Edited Mar. 5, 2021 at 11:44 a.m.
Quoting: Hammerwise
Not trying to get a rise out of you, but the clock is definitely ticking on him. Based on the present team/contracts/positions, Liljegren (also at the end of his ELC), probably gets the call before Sandin, and I cant see the Leafs having a 3rd pair of Liljegren-Sandin. If anything Sandin and Lehtonen get consideration at 3LD or 7th dman based on Dermott's exposure in expansion.
Its not a damnation, its simply honest evaluation of the players development and the situation and depth chart. Sandin is still a "top" quality prospect IMO, but only in the organization, not a top one leaguewide. And top prospects don't get just consideration for 3rd pairing minutes. But again, RD is where the team needs help and I cant see a 3rd pairing of liljegren-sandin, or liljegren being ready for 2nd pairing.
Take for instance Travis Sanheim, he did his AHL years and then immediately went in at 2nd pair minutes. The difference was the professional progression of Sanheim in the AHL and the state of Philly that they could bring in Provorov at 19 yrs old, the next year Sanheim and Hagg joined and the next year Myers, even though they had a fairly capable defensive corps especially at LD.
Point being I don't see the progression in Sandin that makes it look like he'll be a top 4 dman, especially not in Toronto, and I don't think hes progressed enough professionally to carry value as a top defensive prospect. He has value, and a change could make a whole world of difference, but I don't think hes close to the current group of top defensive prospects.
Sandin is the same age now as Sanheim was when he made the Flyers. Not sure the exact circumstances of him breaking in, but the fact he was 7th in 5v5 TOI doesn't sceam out to me that he walked right into a Top 4 role. Hagg for example was 1.5 min/game ahead of him that season. Myers didn't crack the NHL till 22, so not a great comparison for knocking Sandin who is yet to turn 21.
Sandin has played 1 professional game in the past 12 months, so I'm not really sure what your are basing these conclusions on? Prior to that he was pretty dominate in junir, very solid in the AHL, and decent in his spin in the NHL. Not sure if you noticed, but certain outside factors have had some impact on how and where prospects have been playing. Normal circumstances, and if he's healthy, he could very well of been able to steal Dermott's job. Some people aren't high on Dermott, but I am.
As far as next year goes, I find it much more likely that Sandin finds himself on the 3rd pair than Liljegren (who I believe is ready, but nothing will be handed to him).
Depending on how Seattle shakes out, if Dermott is no longer on the Leafs, Sandin has the 3LD spot pretty well locked up. I highly doubt Lehtonen is in consideration, he's a UFA, he's currently their 7th dman, he's 27, he hasn't shown much so far to force himself into the lineup, so really don't see why either him or the team would see him as a viable option next year.
There's also a chance that Rielly is no longer a Leaf next year. I'm a big Rielly fan, but with his defensive deficiencies, and the salary cap considerations, I'm not sure a long term contract worth $7.5+ is the best scenario going forward.
I wouldn't be shocked if this was how the Leafs defence looks like next year:
Muzzin - Holl
Dermott - Brodie
Sandin - Bogosian
Liljegren
Obviously not as good offensively, but just as good (or better) defensively, and plenty of puck movers still to get the puck moving in the right direction.
And personally, i still see no reason to think Sandin doesn't have Top 4 potential.