Comparing to My Mock and Grading Real World Results

Appreciate the thought and effort into this!

Molendyk is a bit of a reach, but he's a very good skater. My guess is Trotz wanted more mobile defenders on the back end, and he could eventually get mentored by Josi. His offensive game needs work but the upside is there. Gonna be exciting to see how him and Wood pan out.

This draft tells me the Yotes are either not trying at all or completely misguided in how to build an organization that can win in the next 50 years.

Thanks! Makes sense they would want a mobile defenseman and one thing Nashville does very well is in developing defensemen at the NHL level. I do think getting their forward situation should've been their #1 priority but I could be proven wrong in my assessment. Regardless, it's gonna be fun to see how guys that are projects and reaches in this class turn out in the coming years.

Nice work on this. Must have taken a while.

Agree with you on Molendyk, I don't think he was the guy to choose in the 1st round. The smart move would be to trade down if we wanted to select him. I do think the Preds need defense prospects. We have Stastney developing well and I think he'd be a fantastic replacement for McDonagh when he leaves the team(either by trade, FA or retirement). But we don't have a notable offensive defenseman that can fill the void Josi will leave. I thought Matthew Wood was a great pick(I predicted it correctly surprisingly).
Now I'm also a Canucks fan and I am delighted with the fact that we picked up Willander. We need defensive defensemen on that right side and he checks that box. I wish we kept the pick we got in the Bo Horvat trade(ironically used to draft ASP), then we could've had Sweden's top pair reunited at the NHL level. I'd probably bump it to a B+/A- but that's just me.

-Do people know that maybe Michkov simply didn't gave the impression he wanted to come to Montreal like it was reported for Vegas? Russian's love their big apple and it was reported that he had a couple meetings with Philly saying he'd like to be there, the kid chose where he wanted to go.

-Cowan is 100% recency bias and a GM not having the reins on his draft. Kid started hockey late and didn't break any leagues he was in when younger, now he has a a passable season and a great playoff run so he's a first rounder? Even Treliving didn't look thrilled in his post pick interview on draft floor saying "When I got there (Toronto) the scouts loved the kid so we picked him", does that sound like a guy who just got his guy as a first pick with his new team? Yikes.

-Not excited by the Arizona picks BUT if there's one thing you can like about it, it's easier to get a Russian to come over to play for your team if you also draft his friend and teammate. They like the kids and knew that only getting one would mean difficulty bringing him over, but with a pair they'll have better odds.

- Comparing Dvorsky to Danault and being happy that you picked him in the top 10 shouldn't go together. It took Danault 5 years to become an NHL regular and 7 years to be a top 6 center, if I pick top in 2023 I expect a much better outcome than having a top 6 center in 2030 to be honest. Benson or Wood would've made sense, hell Benson looked better than Savoie this year! If he can put up some muscle, you get a 5'10" rock that skates, now you're hoing for something better than a third line center with Dalibor.

here is somme food for thoughs about who is a good pick and who is not :

how do we grade usually if a pick is good or not? i would say that its related to our expactation on who a team is going to draft and that would be built around by mock draft by '' experts ''. so if a pick is way off the board and unexpected, we would think its a bad pick (as the one with arizona). in reality, what is a.mock draft? its pretty much just what someone will try to predict with information they have or not : positional needs by organisation, leeked information by insiders source, etc. sometime you have a lot of info, sometimes not at all, sometimes a Gm intesret is leaked way before the draft and everyone knows the pick in advance. now, where am i getting with this : i bet that if 3 months ago, something was leaked that arizona really liked simashev, experts whould have started to put him at number 6 and everyone would have slowly expected him to be there and reacted way less.about the pick. what we are really reacting about his how unexpected it is. for MTL in the past few years, Kk and slaf were way off the boards pick 3 months in advance but so much buzz was created before that it.didnt seem that much weird of a pick come.draft day. and its not like arizona is the kind of place to create a lot of buzz.

anyway, this text is probably way too long already, but i think what you did id very interesting!

Good point, feel it's also the history of the league they play in(OHL, WHL, SHL, BCHL, etc.) and the points they put up as that data is used to predict that player's potential. That's why some picks are flops. I sort of base my perceptions of a good/bad pick off what the team needs(eg. Canucks need Wallinder to fill our void of a two-way RHD, Nashville needing more power forwards(RW was looking a little sparse(body-wsie)so they draft Matthew Wood).

Moore won’t be in the NHL for like 2 years and by then Hall’s contract expires so he could easily slot into the wing