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Hammerwise
Member Since
Aug. 7, 2018
Favourite Team
Toronto Maple Leafs
2nd Favourite Team
Philadelphia Flyers
Forum Posts
3021
Posts per Day
2.2
POSTS
THREADS
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 hours ago
Thread:
Which team says no
JVR for Zaitsev makes more sense, alone.
JVR makes more but is in the last year of his contract, and it somehwat fills a need for both teams
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 hours ago
Thread:
Realistic
The title is realistic, but its not.
The RFA signings are light, some of the trades are uneven, and you wind up with an 18 skater team with no cap space.
(You actually think Verheage will be the guy out in FLA and thwey'd accept that weak offer? You think Varlamov gets acquired for that weak offer? You think Simmonds and his NTC gets even a 6th? That SJ accepts that weak offer for Reimer? That Kase accepts just 1.5mil or that he should even be brought back?)
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 hours ago
Thread:
REALISTIC Flames fixes
CGY fans will want the moon for Tkachuk and I don't blame them.
However, I think its important to remember that you cant agree an extension first and its a trade of RFA rights.
You'll never trade a tkachuk for tkachuk or a marner for a marner, but you can address other (multiple) problems/areas.
I think something like a Koneckny, Sanheim AND a 2nd or 3rd for Tkachuk's rights alone is probably not far off. (TK put up 50pts without a 1C all season, and a 2C, 2LW, 3LW and Giroux all out for 20 or more games, on a malfunctioning/poorly coached team, which I think is pretty good production, so I think its wrong to not see him as a top 6 winger.) Sanheim, while a pending UFA, is coming off a career year and CGY is still close now, and his salary/resign wouldnt upset balance of team moving forward. So I dont think the offer above is out of whack. (But I'd keep Dube and not make the Boyd acquisition, still leaving 2-3mil for an upgrade somewhere)
I'd have:
Gaudreau-Lindholm-Mangiapane
Toffoli-Backlund-Koneckny
Pelletier-Larsson-Coleman
?-Rucizcka-Dube
Yesterday I put a Couturier/Sanheim/prospect Desnoyes and pick offer for Tkachuk.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 hours ago
Thread:
Zucker to TOR Idea
Not bad ideas, I would disagree with previous poster that Zucker is a top 6 forward, a 40+ pt guy and at 2.75mil probably the cheapest TOR would get.
I like Engvall, but hes no top 6 forward and as a RFA with rights coming off a career year, he'll probably get 2mil (or slightly more if he goes to arbitration). I think TOR fans forget how average as a bottom 6 guy Engvall has been and that hes 27 yrs old.
If the difference is 2 yrs in age and 750k between the two players, Zucker is the better player.
Not sure if Holl, engvall's rights, a 3rd and a 4th is too much though. Take out Holl and thats a real good deal for TOR.
I think PHI jumps at that trade, and its not just about moving JVR's last yr, its about Soucy fitting in on their defense
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 hours ago
Thread:
making a team based off a sportsnet trade rumor read desc
Trades are uneven, but most importantly, how do the Leafs consider themselves a contender with that goaltending?
Thats a pretty diabolical three headed monster of guys who MIGHT be average backups
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 hours ago
Thread:
Next Year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Dmh1055</b></div><div>From what I am looking at rather than buying out JVR he could still be shipped off for Zaitsev. I'm not sure Ottawa would include a pick with Zaitsev though. The Flyers prize is some cap relief this year and still having a player they could use. Zaitsev would be a bit of an insurance policy on Ellis helping keep the team afloat if he gets injured again or ends up not even being healthy since that is still in question. I like that idea.
I also still like using the additional cap space to help acquire Holl and a 1st round pick. We all like Fedotov but it is possible he's not ready and Mrazek ends up being a nice backup option.
As far as LW goes, Lindblom is a possible buyout option so I'm not sure I'm ready to consider him the 2nd best LW on the team. Noah Cates proved in my opinion that he's a responsible 3rd line LW that can likely score 15 to 20 goals next season. Desnoyers would be a very young player but he would be the playmaking winger you're thinking of so I'd like to see him have the opportunity to make it. The other LW that is not being mentioned is Scott Laughton. He can fill any hole on that side rather than being the 4th line center. Ratcliffe also looked good as a 4th line LW in his short stint so I'd be fine with him getting a look there. If Laughton moves to LW that opens the 4th line center spot to a veteran like Patrick Brown or to Zayde Wisdom or Tanner Lacynski.
Fletcher looks bad because of the injuries. You are right. He was aggressive last offseason and it should have been good. But now, he needs to be patient and see if Ellis can be healthy. Any other big UFA signing will have minimal effect on the team's fortunes if Ellis can't be healthy at all. This is what makes Zaitsev a worthwhile risky addition for the team.</div></div>
Agree on the Zaitsev, something I'ver posted on here many times before.
I think alot of posters think that we'll retain 50% on JVR for nothing back, when it cost similar amount to put him in the minors. He has some value, but I expect, like you, he'll be dealt for an equally bad spare part (Zaitsev from OTT, Hoffman from MTL, Kassian from EDM, etc...)
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Yesterday at 4:43 a.m.
Thread:
does Petr have negative value
He has negative value.
Please bear in mind that he has always been injury prone, and has already worn out his unreliability in DET, PHI and TOR. Theres alot more reliable backups available for FAR less and no term.
You're just fooling yourself if you judge his value on his talent/ability alone and ignore his ridiculous contract and extensive injury/reliability issues
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 11:58 a.m.
Thread:
Johnny Hockey
PHI doesn;t make that deal with BUF. And Bjork has negative value.
PHI needs more than 1 player and Gaudreau isnt it
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 11:51 a.m.
Thread:
changes
different ideas, a 21 skater lineup, under the cap? Its a miracle.
Some good ideas here, and some may take a bit of tweaking,
but if Price is coming back, Holl and a little something to grab Allen might be doable (Holl is a nice vet partner for their ton of LD youngsters)
Will STL part with Binnington, and put their faith in Ville? Maybe, pretty good return
I think the DAL deal is doable
Different to see a buy out of Mrazek and not re-signing Engvall, but probably for the best
Nice to see 3 rookie forwards getting some playing time, but Spezza/Simmonds at 3RW/4RW is worrying
Other than Lyub getting 2mil, I think he'll get a bit more, its got some different and doable ideas
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 11:30 a.m.
Thread:
Revamp bottom 6 amp Tinkering
The RFA and UFA signings are pretty weak offers.
And this is all contingent on LA taking Muzzin (and Muzzin waiving his NTC), I doubt they want him and doubt they will part with a top 6 forward (in your lineup). I think you'd have to offer alot more to LA and then beg Muzzin to waive.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 11:24 a.m.
Thread:
TML 22-23 Championship Recipe
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ritzy</b></div><div>I didn't realize he had 27 points. In thinking about it, I'm kind of impressed. He went through a few stretches of missing multiple games, hard to get back into a rhythm when you are constantly missing time. Plus he was moved around the lineup, making it harder to develop chemistry with your linemates. But missing that time also takes away some of his value.
I'd take a gamble on him again for another one year deal. No point in dealing his rights if they aren't worth anything. He was fantastic early on in the season when on a line with Kampf and Engvall, two guys who will be back.</div></div>
Exactly, and I agree he might get a 1 year deal, I just dont know if its worth the RFA raise to see if he can stay healthy. About 1.75 would be my limit, but he/arbitrator may want more for a 1 yr deal
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 11:20 a.m.
Thread:
TML 22-23 Championship Recipe
The signings are pretty weak offers, especially to the UFAs, but the RFAs are low too.
I love how engvall (an RFA with rights) finally has a career season and yet gets offered just 1.5mil. He'll hold out and get closer to 2mil, same with Sandin and Liljegren, they will get more than that.
I think you have to balance whether these players want to take pretty poor offers (Giroux for 800k) to go to a club that really is viewed as a annual disapointment.
Its just unrealistic
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 11:16 a.m.
Thread:
TML 22-23 Championship Recipe
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ritzy</b></div><div>Unfortunately, not with his injury history. It's a shame, because he's a great player when healthy.</div></div>
Exactly, it was a miracle he played 50 games this year, but in an offensive gameplan didn;t really put up more points than any replacement player would have gotten (27pts). But overall its the every game-holding your breath with him that makes him a poor re-sign in toronto and makes his rights as a 1.25mil RFA (looking for probably 1.75mil) pretty worthless.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 11:10 a.m.
Thread:
TML 22-23 Championship Recipe
Im not convinced Kase's rights are worth a 5th, let alone 2 5ths
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 10:15 a.m.
Thread:
If NYR dont re-sign any major UFAs
Not sold on Chytil at the 2C position, but with 4mil in cap space, maybe Strome is brought back.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 10:12 a.m.
Thread:
Dubas finds more value for 2023
To be fair, the trades arent that bad for both sides. And some good ideas.
However on a club that has just 500k in cap space, its worth noting that your RFA and UFA signings are very light.
Engvall, is an RFA with rights, coming off good yeat at 1.25mil, theres no way he gets just 1.35mil. Same with Kase, no way does he take less money (and its questionable whether TOR should retain him, given his fragility). And ditto for liljegren/sandin who probably get another 250k at least. So collectively, with realistic RFA offers, you're probably over the cap by 2mil.
The UFA signings are equally pretty weak.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 9:50 a.m.
Thread:
Hextall calls Giroux
Giroux didn;t like Hextall, and I think theres 15 other options Giroux would gladly take before signing with PIT
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 9:48 a.m.
Thread:
Next Year
While PHI for Holl for a 4th sounds about right, it works for both teams and is a good fit/price
I'd have to say Mrazek at 3.8mil (and a NTC) will cost more than a 3rd (approx 70th overall). After the year hes had with 2 more yrs at 3.8mil, thats alot for a unreliable backup, and ARZ would be better off just overpaying somebody in UFA, or hitting the salary floor elsewhere.
Its also about need, ARZ doesn;t need Mrazek as much as TOR needs to move him.
I'm not saying it cost tons, but with the leafs so close to the cap, they really dont want to buy him out (Dubas would look far worse with that buyout penalty, than he does now), but that is a better option than having to add another 3rd. I think a higher midlevel prospect thrown in might do it. Or some kind of package like Mrazek, Sandin's rights and TOR 1st for Crouse kind of thing.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 9:21 a.m.
Thread:
How does the value of the trades and re-signings look
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CaptainTavares</b></div><div>As stated in the description and my post above to palhal, this is not a full roster. It was just checking on value of some moves before a full roster was created. Simmonds, Clifford and Abruzzese are Marlies next year imo, and Mrazek will be either traded or bought out before next season.</div></div>
I guess, but collectively those "Marlie" players make very little, so its of real interest as to how you upgrade or who you play there.
The values arent off by much, but when you're that close to the cap, you do have to see what/who is there to see if it works.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 9:15 a.m.
Thread:
Realistic Offseason
Probably about right in the makeup, but the RFA and Campbell signings are a bit light, which probably cost another mil or so, but does mean you're down to just a 19 skater lineup with no cap space.
And I expect it to take a bit more than that for ARZ to take Mrazek. (I really doubt Kase's rights carries any value)
And agree about Woll and Kalgren, bit of a risk for a contender to put it all on campbell's shoulders, without a reliable backup.
Overall though thats the pretty likely lineup, albeit relatively unchanged/without much improvement. Still lacks physicality, but maybe blackwell/tierney can bring more two way play
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 8:59 a.m.
Thread:
How does the value of the trades and re-signings look
Agree with most on here, I think ANA would require a bit more to part with Comtois and Liljegren/Sandin probably take more, I'd say 1.5mil more, which leaves you with just 19 skaters. That 3rd line might have some issues adding any scoring, and that 4th line is going to be very physical, but slow and offensively unable.
19 skaters, no 7th dman and that 4th line is pretty diabolical. Its not really looking like a better lineup than 21-22.
But unlike others, getting rid of Mrazek some way only works if you get a capable backup. I dont think Kalgren (25 yrs old, 3.31 GAA and only .888 save pctg) get it done.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 7:46 a.m.
Thread:
Trading kadri destroyed this team
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>JaredOfLondon</b></div><div>amazing, you are literally trying to spin getting free cheap players who might develop into something or who are marlies as a bad thing. Just incredible. The Korskov part is my favourite, he was drafted by Hunter under Lou</div></div>
You;'re right I had some other player in mind.
Ultimately my point is that its wasting time, resources and losing development time, and many Leaf fans get distracted and think they've found the next undiscovered gem. Its not so much taking a chance, as it really just wastes time and distracts.
I guess my question to you, what do you think they need to do?
I dont think its as simple as saying, we got close against a team on a roll. Do you think the Leafs stay the course and that they'll just get better/face a weaker opponent? That they might see a second round as the youngest 3 of the big 4 start to hit UFA.
To me making the 2nd round isnt a victory, but not making the 2nd round and seemingly having a different reason why each year, is symptomatic of a problem. To think that Matthews and Marner might hit UFA without really making hay in the playoffs is shocking.
Did this year look good for progression, one of the teams best chances? It did, (as did the collapse versus BOS). But really just expecting other teams to be weaker and for the Leafs to get better doesn;t sound right either, when the Leaf options to do so are limited.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 7:26 a.m.
Thread:
Trading kadri destroyed this team
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DirtyDangle</b></div><div>amirov was just bad luck. can't really blame dubas for that. however the rest is valid. id add the muzzin trade, and overpaying star players to that list too.</div></div>
Agree, Amirov was a great pick that unfortunately isn;t going to provide the much needed player.
I would add to the weak GMing with the annual "shots in the dark" across the ocean like Lehtonen, Barbanov, Petan, Korshov, Malgin, the Russian center we signed this year, with hardly any working out. Or the usually meaningless and sometimes costly ANNUAL trades to address team toughness/physicality like Foligno, or even the multiple ridiculous moves in 21-22 to address the same problem we had in 20-21: Kurtis Gabriel, Ritchie, Simmonds, Clifford, Giordano and now Curtis Douglas.
And again after a valiant first round exit, we sit with one real KEY bluechip prospect in Robertson, just a 1st and 3rd in next 2 drafts, and no 4th, 5th, 6th this year (and lacking a 3rd in 2024). So we dont even have quality ELC to fill holes in the lineup. We have through the years developed some great depth players on mid level salaries that we cant afford. And yet most Leaf fans want to deal one of the big 4 that makes the least money.
That one decision to acquire Tavares, has limited or changed most decisions since then, and the team has not progressed.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 7:01 a.m.
Thread:
Trading kadri destroyed this team
Put it this way, the quickest way to compare is think if the team is better with 11mil Tavares OR Kadri, and TWO of Conor Brown, Kapanen and AJohnsson for 11.1mil.
Thats a pretty deep forward corps.
You'd have to make a bunch of other changes and what ifs to go back in time, but ultimately its really simple to think of the three players you could have kept from that time for the same price/cap hit.
Ultimately it was a very poor decision to make that move, with Matthews/Marner/Nylander all coming into big paydays, which has since that point limited what the club could do financially. Many teams, including cap winners have had huge salaries tied up in 4-5 players, PIT had Crosby, Malkin, Letang, and MAF, LA had Quick, Doughty, Kopitar, CHI had Kane, Toews, Keith, Crawford, but the difference is that no one had 4 huge salaries all at forward.
It hasn;t worked.
Kadri was the whipping boy for Leaf losses, then Andersen, it goes on and on, without ever actually fixing the team, and yet Shanahan continues to march out the same flawed model.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 6:29 a.m.
Thread:
Toronto
the signings/resignings are all very light, and the trades are pretty uneven...
but overall I love that your goal situation is pretty horrendous as you hurtle through time until Matthews is a UFA
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