Avatar

Hammerwise

Member Since
Aug. 7, 2018
Favourite Team
Toronto Maple Leafs
2nd Favourite Team
Philadelphia Flyers
Forum Posts
4018
Posts per Day
2.5
Forum: Armchair-GM8 hours ago
Thread: Can we keep samsonov
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GMBL</b></div><div>We are talking about him becoming a 4th liner. He's great in the AHL so it's not a stretch that he makes the jump, he might not but it's pretty negligible. Someone else will get signed for that role and he'll have to compete for it with others.</div></div>

These are my opinions but:

I think its just symptomatic of the base of not evaluating correctly, not taking in the reality/history and over valuing players/situations. Theres a reason the Leaf base is labelled "delusional" and its these myopic symptoms to blame. Joey Anderson is not an NHLer and while a good AHLer, he has proven for FIVE seasons. David Kampf while an above average defensive player, is not a good enough offensive player for the 3rd line.
Forum: Armchair-GM8 hours ago
Forum: Armchair-GM9 hours ago
Thread: Realistic Leafs trade deadline
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Saskleaf</b></div><div>Lol, maybe they’re not getting Timo Meier, but they are AT LEAST spending a second round pick on someone. My bet is they spend a first.</div></div>

I dont think Dubas has a long lease on life after so many 1st round exits, and having 2 of their top 4 forwards hitting UFA in 2 yrs, and half the defense hitting mid 30s or leaving (Muzzin, Giordano, Holl, Benn, Brodie-only 31), I think hes almost got to make a medium-big move. They do have to advance at least one round this year to save dubas and keefes jobs, as its almost a sin to think that you'll have to debate moving one of the expiring big 3 at the 23-24 TDL without any of them ever having a real playoff run.

He will get a top 2 line LW or a above average 3rd liner to improve the depth, and due to the plethora of defensive injuries, it would be prudent to probably add an above average 3rd pair/7th who is more of a stay at home/crease clearer.

And due to this short leash, and the limited value amongst the Leaf depth players to the market, (Is Holl/kerfoot's value in trade greater than their value to the Leafs in the cup run? No. Do Gaudette, Engvall, Simmonds, mete, benn, ZAR, etc... have much value in trade? No) I think any of the Leafs picks and every prospect might be up for conversation
Forum: Armchair-GM10 hours ago
Thread: Dream
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUFF36</b></div><div>Mitts is on pace for 45-50pts this year. He has 28 in 48 right know. On the right team he could flourish.</div></div>

While I agree, its hard to project him getting to 45-50, when his history is so checkered (mostly injuries), and ultimately even in the above roster hes your 3C, and an 2.5mil expiring RFA who might be looking at 4mil or more, I'm just unsure hes reliable or good enough long term, but ultimately it might not be mittlestadt, it could be any young guy whos shown flashes of elevating his game at the NHL level

Obviously BUF does this deal with an eye to resigning Meier, I'm just saying futures alone might not be enough for SJS, they might someone young that has shown glimpses already like a Mittlesdtadt
Forum: Armchair-GM11 hours ago
Thread: Dream
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUFF36</b></div><div>Johnson is a guaranteed 2nd if he walks on you guys. Team who has his rights when they expire automatically get a 2nd rnd pick because of his draft status. So your basically getting 2 1st and 2 2nds</div></div>

All good responses and certainly 2 1sts and 2 2nds is a nice return, however I think without a real player in there, its alot of of maybes and shots in the dark. Possibly sub out Johnson or the 2nd and input someone playing now, but not part of the long haul Buffalo team or struggling.

Someone like a Jost or Mittlestadt (or even a Bryson) might work, both are/have had pretty meh years (historically too) and hard to judge whether either can elevate from what we've seen so far, and both are not the cheapest RFAs. (Is mittelstadt worth 3mil or more? As a 2.5mil RFA, its hard based on his history to think long term deal at 3+ mil).
Forum: Armchair-GM12 hours ago
Thread: Meier Lafferty Schenn
Probably the 1st and 3rd deals are weak.

Hollowell isnt really a prospect or an NHLer, so I don;t think he carries much, if any, value. And the 4th is TWO drafts away. VAN will get better offers easily

Kerfoot is a cap dump to SJS. Robertson is on his 2nd disapointing season (non-production and injuries), so neither of those 2 pieces carry much value and collectively probably offset as ZERO. So its Sandin and a late in the round 1st for Meier and a 2nd in 2024, which is probably a weak offer for the "likely premiere" TDL acquisition. (Personally, TOR should look at say a Zucker at 50%, if available, or a JVR at 50% for alot less in cost. Maybe a TOR 3rd in 2023 and 2nd in 2024).

As for Lafferty, I dont think he brings more than gaudette, holmberg, engvall to make him worth a 3rd.

With the failure of Robertson this year, Amirov's likely done, trading tons of picks/high-highish midlevel prospects is probably not what TOR should be doing. Sandin might only be still getting 16 minutes a game, but behind he, liljegren and timmins, theres really only Niemala in the youth dept/pipeline on defense who look to be NHLers, (the rest are pretty weak). And with big tickets like matthews, marner, nylander, liljegren, etc... hitting the market in 2 yrs, alot of ELC youngsters need to be ready to go, or else theres no point in resigning those guys
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 9:20 a.m.
Thread: Leafs Trade Deadline - Hopeful yet possible
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>frgsn</b></div><div>Thanks for the detailed response.
I was under the impression that the Flyers may be looking to move on from Provorov, so a trade for Sandin could make sense for them. Hirvonen wouldn't have to be the add on piece either, could be another asset with similar value. I just think that Sandin and a 1st are a strong foundation for a fair trade.</div></div>

Maybe, but Sandin is playing 16 minutes a game in his 4th pro season (even with Left defenders Reilly, Muzzin missing alot of time), so its a leap to think that Sandin is a Provorov replacement, (who has played 19+ since his draft yr) and if Provorov goes, its probably York at 1LD, Sanheim at 2LD, so Sandin is likely still 3LD in that scenario.

Its also based on now, and Koneckny is at an apex of value, and PHI has no need/want to trade him, so a buyer has no leverage to ask for a "fair trade". Hes 25 yrs old, signed cheaply for 3 seasons, scoring at a ppg, on a team that cant score and is missing 2 of its top 6 forwards. So firstly, PHI would need HUGE over payment and SECONDLY they'd want what they want/need, not just what Leafs offer.

For all the projections, a prospect or a pick is just a prospect until/IF he develops, Robertson/Robbie Earl/Carlo Cola being perfect examples, so Hirvonen/Niemala/Knies MIGHT be a Koneckny, they might be better, but they also might never be a Koneckny, especially one as good as hes playing right now. So the idea of PHI trading a great contract of a young (and playing amazing) guy for futures, would need alot of futures.

PHI is playing a ton of young guys and have a strong prospect pipeline, so while theyd be crazy not to add to it, theyd also have to be WOWed to trade a 25 yr old playing at a ppg, when hes exactly the type you build a team with (not around, but with).
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 7:08 a.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 6:12 a.m.