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Hammerwise
Member Since
Aug. 7, 2018
Favourite Team
Toronto Maple Leafs
2nd Favourite Team
Philadelphia Flyers
Forum Posts
4018
Posts per Day
2.5
POSTS
THREADS
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 hours ago
Thread:
Can we keep samsonov
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMBL</b></div><div>We are talking about him becoming a 4th liner. He's great in the AHL so it's not a stretch that he makes the jump, he might not but it's pretty negligible. Someone else will get signed for that role and he'll have to compete for it with others.</div></div>
These are my opinions but:
I think its just symptomatic of the base of not evaluating correctly, not taking in the reality/history and over valuing players/situations. Theres a reason the Leaf base is labelled "delusional" and its these myopic symptoms to blame. Joey Anderson is not an NHLer and while a good AHLer, he has proven for FIVE seasons. David Kampf while an above average defensive player, is not a good enough offensive player for the 3rd line.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 hours ago
Thread:
Can we keep samsonov
I just think its a weaker team, with less depth and more question marks than 22-23 with no view as to the result of 22-23 and reliance on either limited goods (Kampf a good defensive center, but an offensive blackhole or robertson for example) and an over reliance on the fact that Holmberg, robertson, knies, mcmann, timmins all taking the next step to elevate the team. And all of this while you're trying to judge whether to keep the big 4 together or move them at the TDL and semi-rebuild a defense that has 2 guys nearing retirement?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 hours ago
Thread:
Can we keep samsonov
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>python3504</b></div><div>well who knows how he develops over the off season, he has 8 gp and 2 points averaging only 7-8 min a game. just because he didnt succeed in NJ doesnt mean he never will, look at trevor moore he didnt do anything great until his 4/5 season.</div></div>
Hes been with toronto 3 yrs, with small callups and limited minutes and 2 yrs in NJ, you really think hes going to evolve into something he isn;t? Almost every Marlie has been called up and the list of guys who've had a longer cup of coffeee in the nhl with the leafs is massive (Malgin, Holmberg, Clifford, Lehtonen, McMann, etc....).
You really think hes a NHLer, when for 5 seasons he's shown/management/coaching has judged hes not?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 hours ago
Thread:
Come On Already
Kind of lopsided trades.
Why would PHI do that? What value does simmonds have? Is Braun only worth a low in the round 5th?
VAN takes on 3 cap dumps and 3 valuable pieces, and retains and adds a 4th? The 3 cap dumps probably cost you a 2nd, and the 3 valuable pieces aren;t enough to get you both players, never mind the retention (especially multiple years) and pick
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 hours ago
Thread:
Can we keep samsonov
IS Joey Anderson is the answer at the 4th line, he hasn;t been for 6 NHL seasons, what will change and Kampf (who's never sniffed 30 pts) is your 3rd line center, thats a real thin offense. Robertson can stay healthy and produce, McMann a quality nhler, Giordano continue to fight off father time?
Its this years team, but worse
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 hours ago
Thread:
Can we keep samsonov
Really depends on how they do this year.
If they dont really compete well into the second round, why are you bringing back the same team?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
9 hours ago
Thread:
Dont give the house away for playoff hopes 2
STL does alot better.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
9 hours ago
Thread:
Timo Time
and that 3rd line is like a black hole of offense.
Good story of Bobby McMann, but a 26 yr old rookie who hasnt put up a pt in 7 games on your 3rd line, along with Kampf who dreams of surpassing 30 pts one day.
Its alot of eggs in one basket (2 scoring lines) with no real hope of re-signing Meier and then having a weak prospect pool to play with Matthews/Marner/Nylander when their cap hits get even higher
Forum:
Armchair-GM
9 hours ago
Thread:
next year
Im thinking Zaitsev cost at least a 2nd and 4th with ZERO coming back, and PHI has 4 better options at RD, so I think they would need even more of a overpayment, or some retention. (Both those picks are low in the round and the way Zaitsev has been playing/not-playing, his value is even worse).
And have to agree with the above, thats an extremely top heavy club now in cap hits. 58mil in 8 players is a tough spot, leaving just 25mil for 14 other players, and no wiggle room.
And kase has played more than half a season in what 5 yrs now? And just 1 game this yr?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
9 hours ago
Thread:
Realistic Leafs trade deadline
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Saskleaf</b></div><div>Lol, maybe they’re not getting Timo Meier, but they are AT LEAST spending a second round pick on someone. My bet is they spend a first.</div></div>
I dont think Dubas has a long lease on life after so many 1st round exits, and having 2 of their top 4 forwards hitting UFA in 2 yrs, and half the defense hitting mid 30s or leaving (Muzzin, Giordano, Holl, Benn, Brodie-only 31), I think hes almost got to make a medium-big move. They do have to advance at least one round this year to save dubas and keefes jobs, as its almost a sin to think that you'll have to debate moving one of the expiring big 3 at the 23-24 TDL without any of them ever having a real playoff run.
He will get a top 2 line LW or a above average 3rd liner to improve the depth, and due to the plethora of defensive injuries, it would be prudent to probably add an above average 3rd pair/7th who is more of a stay at home/crease clearer.
And due to this short leash, and the limited value amongst the Leaf depth players to the market, (Is Holl/kerfoot's value in trade greater than their value to the Leafs in the cup run? No. Do Gaudette, Engvall, Simmonds, mete, benn, ZAR, etc... have much value in trade? No) I think any of the Leafs picks and every prospect might be up for conversation
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
Deadline
Is it just me or do people actually think Joey Anderson and Dryden Hunt have value? I certainly dont.
Not to say Pulijarvi or Duclair have huge (or even good) value, but these guys are thrown into deals like they are actually worth something.
Its this Jeremy Bracco effect
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
Realistic Leafs trade deadline
Realistic? definitely.
Elevated a team desperate to FINALLY make a splash in the playoffs? Not really
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
Dream
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUFF36</b></div><div>Mitts is on pace for 45-50pts this year. He has 28 in 48 right know. On the right team he could flourish.</div></div>
While I agree, its hard to project him getting to 45-50, when his history is so checkered (mostly injuries), and ultimately even in the above roster hes your 3C, and an 2.5mil expiring RFA who might be looking at 4mil or more, I'm just unsure hes reliable or good enough long term, but ultimately it might not be mittlestadt, it could be any young guy whos shown flashes of elevating his game at the NHL level
Obviously BUF does this deal with an eye to resigning Meier, I'm just saying futures alone might not be enough for SJS, they might someone young that has shown glimpses already like a Mittlesdtadt
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
Trade deadline be a seller
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Not_Isles5513</b></div><div>They would get those returns given the retention. Only issue is no one in their right mind retains that much for that long.</div></div>
I just dont think those players are worth that. Say for instance the CGY deal, both Varlamov and Lucic are expiring and neither is really what the other needs/wants and both are around 5mil. Take them out of the deal. So really its Bailey at 2.5mil for this yr and next, is worth a 1st, 2 2nds and a 4th? I dont think hes worth a 1st and 2nd hes 33 yrs old and his best yrs were 2017 and 2018, I just cant see him worth a 1st, 2 2nds and a 4th
Forum:
Armchair-GM
11 hours ago
Thread:
Dream
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUFF36</b></div><div>Johnson is a guaranteed 2nd if he walks on you guys. Team who has his rights when they expire automatically get a 2nd rnd pick because of his draft status. So your basically getting 2 1st and 2 2nds</div></div>
All good responses and certainly 2 1sts and 2 2nds is a nice return, however I think without a real player in there, its alot of of maybes and shots in the dark. Possibly sub out Johnson or the 2nd and input someone playing now, but not part of the long haul Buffalo team or struggling.
Someone like a Jost or Mittlestadt (or even a Bryson) might work, both are/have had pretty meh years (historically too) and hard to judge whether either can elevate from what we've seen so far, and both are not the cheapest RFAs. (Is mittelstadt worth 3mil or more? As a 2.5mil RFA, its hard based on his history to think long term deal at 3+ mil).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
11 hours ago
Thread:
Dream
Interesting, but jOHNSON and Portillo have probably very limited, if any, trade value as both are looking at going unsigned and hitting UFA
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 hours ago
Thread:
Trade deadline be a seller
While I agree that NYI should be selling, they aren;t getting those returns, especially when dumping contracts back.
And considering you've buried FIVE guys in the minors, you're still at the cap limit.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 hours ago
Thread:
Meier Lafferty Schenn
Probably the 1st and 3rd deals are weak.
Hollowell isnt really a prospect or an NHLer, so I don;t think he carries much, if any, value. And the 4th is TWO drafts away. VAN will get better offers easily
Kerfoot is a cap dump to SJS. Robertson is on his 2nd disapointing season (non-production and injuries), so neither of those 2 pieces carry much value and collectively probably offset as ZERO. So its Sandin and a late in the round 1st for Meier and a 2nd in 2024, which is probably a weak offer for the "likely premiere" TDL acquisition. (Personally, TOR should look at say a Zucker at 50%, if available, or a JVR at 50% for alot less in cost. Maybe a TOR 3rd in 2023 and 2nd in 2024).
As for Lafferty, I dont think he brings more than gaudette, holmberg, engvall to make him worth a 3rd.
With the failure of Robertson this year, Amirov's likely done, trading tons of picks/high-highish midlevel prospects is probably not what TOR should be doing. Sandin might only be still getting 16 minutes a game, but behind he, liljegren and timmins, theres really only Niemala in the youth dept/pipeline on defense who look to be NHLers, (the rest are pretty weak). And with big tickets like matthews, marner, nylander, liljegren, etc... hitting the market in 2 yrs, alot of ELC youngsters need to be ready to go, or else theres no point in resigning those guys
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Yesterday at 9:31 a.m.
Thread:
Leafs Deadline
Not bad ideas (although agree that Sandin wont be moved), but ultimately that CHI deal is a parrot job: Why would CHI have 3 yrs of retention on a guy they just signed for that return? Steeves is a midlevel prospect and the 1st is probably 25th or so overall, so IMO you dont get the player and the retention (which is at least a 2nd for 3 yrs)
Forum:
Fauteuil - DG
Yesterday at 9:28 a.m.
Thread:
A bit tougher for playoffs
That probably doesn;t get close for Foligno
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Yesterday at 9:20 a.m.
Thread:
Leafs Trade Deadline - Hopeful yet possible
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>frgsn</b></div><div>Thanks for the detailed response.
I was under the impression that the Flyers may be looking to move on from Provorov, so a trade for Sandin could make sense for them. Hirvonen wouldn't have to be the add on piece either, could be another asset with similar value. I just think that Sandin and a 1st are a strong foundation for a fair trade.</div></div>
Maybe, but Sandin is playing 16 minutes a game in his 4th pro season (even with Left defenders Reilly, Muzzin missing alot of time), so its a leap to think that Sandin is a Provorov replacement, (who has played 19+ since his draft yr) and if Provorov goes, its probably York at 1LD, Sanheim at 2LD, so Sandin is likely still 3LD in that scenario.
Its also based on now, and Koneckny is at an apex of value, and PHI has no need/want to trade him, so a buyer has no leverage to ask for a "fair trade". Hes 25 yrs old, signed cheaply for 3 seasons, scoring at a ppg, on a team that cant score and is missing 2 of its top 6 forwards. So firstly, PHI would need HUGE over payment and SECONDLY they'd want what they want/need, not just what Leafs offer.
For all the projections, a prospect or a pick is just a prospect until/IF he develops, Robertson/Robbie Earl/Carlo Cola being perfect examples, so Hirvonen/Niemala/Knies MIGHT be a Koneckny, they might be better, but they also might never be a Koneckny, especially one as good as hes playing right now. So the idea of PHI trading a great contract of a young (and playing amazing) guy for futures, would need alot of futures.
PHI is playing a ton of young guys and have a strong prospect pipeline, so while theyd be crazy not to add to it, theyd also have to be WOWed to trade a 25 yr old playing at a ppg, when hes exactly the type you build a team with (not around, but with).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Yesterday at 7:08 a.m.
Thread:
Leafs Trade Deadline - Hopeful yet possible
Better Leafs offer than most on Koneckny...not sure its what they want/need though. LD with Provorov, Sanheim, York, Andrae, Zamula in system makes Sandin's value to PHI lesser (and probably 3LD on the current team) and Hirvonen, a LW, to a team that has currently has Tippett, Allison, Farabee, Atkinson, deslauriers, laughton, cates all playing wing with Bobby Brink, Foerster, Gautheir on the way, probably doesn;t crave Hirvonen as much as a RD Niemala.
Chicago isnt going to retain 2 mil for 3 yrs, even though the offer is good. Theyd have to have the belief that Voit and Niemala are bluechips.
And ARZ probably takes Steeves or the 3rd for expiring UFA Bjugstad, both is more than hes worth
But better value than most offers.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Yesterday at 7:03 a.m.
Thread:
New Flyers PT 2
Again horrible moves, and yet no arrival of Brink, Foerster, Andrae, Gautheir...but nice to see you've helped Ellis to recover?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Yesterday at 6:14 a.m.
Thread:
Deadline Deals
Dont think PHI wants Logan Stanley bad enough to part with a 4th...they already have deslauriers, seeler, allison and macewen in lineup who can all throw them.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Yesterday at 6:12 a.m.
Thread:
New Flyers
Hayes at a ppg WITH 4 yrs of 1mil retention is worth more a VERY low in the round 1st.
Provorov is worth more, the cap dump of Zaitsev is worth at least a 2nd, and a buy out cost 2.8mil against cap, so Provorov is worth less than Jarventie and a 2nd? Dont think its enough, myabe bothered by his "religious" stance or not, hes signed quite reasonably for a few more years and plays 23+ minutes a night, (generally with any partner). The last time he played regularly with a solid RD was a career year back with Niskanen, so hes worth more than that.
And your lines and UFA acquisitions are a bit screwy. Do you think Mayfield, Gudas and Kulikov are what theyre missing on backend? York at 3LD? Jeannot and Atkinson on 1st line? Resign MacEwen? No Brink or Foerster?
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