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2023 Habs trade value

Created by: JeffFromMontreal
Team: 2022-23 Montreal Canadiens
Initial Creation Date: Feb. 7, 2023
Published: Feb. 7, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
I'm not saying they all get traded. Just trying to establish expected return.
Of course, value is based on healthy players; no retention or picks going back. I would expect the Habs to retain on some players if they want to maximize return.
Wouldn't be surprised if only 1 or 2 get traded at TDL.
Didn't even bother establishing value for Gallagher because, well, he's not going anywhere at the TDL... Worst contract on the team , by far!
Trades
1.
MTL
    Late 2nd round pick + B prospect
    2.
    MTL
      5th Round pick
      3.
      MTL
        3rd Round pick + Cap dump or C prospect
        4.
        MTL
          2nd Round pick + B prospect
          5.
          MTL
            3rd Round pick
            6.
            MTL
              2nd Round pick + B prospect
              7.
              MTL
                3rd Round pick + C prospect
                8.
                MTL
                  4th Round pick
                  9.
                  MTL
                    2nd Round pick + B prospect
                    10.
                    MTL
                      5th Round pick
                      Buyouts
                      DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
                      2023
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the FLA
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the PIT
                      Logo of the VGK
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the CGY
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      2024
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the COL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the EDM
                      2025
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the CGY
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      Logo of the MTL
                      ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
                      17$82,500,000$39,509,999$1,132,500$5,490,000$42,990,001
                      Left WingCentreRight Wing
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $880,833$880,833 (Performance Bonus$850,000$850K)
                      LW, RW
                      UFA - 1
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $7,875,000$7,875,000
                      C
                      UFA - 8
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $950,000$950,000 (Performance Bonus$3,500,000$4M)
                      RW, LW
                      RFA - 3
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $1,100,000$1,100,000
                      LW, RW
                      UFA - 2
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $3,362,500$3,362,500
                      C, RW
                      RFA - 4
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $6,500,000$6,500,000
                      RW, LW
                      M-NTC, NMC
                      UFA - 5
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $825,000$825,000
                      LW, RW
                      RFA - 1
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $750,000$750,000
                      LW, RW
                      UFA - 1
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $1,700,000$1,700,000
                      C
                      UFA - 3
                      Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$420,000$420K)
                      LD/RD
                      RFA - 3
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $3,500,000$3,500,000
                      RD
                      UFA - 3
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $4,875,000$4,875,000
                      LD
                      M-NTC
                      UFA - 4
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$212,500$212K)
                      RD
                      RFA - 2
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $1,000,000$1,000,000
                      G
                      UFA - 2
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $842,500$842,500 (Performance Bonus$507,500$508K)
                      LD/RD
                      RFA - 1
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $766,667$766,667
                      RD
                      UFA - 3
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $828,333$828,333
                      LD/RD
                      RFA - 2
                      ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $10,500,000$10,500,000
                      G
                      NMC
                      UFA - 4
                      Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
                      $3,400,000$3,400,000
                      LW, RW
                      UFA - 1

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                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 10:36 a.m.
                      #1
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                      Montreal says no thanks to a 1st for Anderson though?
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 10:49 a.m.
                      #2
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                      I would have to see it to believe it. I know that there were rumours... but I doubt Habs turned down a First for Anderson. My guess is that they're looking for 2 pieces to come back. Of course, if the pick is a late first, then the prospect could be a bit less important. So 2nd Round + B prospect or Late First + B- prospect...
                      OldNYIfan liked this.
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 10:54 a.m.
                      #3
                      Once a Kings Fan Too
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                      Congratulations. The most realistic analysis of Montreal trade values I've seen, either individually or collectively. Congratulations (again).
                      JeffFromMontreal liked this.
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 11:00 a.m.
                      #4
                      Habs4Ever
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                      Quoting: OldNYIfan
                      Congratulations. The most realistic analysis of Montreal trade values I've seen, either individually or collectively. Congratulations (again).


                      I disagree on so many players
                      Hoffman Drouin Dadonov & Armia should be in negative value without salary retention
                      Hoffman Drouin & Dadonov could be worth a 4th or less if MTL retained half their salary
                      The value for Monahan is fine for him half retained, full cap he isn't worth a 2nd + B prospect

                      Dvorak & Edmundson are probably spot on

                      If the rumors are true, that's too low of a return for Anderson
                      Campabee liked this.
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 11:03 a.m.
                      #5
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                      Quoting: JeffFromMontreal
                      I would have to see it to believe it. I know that there were rumours... but I doubt Habs turned down a First for Anderson. My guess is that they're looking for 2 pieces to come back. Of course, if the pick is a late first, then the prospect could be a bit less important. So 2nd Round + B prospect or Late First + B- prospect...


                      It has been all over the news lately and unless the GM of either team comes out and says the Habs turned down a 1st we can only assume the reports are true since the insiders usually have good information. Now the caveat is that maybe the 1st had conditions Hughes didn't like or was too far in the future to be worth it.
                      JeffFromMontreal liked this.
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 11:14 a.m.
                      #6
                      Once a Kings Fan Too
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                      Quoting: TheRealisticGuy
                      I disagree on so many players
                      Hoffman Drouin Dadonov & Armia should be in negative value without salary retention
                      Hoffman Drouin & Dadonov could be worth a 4th or less if MTL retained half their salary
                      The value for Monahan is fine for him half retained, full cap he isn't worth a 2nd + B prospect

                      Dvorak & Edmundson are probably spot on

                      If the rumors are true, that's too low of a return for Anderson

                      I found the second and third sentences of his Team Description contradictory, so I went with the third sentence; I assumed that he didn't want to put in retention figures for everybody because then some pedant would pipe up that "you can only retain on three players at a time, dolt."

                      Seeing as how every single rumor about Bo Horvat's ultimate destination was wrong, to pick just one case as an example, I don't put much stock in any "report" separated by more than an hour from the event's actual materialization. So I'm quite skeptical of the parlay that (1) someone offered Hughes a first for Anderson, and (2) he turned it down.
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 11:29 a.m.
                      #7
                      Darkblade
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                      The only one that could maybe fetch a 1st is Edmundson, Monahan injuries made it so he gets a 2nd, why Edmundson can get a 1st is if habs get a bad contract back and retain 50% for 2years, could throw one of the prospects in need of a change of scenery, Norlinder, Ylonen or Kapanen.
                      TheRealisticGuy liked this.
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 1:15 p.m.
                      #8
                      Habs4Ever
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                      Quoting: AlakHul
                      The only one that could maybe fetch a 1st is Edmundson, Monahan injuries made it so he gets a 2nd, why Edmundson can get a 1st is if habs get a bad contract back and retain 50% for 2years, could throw one of the prospects in need of a change of scenery, Norlinder, Ylonen or Kapanen.


                      Norlinder & Ylönen could be in that category but Kapanen isn't, he's worth more than the 2 you mentionned
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 1:24 p.m.
                      #9
                      Darkblade
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                      Quoting: TheRealisticGuy
                      Norlinder & Ylönen could be in that category but Kapanen isn't, he's worth more than the 2 you mentionned


                      Kapanen could be our 4c or maybe the 3rw next to Beck and Heineman, if everything goes right lmao
                      Yes Kapanen has more value im not denying that
                      TheRealisticGuy liked this.
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 1:33 p.m.
                      #10
                      Habs4Ever
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                      Quoting: AlakHul
                      Kapanen could be our 4c or maybe the 3rw next to Beck and Heineman, if everything goes right lmao
                      Yes Kapanen has more value im not denying that


                      For now best scenario is
                      Suzuki
                      Dach
                      Beck
                      Kapanen
                      At least our 3C-4C can win faceoffs lol
                      But depending who we draft this year, Dach could be moved on the wing full time
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 2:03 p.m.
                      #11
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                      Quoting: OldNYIfan
                      Congratulations. The most realistic analysis of Montreal trade values I've seen, either individually or collectively. Congratulations (again).


                      Thanks! I remember doing it last year and people liked it as well... I'm an old guy who loves hockey and Habs are my favourite team. I try to remain objective... I know people won't agree with my take on guys like Armia and Drouin or whatever...

                      Fact is, IF Drouin had remained healthy this year, on a contract year and the way he started the season, I think the return could've been way better. He still has upside and could prove to be usefull in a low-pressure, middle-6 situation. Armia, if he was on an expiring deal, could attract some old-school GM who likes the eye test more than analytics. But with that contract, Habs would be lucky to trade him for a 4th, probably with salary coming back...

                      Anyway, always fun to give my POV and witness the chaos in the feedback... lol
                      OldNYIfan liked this.
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 2:10 p.m.
                      #12
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                      Quoting: Campabee
                      It has been all over the news lately and unless the GM of either team comes out and says the Habs turned down a 1st we can only assume the reports are true since the insiders usually have good information. Now the caveat is that maybe the 1st had conditions Hughes didn't like or was too far in the future to be worth it.


                      We all heard tu rumours. And you make a valid point about the conditions attached to the First pick. In my mind, there's NO WAY Habs turned down a solid, unprotected 2023 1st Round pick for Anderson at 0% retention... That being said, There's no way Habs would say yes to Anderson at 50% retention for a late first.

                      All in all, I still believe the best deal would be Anderson at 0% retention for a 2nd rounder and a B-prospect. Bonus points if that prospect is a right shot D-man.
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 2:18 p.m.
                      #13
                      Darkblade
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                      Quoting: TheRealisticGuy
                      For now best scenario is
                      Suzuki
                      Dach
                      Beck
                      Kapanen
                      At least our 3C-4C can win faceoffs lol
                      But depending who we draft this year, Dach could be moved on the wing full time


                      I really hope for a top 4 pick, bottom 2 are uncatchable rn but Ducks and Yotes are with their strength of schedule being one of the easiests.
                      I want fantilli if we win lotto for 2nd spot though.
                      Feb. 7, 2023 at 10:20 p.m.
                      #14
                      Habs4Ever
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                      Quoting: AlakHul
                      I really hope for a top 4 pick, bottom 2 are uncatchable rn but Ducks and Yotes are with their strength of schedule being one of the easiests.
                      I want fantilli if we win lotto for 2nd spot though.


                      Same, Bedard Fantilli Carlsson would be great in that order
                      JeffFromMontreal liked this.
                       
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