Quoting: JumboJoe
of course they can win, but I doubt it and I disagree about having very few holes
first off, the goaltending is weak. Jones has been under .900 for the past 2 seasons and I don't think it's very likely he's going to be able to turn that around. Greiss had a decent save percentage, but he was the backup for a team that had the lowest amount of goals against just a season before.
The second problem is that Middleton is in a starting role. He is somewhat reliable but is a 7th defenseman at best imo.
The 3rd problem is the 3rd line. You can make the case that Brassard is a competent 3rd liner, but Maroon and Noesen are not. Maroon played on one of the best teams 4th lines and averaged barely over 1/3 a point per game. He's also 32 so he's definitely not improving. Noesen averaged less than 1/4 a point per game. Definitely not viable for a top 9 forward.
The 4th and final problem is that you only have a 20 man roster and little cap space. You would need to make over a million in space just to have a 22 man roster.
There’s no question that it will all come down to goaltending at the end of the day, you’re absolutely right about that. I have faith that Jones can be better in a 1a/1b type duo and Greiss has proven to be extremely capable in that situation as well, so I do believe it would be a massive improvement to bring him in to take a load off of Jones. But yes, that will be the deciding factor.
However I entirely disagree with about the 3rd line, I think this would be more than capable enough. The scoring is going to come from our Top 6 and blue line, our bottom 6 doesn’t have to put up huge points. St Louis won the cup last year and their bottom 6 was far from special.
If one of our “biggest holes” is who our 6th D man is then we’re in pretty good shape. I put Middleton in because I think he hasn’t been given enough of a look yet, but that spot is of course interchangeable.
As well, there are a few ways to free up a little in space with the contracts here. I probably over paid Brassard a bit for one, but again if the biggest holes you see are that small then I think we would be in pretty good shape.
Our biggest problems this year were goaltending, lack of Top 6 scoring, and in my opinion physicality (even PDB said the team was soft). This could potentially fix them all