Quoting: CharlieComp88
rule no 1. never trade the no 1 prospect in the world. not for ur 3 and 5 and more. u take the no1 and u run with it.
That's not always accurate.
- 2011 Nugent-Hopkins was the #1, #3 was Huberdeau and #5 was Ryan Strome. It's close, but then consider 6-10 picks were Zibanejad, Scheifele, Couterier and Hamilton.
- 2012 Yakupov was the consensus #1, Edmonton would've been better off trading that pick for Galchenyuk and Rielly.
- 2014 Ekblad was the #1, would you rather have him or Draisaitl (#3) and Dal Colle (#5)? William Nylander was 8 and Ehlers 9, that might be like Holtz and Raymond of the 2020 draft.
- 2017 Hischier at #1 pales in comparison to the #3 and 5 picks: Heiskanen and Pettersson.
- 2019 its early yet, but would you rather have Jack Hughes (#1) or Kirby Dach (#3) and Alex Turcotte (#5)? I know I'd rather the second option.
Unless there's a generational talent available, trading down from #1 could be a very sound strategy. Even an elite talent like Matthews in 2016 could be argued against PLD (#3) and Matthew Tkachuk (#6), or MacKinnon in 2013 vs Seth Jones (#4) and Monahan (#6). It's not as clear-cut as you seem to think.