SalarySwishSalarySwish
Forums/Armchair-GM

canadian divison prediction

Created by: habsfan00
Team: 2020-21 Custom Team
Initial Creation Date: Nov. 24, 2020
Published: Nov. 24, 2020
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
10$89,889,999$20,595,833$0$152,500$69,294,166
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$5,000,000$5,000,000
LD/RD
NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Calgary Flames
$2,550,000$2,550,000
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$2,600,000$2,600,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$817,500$817,500 (Performance Bonus$132,500$132K)
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Winnipeg Jets
$5,291,667$5,291,667
C, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Vancouver Canucks
$950,000$950,000
C, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$750,000$750,000
RD
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$1,200,000$1,200,000
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$700,000$700,000
C, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$736,666$736,666 (Performance Bonus$20,000$20K)
RW, LW
UFA - 1

Embed Code

  • To display this team on another website or blog, add this iFrame to the appropriate page
  • Customize the height attribute in the iFrame code below to fit your website appropriately. Minimum recommended: 400px.

Text-Embed

Click to Highlight
Nov. 24, 2020 at 3:52 p.m.
#26
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 19,705
Likes: 7,376
Quoting: CD282
Who has a stronger 7/8/9? Not Tampa... Washington... not Toronto... not Colorado... not Rangers. Those were the top-5 offensive teams last year.

Edmonton
Draisaitl: 1.55 P/GP
McDavid: 1.52
Yamamoto: 0.96
Nugent-Hopkins: 0.94
Kassian: 0.58
Neal: 0.56
Kahun: 0.55
Ennis: 0.53
Turris: 0.50


Tampa Bay
Kucherov: 1.25
Stamkos: 1.16
Point: 0.97
Killorn: 0.72
Cirelli: 0.65
Palat: 0.59
Coleman: 0.48
Johnson: 0.48
Gourde: 0.43


Washington
Ovechkin: 0.99
Backstrom: 0.89
Kuznetsov: 0.83
Vrana: 0.75
Oshie: 0.71
Wilson: 0.65
Eller: 0.57
Hagelin: 0.43
Panik: 0.37


Toronto
Matthews: 1.14 P/GP
Marner: 1.14
Tavares: 0.95
Nylander: 0.87
Hyman: 0.73
Mikheyev: 0.59
Thornton: 0.44
Kerfoot: 0.43
Spezza: 0.43


Colorado
MacKinnon: 1.35
Rantanen: 0.98
Landeskog: 0.81
Burakovsky: 0.78
Kadri: 0.71
Saad: 0.57
Donskoi: 0.51
Calvert: 0.50
Compher: 0.46


Rangers
Panarin: 1.38
Zibanejad: 1.32
Strome: 0.84
Kreider: 0.71
Buchnevich: 0.68
Chytil: 0.38
Kakko: 0.35
Lemieux: 0.31
Howden: 0.27


I haven't checked every team, but these are the top-5 offensive teams from last season. NYR should have Kravtsov and Lafreneiere in the lineup and Kakko should take a step forward, so they're a contender for #1 for sure. Here are the teams above ranked by top-9:

Edmonton: 7.69
Tampa Bay: 6.73
Toronto: 6.72
Colorado: 6.67
Rangers: 6.24
Washington: 6.19

Here they are again ranked by 7/8/9 scoring rates:

Edmonton: 1.58
Colorado: 1.47
Tampa Bay: 1.39
Washington: 1.37
Toronto: 1.30
Rangers: 0.93


Now do defensive ability
Scoring rates, good one.
chungus liked this.
Nov. 24, 2020 at 3:53 p.m.
#27
Avatar of the user
Joined: Mar. 2019
Posts: 7,990
Likes: 4,210
Quoting: Saskleaf
Haha nope.




Yes please. I don’t get how the other teams are above them.
Nov. 24, 2020 at 3:53 p.m.
#28
Avatar of the user
Joined: Mar. 2017
Posts: 24,044
Likes: 7,751
Quoting: Saskleaf
Sorry, I think you meant to put the oilers have the worst forward depth in the league. I hope. I'm worried if you actually think they have good depth,


Clueless Leafs fan. What else is new? Read posts #24 and 25 and weep.
Nov. 24, 2020 at 3:56 p.m.
#29
Avatar of the user
Joined: Mar. 2017
Posts: 24,044
Likes: 7,751
Quoting: CD282
Um... they added Turris, Kahun, Ennis, Puljujarvi, Barrie, Yamamoto (full season) and Jones (full season). No other Canadian team improved as much as the Oilers. Their forward depth is the best in the country and likely top-3 in the league.


Quoting: JaredOfLondon
Oilers fans are killing it today, top three in the league? Wow


Quoting: JaredOfLondon
Now do defensive ability
Scoring rates, good one.


Lost the argument so now you're moving the goalposts. Loser.
Nov. 24, 2020 at 3:59 p.m.
#30
Go leafs go
Avatar of the user
Joined: Apr. 2020
Posts: 13,245
Likes: 9,193
Quoting: CD282
Ennis played just 9 games for the Oiler last season and was a UFA in the off-season. Yamamoto played 27 games, 1/3 of a season. I'm counting them as "adds" as they will get a full season next year.

In any case, if you look at the period from December 31, 2019 (Yamamoto's 1st game) to the end of the season, you'll see that the Oilers were in fact THE #1 TEAM IN THE LEAGUE for offense, tied with Philadelphia. Since then they added Ennis, Kahun, Turris, Barrie and Puljujarvi. You can sneer all you want, but you're just ignoring plain facts.

http://www.nhl.com/stats/teams?reportType=game&dateFrom=2019-12-31&dateTo=2020-03-11&gameType=2&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,1&sort=goalsForPerGame&page=0&pageSize=50


If you don't cheery pick you stats and use the whole year, the oilers were 14th in goals for for the 2019-20 season (leafs were 3rd might I add). As for Ennis and Yamamoto, whatever. They were there for a bit, I wouldn't count them as adds, but they aren't too good anyway. If you think you can cheery pick stats like this, then you are ignoring plain facts.
chungus liked this.
Nov. 24, 2020 at 3:59 p.m.
#31
Avatar of the user
Joined: Mar. 2017
Posts: 24,044
Likes: 7,751
Quoting: JaredOfLondon
Now do defensive ability
Scoring rates, good one.


Not sure how you separate "forwards" defensive ability from defensemen or goaltending, but here are the team stats from last season:

Toronto: 3.17 GA/GP (26th in the league)
Edmonton: 3.03 GA/GP (15th)

Pot, meet kettle.

tears of joy
DartGuy86 liked this.
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:02 p.m.
#32
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 19,705
Likes: 7,376
Quoting: CD282
Lost the argument so now you're moving the goalposts. Loser.


Thats not how moving goal posts works hoss. You said deepest, then you focused only on scoring rates, ignoring a full half the game. You also ignored literally all context in regards to the scoring rates.
So tell me chuckles, are all theae guys gonna play with mcdavid and dre? On the power play? No they arnt, they wont even likely get all the minuites they got last year, so not only will they not all reach the scoring rates they did last year for various reasons, they still suck at defense.
Try again, but dont be so mad online about it
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:03 p.m.
#33
Avatar of the user
Joined: Mar. 2017
Posts: 24,044
Likes: 7,751
Quoting: Saskleaf
If you don't cheery pick you stats and use the whole year, the oilers were 14th in goals for for the 2019-20 season (leafs were 3rd might I add). As for Ennis and Yamamoto, whatever. They were there for a bit, I wouldn't count them as adds, but they aren't too good anyway. If you think you can cheery pick stats like this, then you are ignoring plain facts.


Cherry pick? LOL, I was explaining why I had Ennis and Yamamoto as "adds" for the coming season and why it makes Edmonton the #1 team - the last 30 games of the season are proof.

And... Yamamoto outscored every Leaf not named Matthews and Marner over that stretch, despite the fact that he didn't get much PP time. "... aren't too good..." tears of joy
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:05 p.m.
#34
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 19,705
Likes: 7,376
Quoting: CD282
Not sure how you separate "forwards" defensive ability from defensemen or goaltending, but here are the team stats from last season:

Toronto: 3.17 GA/GP (26th in the league)
Edmonton: 3.03 GA/GP (15th)

Pot, meet kettle.

tears of joy


You arnt sure how to separate forward definsive ability from defenders and goal tending? Well you should work on that if you wanna talk hockey above a 3rd grade level, and yeah the leafs were bad last year, but they got the worst goaltending season ever out of their goalie and had a ghost for a backup. I woulsnt be so jazzed about being barely better than that.
Oh, and tyson barrie was a huge part of that too, good luck with that
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:05 p.m.
#35
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 19,705
Likes: 7,376
Quoting: CD282
Not sure how you separate "forwards" defensive ability from defensemen or goaltending, but here are the team stats from last season:

Toronto: 3.17 GA/GP (26th in the league)
Edmonton: 3.03 GA/GP (15th)

Pot, meet kettle.

tears of joy


You arnt sure how to separate forward definsive ability from defenders and goal tending? Well you should work on that if you wanna talk hockey above a 3rd grade level, and yeah the leafs were bad last year, but they got the worst goaltending season ever out of their goalie and had a ghost for a backup. I woulsnt be so jazzed about being barely better than that.
Oh, and tyson barrie was a huge part of that too, good luck with that
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:06 p.m.
#36
Avatar of the user
Joined: Mar. 2017
Posts: 24,044
Likes: 7,751
Quoting: JaredOfLondon
Thats not how moving goal posts works hoss. You said deepest, then you focused only on scoring rates, ignoring a full half the game. You also ignored literally all context in regards to the scoring rates.
So tell me chuckles, are all theae guys gonna play with mcdavid and dre? On the power play? No they arnt, they wont even likely get all the minuites they got last year, so not only will they not all reach the scoring rates they did last year for various reasons, they still suck at defense.
Try again, but dont be so mad online about it


How much time did Turris, Kahun, Ennis and Puljujarvi play with McDavid and Draisaitl last year? You just used an argument that completely disproved your point LMAO.

Those in glass houses shouldn't throw stones. Toronto was 26th in the league at keeping the puck out of the net, Edmonton was 15th. laugh
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:10 p.m.
#37
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 19,705
Likes: 7,376
Quoting: CD282
How much time did Turris, Kahun, Ennis and Puljujarvi play with McDavid and Draisaitl last year? You just used an argument that completely disproved your point LMAO.

Those in glass houses shouldn't throw stones. Toronto was 26th in the league at keeping the puck out of the net, Edmonton was 15th. laugh


My goodness you're reading comprehension is phenomenal. So, if all the new guys are playing mcdavid and drai or on the power play, what about the old guys?
See how that works? Crazy, right?
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:14 p.m.
#38
Thread Starter
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jul. 2020
Posts: 3,403
Likes: 632
Quoting: Timmah007
Haha I guess a lot of people are going to be surprised when oilers tear threw Canadian division. I really don’t understand how they aren’t 1st. Easily the best of the bunch even remove bias opinion and stick to common sense oilers roster is deeper than last year when they were the best Canadian team.


but thier goaltending is **** and defence is bad AND without Klefbolm
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:24 p.m.
#39
Avatar of the user
Joined: Mar. 2017
Posts: 24,044
Likes: 7,751
Quoting: JaredOfLondon
My goodness you're reading comprehension is phenomenal. So, if all the new guys are playing mcdavid and drai or on the power play, what about the old guys?
See how that works? Crazy, right?


I posted their numbers from last year when none of the additions played with McDavid or Draisaitl. Together they're good enough to be the best offensive team in the league. I'm not sure how you can't get that.
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:27 p.m.
#40
Avatar of the user
Joined: Mar. 2017
Posts: 24,044
Likes: 7,751
Quoting: habsfan00
but thier goaltending is **** and defence is bad AND without Klefbolm


I'm going to guess the splits end up something like this:

Hellebuyck + Brossoit 80/20 = .917
Markstrom + Rittich 70/30 = .915
Price + Allen 70/30 = .914
Koskinen + Smith 60/40 = .911
Andersen + Campbell 70/30 = .908
Demko + Holtby 50/50 = .901
Murray + Anderson 60/40 = .900

Their goaltending is above average for the division. The loss of Klefbom doesn't change the defensive ability much - he wasn't been nearly as good last year due to his shoulder issues. They'll be league average defensively again.
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:29 p.m.
#41
Thread Starter
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jul. 2020
Posts: 3,403
Likes: 632
Quoting: CD282
I'm going to guess the splits end up something like this:

Hellebuyck + Brossoit 80/20 = .917
Markstrom + Rittich 70/30 = .915
Price + Allen 70/30 = .914
Koskinen + Smith 60/40 = .911
Andersen + Campbell 70/30 = .908
Demko + Holtby 50/50 = .901
Murray + Anderson 60/40 = .900

Their goaltending is above average for the division. The loss of Klefbom doesn't change the defensive ability much - he wasn't been nearly as good last year due to his shoulder issues. They'll be league average defensively again.


price-allen will be 55-45
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:34 p.m.
#42
Avatar of the user
Joined: Mar. 2017
Posts: 24,044
Likes: 7,751
Quoting: habsfan00
price-allen will be 55-45


I'm not sure that's a good thing. Allen was .905 / .906 two and three years ago when given more than ~30% of the starts. But I guess that's about where Price has been too, so maybe there's nothing wrong with it. We'll see.
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:38 p.m.
#43
Avatar of the user
Joined: Mar. 2017
Posts: 24,044
Likes: 7,751
Quoting: habsfan00
price-allen will be 55-45


Quoting: CD282
I'm not sure that's a good thing. Allen was .905 / .906 two and three years ago when given more than ~30% of the starts. But I guess that's about where Price has been too, so maybe there's nothing wrong with it. We'll see.


Just looked it up, over the past 3 years Price has been .910 while Allen has been .909... so maybe the .914 total I have above is a tad optimistic?
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:41 p.m.
#44
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 19,705
Likes: 7,376
Quoting: CD282
I posted their numbers from last year when none of the additions played with McDavid or Draisaitl. Together they're good enough to be the best offensive team in the league. I'm not sure how you can't get that.


Lets pretend they are, they'll still be a bottom 5 defensive team and it wont matter
Saskleaf liked this.
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:44 p.m.
#45
Avatar of the user
Joined: Mar. 2017
Posts: 24,044
Likes: 7,751
Quoting: JaredOfLondon
Lets pretend they are, they'll still be a bottom 5 defensive team and it wont matter


You're ignoring the facts again. Edmonton is an average team defensively. They finished 15th in GA/GP.

L
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:48 p.m.
#46
Thread Starter
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jul. 2020
Posts: 3,403
Likes: 632
Quoting: CD282
Just looked it up, over the past 3 years Price has been .910 while Allen has been .909... so maybe the .914 total I have above is a tad optimistic?


nope not with montreals added defence and price hasnt been rested and allen is AMAZING on the road
Nov. 24, 2020 at 4:57 p.m.
#47
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 19,705
Likes: 7,376
Quoting: CD282
You're ignoring the facts again. Edmonton is an average team defensively. They finished 15th in GA/GP.

L


If only there was a way to look at defensive abilities without resorting to stats fron the 80s
Believe it or not, goaltending and defensive ability are not thesame thing.
The oilers got blown up in chances and shots against but above average goaltending made them average in goals against. Just like how the jets were a below average team that was carried by insane goaltending, ot the blues the year before qho wwre thw worst tram in the world before getting good goaltending then they won the cup. The tram itself didn't get better defensively suddenly.
If youre relying on a 32 year old goalie who posted his career year as above average instead of bad like hes alwats been, well, youre gonna be disappointed more often than not.
Nov. 24, 2020 at 5:49 p.m.
#48
Avatar of the user
Joined: Aug. 2020
Posts: 2,499
Likes: 2,085
Quoting: CD282
Who has a stronger 7/8/9? Not Tampa... Washington... not Toronto... not Colorado... not Rangers. Those were the top-5 offensive teams last year.

Edmonton
Draisaitl: 1.55 P/GP
McDavid: 1.52
Yamamoto: 0.96
Nugent-Hopkins: 0.94
Kassian: 0.58
Neal: 0.56
Kahun: 0.55
Ennis: 0.53
Turris: 0.50


Tampa Bay
Kucherov: 1.25
Stamkos: 1.16
Point: 0.97
Killorn: 0.72
Cirelli: 0.65
Palat: 0.59
Coleman: 0.48
Johnson: 0.48
Gourde: 0.43


Washington
Ovechkin: 0.99
Backstrom: 0.89
Kuznetsov: 0.83
Vrana: 0.75
Oshie: 0.71
Wilson: 0.65
Eller: 0.57
Hagelin: 0.43
Panik: 0.37


Toronto
Matthews: 1.14 P/GP
Marner: 1.14
Tavares: 0.95
Nylander: 0.87
Hyman: 0.73
Mikheyev: 0.59
Thornton: 0.44
Kerfoot: 0.43
Spezza: 0.43


Colorado
MacKinnon: 1.35
Rantanen: 0.98
Landeskog: 0.81
Burakovsky: 0.78
Kadri: 0.71
Saad: 0.57
Donskoi: 0.51
Calvert: 0.50
Compher: 0.46


Rangers
Panarin: 1.38
Zibanejad: 1.32
Strome: 0.84
Kreider: 0.71
Buchnevich: 0.68
Chytil: 0.38
Kakko: 0.35
Lemieux: 0.31
Howden: 0.27


I haven't checked every team, but these are the top-5 offensive teams from last season. NYR should have Kravtsov and Lafreneiere in the lineup and Kakko should take a step forward, so they're a contender for #1 for sure. Here are the teams above ranked by top-9:

Edmonton: 7.69
Tampa Bay: 6.73
Toronto: 6.72
Colorado: 6.67
Rangers: 6.24
Washington: 6.19

Here they are again ranked by 7/8/9 scoring rates:

Edmonton: 1.58
Colorado: 1.47
Tampa Bay: 1.39
Washington: 1.37
Toronto: 1.30
Rangers: 0.93


051f963114f31d63fe40d34a6eb317fa.png4412486f4d9f0ca0f1a1d336702cc288.png

strong 789 is great, but like, with tavares/marner/kerfoot/hyman injured, johnsson missing half the season, rielly not being his usual self and kappy not being great, the leafs were still top 2/3 in offence
Nov. 24, 2020 at 7:29 p.m.
#49
Avatar of the user
Joined: Dec. 2017
Posts: 21,691
Likes: 12,037
Do Canadians really want an all Canadian division?
Nov. 24, 2020 at 9:46 p.m.
#50
Go leafs go
Avatar of the user
Joined: Apr. 2020
Posts: 13,245
Likes: 9,193
Quoting: CD282
Clueless Leafs fan. What else is new? Read posts #24 and 25 and weep.


I read them. And I was convinced all the more the oilers have trash depth. After Drais and Mcdav, then after Yamomoto and Nuge, there is a huge drop off, every one of the teams you had there had better 5-6. Clueless oilers fan you mean, read the whole post you made.
habsfan00 liked this.
 
Reply
To create a post please Login or Register
Question:
Options:
Add Option
Submit Poll