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If Alexis Happens

Created by: BeterChiarelli
Team: 2020-21 Edmonton Oilers
Initial Creation Date: Jun. 29, 2020
Published: Jun. 29, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
2$1,000,000
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$3,200,000
3$2,750,000
1$770,000
2$770,000
2$770,000
2$950,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$3,750,000
CREATEDYEARSCAP HIT
Lafreniere, Alexis
3$925,000
Trades
1.
2.
EDM
  1. Gáborík, Marián
Additional Details:
Ottawa flips Russell to another Western Conference team with 50% retained for a mid round pick
OTT
  1. Russell, Kris
  2. 2022 3rd round pick (EDM)
Additional Details:
Trade occurs after Russell's July 1st signing bonus is paid
3.
EDM
  1. Campbell, Alexander [Reserve List]
  2. 2021 3rd round pick (NSH)
NSH
  1. Benning, Matthew [RFA Rights]
Buyouts
Retained Salary Transactions
Buried
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2020
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
2021
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the NSH
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the PIT
Logo of the EDM
2022
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$81,500,000$79,367,699$341,534$730,000$2,132,301

Roster

Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$6,000,000$6,000,000
LW, C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$8,500,000$8,500,000
C, LW
UFA - 5
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$894,166$894,166 (Performance Bonus$230,000$230K)
RW
RFA - 1
Lafreniere, Alexis
$925,000$925,000
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$12,500,000$12,500,000
C
UFA - 6
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,000,000$1,000,000
RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$3,200,000$3,200,000
LW, RW
UFA - 1
$3,750,000$3,750,000
C, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$3,200,000$3,200,000
RW
UFA - 4
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$875,000$875,000
LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$915,000$915,000
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,500,000$1,500,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$4,167,000$4,167,000
LD
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$4,166,666$4,166,666
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$4,500,000$4,500,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$5,600,000$5,600,000
LD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,750,000$2,750,000
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$850,000$850,000
LD/RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$500,000$500K)
RD
RFA - 3
Logo of the Buffalo Sabres
$2,750,000$2,750,000
G
UFA - 1
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,150,000$2,150,000
RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$4,875,000$4,875,000
RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$770,000$770,000
LD/RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$700,000$700,000
LW
UFA - 1

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Jun. 29, 2020 at 9:34 a.m.
#1
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What's the attraction with Hutton? You could get a better goalie in free agency for less.

Otherwise, this is a fantastic team and a Cup contender for sure.
Jun. 29, 2020 at 9:38 a.m.
#2
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Looks good. I’m not into the sens deal would prefer to keep russell for the final year of his deal as a depth guy but overall I like what you’ve done good job.
Jun. 29, 2020 at 9:40 a.m.
#3
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I would not buy out Neal tho try retaining 1.9 on his deal that puts him under 4 million and as a pp specialist brings decent value. Buyout adds term to dead cap.
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Jun. 29, 2020 at 9:44 a.m.
#4
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Yup. McDavid and Lafreniere.. I hope that happens for really life. It looks good though! Buyout wouldn’t be my first option, for Neal but if needed then I would do it. I would rather try and trade him.
Jun. 29, 2020 at 9:45 a.m.
#5
Zxeris
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as an oiler fan, if ottawa offers me 3 and 5 for 1st I would accept. Having Mcdavid and draisaitl I would rather have 2 impact player than 1. Stutzle AND askarov (future #1 goaly)
Jun. 29, 2020 at 9:51 a.m.
#6
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Forget Laf, you're beating the hawks. As a hawks fan, please beat us
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Jun. 29, 2020 at 9:52 a.m.
#7
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Quoting: Timmah007
I would not buy out Neal tho try retaining 1.9 on his deal that puts him under 4 million and as a pp specialist brings decent value. Buyout adds term to dead cap.


Even 50% retained with a mid round pick coming back I would consider, depending on how the savings was spent, of course.
Jun. 29, 2020 at 9:54 a.m.
#8
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Ban Price trades
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Quoting: CD282
What's the attraction with Hutton? You could get a better goalie in free agency for less.

Otherwise, this is a fantastic team and a Cup contender for sure.


It's more Thompson I'm after. I think there's a worthwhile reclamation project there. I don't think Khaira can be dumped without taking some sort of money back with how tight budgets are going to be.

Holland has a thing for older goalies: I'm sold that he's targetting either Howard or bringing Smith back. Hutton's just a compromise where Khaira can be dumped simultaneously.

Quoting: Timmah007
Looks good. I’m not into the sens deal would prefer to keep russell for the final year of his deal as a depth guy but overall I like what you’ve done good job.


Playing Russell means taking icetime away from two young defenders that are already likely better than Kris. It means not getting enough games in for Lagesson to qualify him for expansion.

Jones' ability to play his off side allows the three young defenders to work as a rotation. There's no room for Russell without keeping Bouchard in the AHL. Winning the Alexis lottery means that the Oilers are in win-now mode for the next 3 seasons while he's still on his ELC.

Quoting: Timmah007
I would not buy out Neal tho try retaining 1.9 on his deal that puts him under 4 million and as a pp specialist brings decent value. Buyout adds term to dead cap.


Does that lineup need a power play specialist? Where would Neal even fit on the power play given the setup I've shown?

I don't think a trade involving a retained Neal that Edmonton wins exists. Again, cap is tight right now, and there should be enough progression to the cap such that by year 4 this team won't notice the dead hit from his buyout.

Quoting: Nhl_oilers
Yup. McDavid and Lafreniere.. I hope that happens for really life. It looks good though! Buyout wouldn’t be my first option, for Neal but if needed then I would do it. I would rather try and trade him.


See above.

Keeping Neal likely means dumping Chiasson and running a 22-man roster: given that he's French as well and could help Alexis adjust, I think Chiasson should stay. He provides just as much power play value as Neal does anyways.
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Jun. 29, 2020 at 9:59 a.m.
#9
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Quoting: Zxeris
as an oiler fan, if ottawa offers me 3 and 5 for 1st I would accept. Having Mcdavid and draisaitl I would rather have 2 impact player than 1. Stutzle AND askarov (future #1 goaly)


Taking Askarov in the top-5 is a really bad idea. And I'm not a fan of Stutzle either.
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Jun. 29, 2020 at 10:01 a.m.
#10
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Quoting: CD282
Even 50% retained with a mid round pick coming back I would consider, depending on how the savings was spent, of course.


Gotta spend the savings very smart to justify dead cap just avoid adding additional term. Retain vs bought retaining wins 100% of the time in my opinion. Off the books sooner.
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Jun. 29, 2020 at 10:01 a.m.
#11
Zxeris
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Quoting: CD282
Taking Askarov in the top-5 is a really bad idea. And I'm not a fan of Stutzle either.


then you could get rossi, pefetti, drysdale byfield if kings get stutzle...
Jun. 29, 2020 at 10:09 a.m.
#12
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Quoting: Zxeris
then you could get rossi, pefetti, drysdale byfield if kings get stutzle...


If it was such a good idea, why would Ottawa do it?
Jun. 29, 2020 at 10:11 a.m.
#13
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Quoting: Timmah007
Gotta spend the savings very smart to justify dead cap just avoid adding additional term. Retain vs bought retaining wins 100% of the time in my opinion. Off the books sooner.


You realize that $1.9M becomes pretty insignificant after that third year? In four seasons the cap is likely going to be $10M+ higher than it is right now and guys like McDavid, Draisaitl, and an extended RNH are already going to be on the books.

If Kassian and Jones are lost to expansion, the only major contracts Edmonton has to manage before Lafreniere's ELC expires will be extending RNH and Yamamoto in Y1,extending Bouchard in Y2, and figuring out what to do with Athanasiou and Nurse.

McLeod and the likely duo of Konovalov/Rodrigue offer cheap solutions to the #3C and goaltending departments during this time. Lavoie is likely a cost-effective #3RW. The extra years of dead cap mean zilch when considering all aspects.
Jun. 29, 2020 at 10:16 a.m.
#14
Zxeris
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Quoting: CD282
If it was such a good idea, why would Ottawa do it?


because dorion is rock hard thinking about lafi! ahahah
Jun. 29, 2020 at 10:31 a.m.
#15
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Quoting: BeterChiarelli
You realize that $1.9M becomes pretty insignificant after that third year? In four seasons the cap is likely going to be $10M+ higher than it is right now and guys like McDavid, Draisaitl, and an extended RNH are already going to be on the books.


Not sure where you're getting that from. The cap is likely to remain flat for the next 2 years and show only a small bump in year 3, like this:

2020-21: $81.5M
2021-22: $81.5M
2022-23: $82.5M

At least that's according to this guy, but maybe he doesn't know what he's talking about. Assuming he does, please explain how the cap is going to jump $9M or more in 2023-24.
Jun. 29, 2020 at 10:35 a.m.
#16
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Quoting: BeterChiarelli
You realize that $1.9M becomes pretty insignificant after that third year? In four seasons the cap is likely going to be $10M+ higher than it is right now and guys like McDavid, Draisaitl, and an extended RNH are already going to be on the books.

If Kassian and Jones are lost to expansion, the only major contracts Edmonton has to manage before Lafreniere's ELC expires will be extending RNH and Yamamoto in Y1,extending Bouchard in Y2, and figuring out what to do with Athanasiou and Nurse.

McLeod and the likely duo of Konovalov/Rodrigue offer cheap solutions to the #3C and goaltending departments during this time. Lavoie is likely a cost-effective #3RW. The extra years of dead cap mean zilch when considering all aspects.


The aspect I’m not understanding is if want to remove neal now for cap purposes the options are slim. Retaining vs buyout. Either way your stuck in short term adding to dead cap but atleast with retaining you regain that cap flexibility sooner.
Jun. 29, 2020 at 10:37 a.m.
#17
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Ban Price trades
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Quoting: CD282
Not sure where you're getting that from. The cap is likely to remain flat for the next 2 years and show only a small bump in year 3, like this:

2020-21: $81.5M
2021-22: $81.5M
2022-23: $82.5M

At least that's according to this guy, but maybe he doesn't know what he's talking about. Assuming he does, please explain how the cap is going to jump $9M or more in 2023-24.


Seattle joining the league and the new tv deal? Like is the money the NHL getting from that not going to increase operating revenues substantially??
Jun. 29, 2020 at 10:55 a.m.
#18
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Quoting: BeterChiarelli
Seattle joining the league and the new tv deal? Like is the money the NHL getting from that not going to increase operating revenues substantially??


The Seattle expansion money is not included in HRR, so there won't be any direct gain from expansion.

It remains to be seen what the new TV deal would look like, but it's likely to cut escrow way back rather than lift the cap by a significant amount.

Edited to add: both items occur within the timeframe of the calculations I provided a link for, so I'd assume they've been factored in already.
Jun. 29, 2020 at 11:40 a.m.
#19
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Really hope some other than the oilers get the pick. They just have got 4 firsts in the last 10 years! It seems unfair.
Jun. 29, 2020 at 11:54 a.m.
#20
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Quoting: Saskleaf
Really hope some other than the oilers get the pick. They just have got 4 firsts in the last 10 years! It seems unfair.


The only reason the Oilers ended up with McDavid and why they would end up with Lafreniere in this scenario is because the league pissed around with the lottery formats because Edmonton got the three-peat.

The only people you could blame would be whoever designed the lottery.
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Jun. 29, 2020 at 12:41 p.m.
#21
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Quoting: Saskleaf
Really hope some other than the oilers get the pick. They just have got 4 firsts in the last 10 years! It seems unfair.


I agree, I want the Oilers drafting 31st. cool
Jun. 29, 2020 at 2:27 p.m.
#22
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Quoting: Wadejos123
Forget Laf, you're beating the hawks. As a hawks fan, please beat us


I hate this matchup the most! I don’t want either one of you guys to lose!
Jun. 29, 2020 at 2:54 p.m.
#23
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Quoting: CD282
I agree, I want the Oilers drafting 31st. cool


Ya, haha. I’m hoping the leafs can draft 31st as well.
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Jun. 29, 2020 at 3:13 p.m.
#24
Kafle
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hutton is the worst goalie in the league
soderberg probably gets more money elsewhere
 
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