersson. Andersson can end up being a very solid if not good 2nd pairing guy. Although it's a bit early to say he's established yet. He's worth more than a guy who is a 20 goal scorer on a loaded team. However he's got a year of play under his belt and he looked good.
I'd say a guy closer to being a 30 goal scorer and having potential to be a 1st line player and you might be somewhere. But that isn't Kapanen.
Aug. 4, 2019 at 8:20 p.m.
#40
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Beaudin for Johnsson, Boqvist and a 1st for marner
Aug. 4, 2019 at 8:29 p.m.
#41
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Quoting: Bcarlo25
I just don’t get why you have established high end young d men on here when you’re talking about a trade for Kapanen


I don't understand how anybody on here except for maybe 5 or 6 could be discussed in a trade for Kapanen without the Leafs adding yet Leafs fans think he can be traded straight up for about 40 of the 45 players on this list and it would be fair
Aug. 4, 2019 at 8:32 p.m.
#42
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Quoting: AvoidTheClap
Wow. Super confused by this meaningless post.


The point is I am beyond confused why Leafs fans think about 40 of the 45 players on this list could be traded straight up for Kapanen and I wanted to show them that these players could get way more than Kapanen in a package deal
Aug. 4, 2019 at 8:33 p.m.
#43
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Quoting: newman23
Beaudin for Johnsson, Boqvist and a 1st for marner


Not a Leafs fan so I'm not totally sure
Aug. 4, 2019 at 8:36 p.m.
#44
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Quoting: pharrow
This is very vague. What qualifies as a "young" Dman, If you are looking at prospects that have never played an NHL game, I would think that depends on how the teams grade the player out. Sometimes you are looking at a guy and saying he's a 2nd round draft grade, because that's about what you would get there and then that's the trade equivalent. If you are talking about a player with maybe a year or so game experience you are probably looking at roughly the same issue, but maybe comparing the limited experience they do have. You have POJ there and he's basically a 1st round pick, for the kessel trade. Instead of giving up a 1st they gave them a player selected first, who probably grades out as being equal to a 1st round pick, which frankly works better for both sides as the penguins don't want to wait 3 years for a player to develop in a win now mode. But that was his value there, the equivalent of asking for a 1st.
You can look at a player like Marcus Pettersson, and he went for Sprong. Both were pretty high rated 2nd round prospects with most likely equal grades. ANA rather have the winger for scoring and the penguins needed the defense. Sprong put up 14 goals in 47 games for ANA and Pettersson played well for the penguins so I'd say it was a pretty fair swap. Both teams were trading prospects with limited game experience and high talent. However, Pettersson isn't a 1st pairing defender, he was a 3rd pairing guy with potential to grow to a 2nd pairing player. Sprong is most likely a top 6 winger as he develops.

But if you are talking about players that are already established, Defense comes at a premium because it's so hard to find. Wingers don't hold that kind of value unless they are really good. 20 goal 40 point wingers aren't difficult to find there are a lot of them, but a solid 2nd pairing defender is. One of the reasons for that is teams aren't willing to move them like wingers.

I don't think Kapanen is worth Andersson. Andersson can end up being a very solid if not good 2nd pairing guy. Although it's a bit early to say he's established yet. He's worth more than a guy who is a 20 goal scorer on a loaded team. However he's got a year of play under his belt and he looked good.
I'd say a guy closer to being a 30 goal scorer and having potential to be a 1st line player and you might be somewhere. But that isn't Kapanen.


I know Andersson has a lot higher trade value than Kapanen. I am a Flames fan but I continuously along with every other Flames fan tell Leafs fans that this isn't a fair trade but they seem to think it is so I created this thread to show them that these guys are of great value and have a lot higher trade value than Kapanen
Aug. 4, 2019 at 10:54 p.m.
#45
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As a Detroit fan I think Seider might be a year or 2 out. I figured you would've mentioned Hronek.
Aug. 5, 2019 at 10:41 a.m.
#46
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Quoting: aedoran
As a Detroit fan I think Seider might be a year or 2 out. I figured you would've mentioned Hronek.


Is Hronek a d-man?
Aug. 5, 2019 at 1:10 p.m.
#47
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Quoting: TheFlamingC
Is Hronek a d-man?


Yes he got called up about half way through the season and played 46 games had 5g 18a 23p. At the World Championships playing for the Czech Republic he had 3g 8g 11p in 10 games. He might be Detroit's best defenseman now.
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