Forums/Armchair-GM

Heat Wave Afternoon Ideas

Created by: Chapee44
Initial Creation Date: May 25, 2020
Published: Jul 8 at 6:57
Team: 2020-21 Buffalo Sabres
Team Explanation
8th Overall Lucas Raymond (My mock is; Laf, Byf, Stz, Rossi, Drys, Sand, Perf)
38th Overall Tyson Foerster
100th Overall Eric Engstrand (big fast winger. hits hard. mocked to 7th rnd. 58pts in 37gms in SuperElit)

With the flat cap and no buyouts I don't see Chicago as being able to retain Strome. Kubalik is the more important RFA and the Blackhawks have more depth at Center with Toews, Dach, Barratt, and Shaw/Kampf/Carpenter/Caggiula all capable of playing the position in different spots in the lineup. This trade gives the Blackhawks a solid winger prospect who is NHL ready, a defenseman who still has solid upside to help fill the depth chart for the future and a first round pick. It's a solid trade that should fill needs for both teams. If there is something else that Hawks fans would want I am interested to hear input.

Other options I considered for 2C trade targets were: Cirelli, Domi, Schenn, Danault, Hertl, Zacha, and Henrique. I would prefer Schenn out of everyone but I think Strome is a more realistic option without spending too much in trade capital.

I don't think I need to defend the Detroit trade... They need a competent goalie which Hutton has been before this year and I think this is close to the cheapest they will find. I like Hutton but I think he needs the confidence of knowing he has a clear shot at the #1 job... Ullmark's emergence and the team's struggles made him slip into the shadows a bit.

The Georgiev offer sheet I think is enough to get the Rangers to give him up. They will lose him in the expansion draft if they match it and the cap could be better spent elsewhere. For us, it creates a 1 year competition between Georgiev and Ullmark for who we would protect and keep and who we likely send to Seattle to battle for that starting job with either Jarry or Murray. Having the two goalies also protects our D-core as we would have three of Risto, Montour, Pilut, and Miller exposed in this scenario and a quality goaltender being available negates the risk of losing them. Pending a solid season in AHL UPL is hopefully ready to slot in as backup after expansion draft. I know how rare Offer Sheets are but I truly believe the weird circumstance of Covid and the flat cap etc. will provide a period of a few years where you might see some.

I'm a big supporter of Cozens on the wing with Jack and Skinner to start. He can flat out fly. He's extremely responsible in his own end which will free up the other two to take some chances and isn't afraid to go to the net. He should compliment Jack and Skinner nicely while also having the time and space to grow his game and feel confident with the puck on his stick while other teams are keying in on Jack.

Reinhart is given the opportunity to "drive his own line". Olofsson's shot will continue to be lethal and his overall game will hopefully grow. Strome ranked 65th in p/60EV last season of players who played more than 30 games. For reference, Eichel only ranked 49th. If this line is given primarily offensive zone starts they should be able to produce.

Kahun and Johansson showed some chemistry briefly to the point of Sabres radio analysts wanting to see the two of the with Skinner as a second line. I think pairing the two of them with Raymond in this scenario would be ideal. Raymond is said to be NHL-ready and this line should be capable of creating some offence while also bringing a level of defensive responsibility to the ice. MoJo will go to the dirty areas and allow the other two to grow their games in open space.

I believe Lazar is better than Larsson and this should be an upgrade on last year's solid fourth line.

I'd like to see Jokiharju and Montour on the second pairing together. I think we'll see a more even 20 minutes for each pair going forward as Joki and Dahlin are given more responsibilities. Bryson has earned a shot at the opening night roster with his spectacular play in Rochester and I believe Pilut will be back. He just signed overseas because if the KHL starts in October and the Sabres don't play until January at the earliest then the man needs to make some money in the meantime.

Georgiev has the edge over Ullmark in my mind but I think it'll be a true competition for the starter role.

Expansion Protection:
Skinner, Eichel, Olofsson, Strome, Reinhart, Kahun, Mittelstadt (Cozens/Raymond exempt)
Dahlin, Jokiharju, 1 of Risto, Montour, Miller, Pilut while the other 3 are exposed.
Georgiev or Ullmark the other is exposed and likely chosen to compete with Murray or Jarry in Seattle.

Should have plenty of money to extend Dahlin and Jokiharju as well. I would expect Dahlin to get a 2-3 year bridge due to the state of the Cap where he'd be making around 7 or 8 million and Jokiharju to get a similar contract around 3 or 4 million. It keeps them both RFA's upon expiry and then they can get paid once the cap begins to climb again. The 2-5 million saved on an expansion player, 2 million from McCabe, 4 million from MoJo, and 2.6 million in existing cap space should be plenty to handle raises and still have a competitive team with more prospects hopefully joining the fray, ie; Mittelstadt, Foerster, Pekar, Engstrand, Biro, Ruotsalainen, Samuelsson, Laaksonen, Borgen, and Luukkonen.Buffalo has never been a destination for truly high profile free agents so I can't see us bagging one unless we went after Markstrom or Dadonov. I'm also not opposed to moving a RHD specifically Montour or Risto but I think they provide more to the Sabres than they would get in return from another team... At least that's for sure if you are gonna get what the Leafs fans on here think is fair value. Also if Seattle were to choose a defenseman the added depth would make a big difference going forward from there. If Raymond were to not be ready to make the jump to the NHL I think we could fill the hole internally with either Lazar, Biro, or maybe even Mittelstadt but I'd like to see them all develop in a role more suited to their current abilities. We could also target someone like a Virtanen, Kapanen or Mikheyev with a trade of one of our dmen.
Free Agent Signings
RESERVE LISTYEARSCAP HIT
Davidsson, Marcus3$870,000
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
Hickey, Brandon1$975,000
Johansson, Jonas1$900,000
Kahun, Dominik2$2,000,000
Lazar, Curtis1$1,000,000
Mittelstadt, Casey2$1,000,000
Montour, Brandon5$4,000,000
Oglevie, Andrew1$975,000
Olofsson, Victor5$4,000,000
Pilut, Lawrence1$1,000,000
Reinhart, Sam8$7,000,000
Spencer, Matthew1$800,000
Thompson, Tage1$975,000
Ullmark, Linus2$3,000,000
Georgiev, Alexandar2$3,000,000
Strome, Dylan6$4,500,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
Girgensons, Zemgus1$1,500,000
CREATEDYEARSCAP HIT
Raymond, Lucas3$925,000
Foerster, Tyson3$925,000
Laaksonen, Oskari3$925,000
Engstrand, Eric3$925,000
Offer Sheets
Offer sheet annual average (AAV) is calculated by dividing the contract value by the lower of: 1. The contract length, or 2. Five years
PLAYERAAVCOMPENSATION
Georgiev, Alexandar$3,000,000
2021 2nd round pick
Trades
BUF
  1. Strome, Dylan [RFA Rights]
CHI
  1. Thompson, Tage
  2. Fitzgerald, Casey
  3. 2021 1st round pick (BUF)
Additional Details:
Top 10 protected.
BUF
  1. 2021 4th round pick (DET)
Becomes 5th if Hutton plays more than 25 games and wins less than 10.
DET
  1. Hutton, Carter
Buyouts
  • Cody Hodgson: $791,667
  • Christian Ehrhoff: $0
DRAFT YEARROUND 1ROUND 2ROUND 3ROUND 4ROUND 5ROUND 6ROUND 7
2020
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
DAL
2021
BUF
DET
BUF
BUF
2022
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES BONUSESCAP SPACE
23$81,500,000$78,850,833$0$4,337,500$2,649,167

Roster

Left WingCenterRight Wing
BUF
Skinner, Jeff
$9,000,000
LW, RW
NMC
UFA - 7
BUF
Eichel, Jack
$10,000,000
C
UFA - 6
BUF
Cozens, Dylan
$925,000
C
RFA - 2
BUF
Olofsson, Victor
$4,000,000
LW, RW
RFA
Strome, Dylan
$4,500,000
C
RFA
BUF
Reinhart, Sam
$7,000,000
RW, C
RFA
BUF
Johansson, Marcus
$4,500,000
C, LW, RW
NTC
UFA - 1
BUF
Kahun, Dominik
$2,000,000
LW, RW, C
RFA
Raymond, Lucas
$925,000
BUF
Girgensons, Zemgus
$1,500,000
C, LW
UFA
BUF
Lazar, Curtis
$1,000,000
C, RW
RFA
BUF
Okposo, Kyle
$6,000,000
RW
NTC
UFA - 3
BUF
Asplund, Rasmus
$845,000
C, LW
RFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
BUF
Dahlin, Rasmus
$925,000
LD
RFA - 1
BUF
Miller, Colin
$3,875,000
RD
UFA - 2
Georgiev, Alexandar
$3,000,000
G
RFA
BUF
Montour, Brandon
$4,000,000
RD
RFA
BUF
Jokiharju, Henri
$925,000
RD
RFA - 1
BUF
Ullmark, Linus
$3,000,000
G
RFA
BUF
Pilut, Lawrence
$1,000,000
LD
RFA
BUF
Ristolainen, Rasmus
$5,400,000
RD
UFA - 2
BUF
McCabe, Jake
$2,850,000
LD
UFA - 1
BUF
Bryson, Jacob
$889,166
LD
RFA - 2

Special Teams

Power Play 1
Reinhart, S.
Eichel, J.
Skinner, J.
Dahlin, R.
Olofsson, V.
Power Play 2
Raymond, L.
Strome, D.
Kahun, D.
Cozens, D.
Ristolainen, R.
Penalty Kill 1
Girgensons, Z.
Lazar, C.
Montour, B.
Jokiharju, H.
Penalty Kill 2
Eichel, J.
Cozens, D.
Miller, C.
Ristolainen, R.

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Jul 8 at 7:01
#1
Joined: Jul 2020
Posts: 11
Likes: 4
i was thinking about strome as the 2C earlier but went with hertl instead. Dach's strong play this year I guess makes strome available though idk if im sold on him yet.
Jul 8 at 7:02
#2
burn the pegulas
Joined: Mar 2020
Posts: 1,220
Likes: 716
det declines
BStinson liked this.
Jul 8 at 7:03
#3
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2019
Posts: 391
Likes: 97
Quoting: aidpow
i was thinking about strome as the 2C earlier but went with hertl instead. Dach's strong play this year I guess makes strome available though idk if im sold on him yet.


For me it was his 5-on-5 numbers that sold me on him. We've shown to have a good powerplay and anyone can have a good PK as long as the team has enough heart. We need to be much better 5-on-5 though especially without Jack on the ice. That's where Strome comes in for me... Only uncertainty I have are his possession metrics aren't great so that makes me hesitant
aidpow liked this.
Jul 8 at 7:05
#4
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2019
Posts: 391
Likes: 97
Quoting: chloewoj
det declines


I mean... I'd give him away if I had to but I figured he'd be worth something to somebody... Especially a team with no true NHL goalies for this season
Jul 8 at 7:06
#5
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 1,848
Likes: 695
Hawks decline. And you're description isn't accurate about the trade. We have plenty of money to retain Strome even with a flat cap. In a worse case scenario we can buy out maata (680k) and Smith (1.083 mil) and have plenty to give deals to kubalik, crawford, strome, koekkoek, and cagulla. Shaw will be on LTIR because of concussions that likley have ended his career, so we save another 4 mil there
SociallyHawkward liked this.
Jul 8 at 7:10
#6
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2019
Posts: 391
Likes: 97
Quoting: Wadejos123
Hawks decline. And you're description isn't accurate about the trade. We have plenty of money to retain Strome even with a flat cap. In a worse case scenario we can buy out maata (680k) and Smith (1.083 mil) and have plenty to give deals to kubalik, crawford, strome, koekkoek, and cagulla. Shaw will be on LTIR because of concussions that likley have ended his career, so we save another 4 mil there


If Shaw is done then it could be possible... I'd be interested to see you make it all fit though... Link me an ACGM where you've got everyone signed...
If Strome was gonna cost anymore though then I'd go after one of the far better options I listed in the description
Jul 8 at 7:20
#7
Nylander Apologist
Joined: Feb 2018
Posts: 4,323
Likes: 1,736
Quoting: Chapee44
If Shaw is done then it could be possible... I'd be interested to see you make it all fit though... Link me an ACGM where you've got everyone signed...
If Strome was gonna cost anymore though then I'd go after one of the far better options I listed in the description


https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1741108

Here’s an interesting thread which has not yet been disproved, save for some dates being off a couple weeks.
Jul 8 at 8:07
#8
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 1,848
Likes: 695
Quoting: Chapee44
If Shaw is done then it could be possible... I'd be interested to see you make it all fit though... Link me an ACGM where you've got everyone signed...
If Strome was gonna cost anymore though then I'd go after one of the far better options I listed in the description


https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1787911

Done
Jul 8 at 8:52
#9
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 888
Likes: 137
Quoting: Wadejos123
Hawks decline. And you're description isn't accurate about the trade. We have plenty of money to retain Strome even with a flat cap. In a worse case scenario we can buy out maata (680k) and Smith (1.083 mil) and have plenty to give deals to kubalik, crawford, strome, koekkoek, and cagulla. Shaw will be on LTIR because of concussions that likley have ended his career, so we save another 4 mil there


Lol classic Hawks fan.... “we’ll be fine, we’ll just LTIR a bad contract that we have”
Jul 8 at 9:25
#10
Joined: Apr 2020
Posts: 1,753
Likes: 670
Rangers easily match that offer sheet
Jul 9 at 1:09
#11
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2019
Posts: 391
Likes: 97
Quoting: dzmets
Rangers easily match that offer sheet


If so then do you put Shesterkin in the minors and lose either him or Georgiev to Seattle? Because I doubt anyone touches Hank's contract in a trade... I'd take the 2nd round pick and run as NYR.
Jul 9 at 1:11
#12
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2019
Posts: 391
Likes: 97


Buyouts are tricky business. I see it works but that's not exactly ideal. Dead cap space could really hurt going forward compared to a trade that's decent value and actually does solve some problems.
Jul 9 at 1:29
#13
Joined: May 2020
Posts: 662
Likes: 359
Quoting: Chapee44
I mean... I'd give him away if I had to but I figured he'd be worth something to somebody... Especially a team with no true NHL goalies for this season

Bernier played pretty well for Detroit last year. Detroit is probably looking at Demko, Georgiev, Lehner, and Allen to determine cost for a younger goalie.
Jul 9 at 8:19
#14
Joined: Apr 2020
Posts: 1,753
Likes: 670
Quoting: Chapee44
If so then do you put Shesterkin in the minors and lose either him or Georgiev to Seattle? Because I doubt anyone touches Hank's contract in a trade... I'd take the 2nd round pick and run as NYR.


Shesterkin does need to be protected if they keep Hank then he can be there exposed goalie. Otherwise they can sign or trade for a Vet at trade deadline to fulfill that obligation if they can move Hanks contract prior.
Jul 9 at 10:23
#15
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2019
Posts: 391
Likes: 97
Quoting: dzmets
Shesterkin does need to be protected if they keep Hank then he can be there exposed goalie. Otherwise they can sign or trade for a Vet at trade deadline to fulfill that obligation if they can move Hanks contract prior.


Seattle won't take Hank because he's a UFA at the end of next season... if NYR keep both Georgiev and Shesterkin through this season they will lose one for nothing to Seattle. That's where I'm saying it makes more sense to get something for him now as an RFA than nothing in a year. The timing just makes hime the one to be moved and Shesterkin the one they bet on.
Jul 9 at 10:27
#16
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2019
Posts: 391
Likes: 97
Quoting: BStinson
Bernier played pretty well for Detroit last year. Detroit is probably looking at Demko, Georgiev, Lehner, and Allen to determine cost for a younger goalie.


Vancouver won't trade Demko unless they can resign Markstrom. Georgiev is an RFA so they can't just sign him. Why would Lehner go to a bottomfeeder when that's where his health was at its worst? Allen and Bernier are fine options but Allen will cost more than Hutton. And Bernier proved in Toronto he isn't a starting goalie.
Jul 9 at 1:22
#17
Joined: Apr 2020
Posts: 1,753
Likes: 670
Quoting: Chapee44
Seattle won't take Hank because he's a UFA at the end of next season... if NYR keep both Georgiev and Shesterkin through this season they will lose one for nothing to Seattle. That's where I'm saying it makes more sense to get something for him now as an RFA than nothing in a year. The timing just makes hime the one to be moved and Shesterkin the one they bet on.


Shesterjin
Quoting: Chapee44
Seattle won't take Hank because he's a UFA at the end of next season... if NYR keep both Georgiev and Shesterkin through this season they will lose one for nothing to Seattle. That's where I'm saying it makes more sense to get something for him now as an RFA than nothing in a year. The timing just makes hime the one to be moved and Shesterkin the one they bet on.


Shesterkin is exempt from the draft so they just use their protection on Georgiev and they keep both
Chapee44 liked this.
 
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