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Revisiting a Laf deal

Created by: jonh514
Team: 2023-24 Montreal Canadiens
Initial Creation Date: Jun. 30, 2023
Published: Jun. 30, 2023
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
I know we are all exhausted, but it's been all PLD for so long, we need something else to chat about :D

Before crapping on this deal, please remember Anderson is a RW and Rangers could use a RW

Now go ahead and crap on this deal!
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
8$6,000,000
3$3,000,000
2$1,250,000
Trades
MTL
  1. Lafrenière, Alexis [RFA Rights]
NYR
  1. Anderson, Josh ($2,750,000 retained)
  2. Mesar, Filip
  3. 2024 1st round pick (MTL)
Additional Details:
Top 5 protected pick
Anderson is a RW who would help the team compete, especially in the playoffs. Probably good for 20+ goals in each of his remaining years. He hits like a truck too.
Mesar is a developing player. Threw him in as he's a RW and theoretically when he makes the NHL he will be a top 6 player.
Buyouts
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2024
Logo of the COL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the SJS
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the EDM
2025
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the CGY
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
2026
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$83,500,000$72,013,333$1,170,000$4,210,000$11,486,667
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$7,850,000$7,850,000
LW, RW
UFA - 8
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$7,875,000$7,875,000
C
UFA - 7
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,985,000$1,985,000 (Performance Bonus$15,000$15K)
C, LW, RW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,000,000$3,000,000
C, LW
RFA - 4
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,362,500$3,362,500
C, RW
RFA - 3
$6,000,000$6,000,000
LW, RW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$950,000$950,000 (Performance Bonus$3,500,000$4M)
RW, LW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$4,450,000$4,450,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$6,500,000$6,500,000
RW, LW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,250,000$1,250,000
LW, RW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,700,000$1,700,000
C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,400,000$3,400,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$812,500$812,500
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$4,875,000$4,875,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$925,000$925,000 (Performance Bonus$275,000$275K)
RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,000,000$1,000,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$420,000$420K)
LD/RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,500,000$3,500,000
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,925,000$1,925,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$828,333$828,333
LD/RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,400,000$1,400,000
LD/RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$875,000$875,000
LD/RD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$766,667$766,667
RD
UFA - 2
ScratchesInjured Reserve (IR)Long Term IR (LTIR)
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$10,500,000$10,500,000
G
NMC
UFA - 3

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Jun. 30, 2023 at 9:42 a.m.
#1
Sennecke is a gem
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Let me crap on this deal: MTL are getting robbed
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 9:47 a.m.
#2
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NYR aren’t doing a Laf deal. Not for a 4th, not for a 1st in 2 years, not for the above package. There’s no deal that NYR takes that any fan base would be happy to give. It’s not a possibility. The non existent OS is the only option to acquire him..
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 9:47 a.m.
#3
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HuGo is a Boss GM
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Quoting: Caufield
Let me crap on this deal: MTL are getting robbed


Fair feedback. I was reminded with the Newhook and PLD deals how expensive it is to acquire young/developing talent.

Think of it like this. Looking back at the 2020 draft he's 4th in production. How much would it cost to get a 2024 4th OA pick? Would this be a fair price?
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 9:49 a.m.
#4
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Quoting: NYR1983
NYR aren’t doing a Laf deal. Not for a 4th, not for a 1st in 2 years, not for the above package. There’s no deal that NYR takes that any fan base would be happy to give. It’s not a possibility. The non existent OS is the only option to acquire him..


Well that's just silly. Of course your GM makes a deal if he believes he can sell it and make his team more competitive in the process.

Also, and more importantly, it ruins my fun sir!
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 9:50 a.m.
#5
Sennecke is a gem
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Quoting: jonh514
Fair feedback. I was reminded with the Newhook and PLD deals how expensive it is to acquire young/developing talent.

Think of it like this. Looking back at the 2020 draft he's 4th in production. How much would it cost to get a 2024 4th OA pick? Would this be a fair price?

Is see where your coming from
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 9:50 a.m.
#6
Skeating_sec224
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Im a NYR an & i like Lafreniere but Id think Drury, who didn't draft Lafreniere, & with a lot of depth at LW, might take this & run.
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 9:51 a.m.
#7
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montreal should absolutely not be trading its first for next year, protected or not
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 9:52 a.m.
#8
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Quoting: Skeating622
Im a NYR an & i like Lafreniere but Id think Drury, who didn't draft Lafreniere, & with a lot of depth at LW, might take this & run.


Thanks. Nice to hear some positive feedback. I tried to structure a fair deal that takes into account optics and upside.
Jun. 30, 2023 at 9:54 a.m.
#9
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Quoting: qc14
montreal should absolutely not be trading its first for next year, protected or not


If they can put their hands on a 21 year old player with Laf's upside, under team control for the next 8 years... They absolutely should.
Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:01 a.m.
#10
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Quoting: jonh514
If they can put their hands on a 21 year old player with Laf's upside, under team control for the next 8 years... They absolutely should.


Idk that KH would move MTL's first but could potentially pull another "Romanov to Dach" move and use another teams first
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:09 a.m.
#11
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Quoting: jonh514
Well that's just silly. Of course your GM makes a deal if he believes he can sell it and make his team more competitive in the process.

Also, and more importantly, it ruins my fun sir!


How does that trade make the rangers more competitive? Anderson’s numbers aren’t even better than Laffy lol it’s a lateral move at best and rangers stick with the guy who has way more potential
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:21 a.m.
#12
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Quoting: Rags21
How does that trade make the rangers more competitive? Anderson’s numbers aren’t even better than Laffy lol it’s a lateral move at best and rangers stick with the guy who has way more potential


Lateral move in the regular season: granted
Upgrade in the playoffs
Upside comes from Mesar & 2024 1st
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:26 a.m.
#13
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Quoting: jonh514
If they can put their hands on a 21 year old player with Laf's upside, under team control for the next 8 years... They absolutely should.


As an outsider I just don't really get MTL's plan. They have a lot of young guys that I like and think will be good players -- Guhle, Newhook, Dach, Slaf, etc. -- but I don't see any of them being true superstars. Suzuki is also one of the most overrated guys in the league IMO and I think is the 2c on a good team. Caulfield is the only one I can envision taking that next step, Reinbacher is too much of an unknown at this point. I would put Laf in that same Newhook/Dach/Slaf category where it's hard to see any of them being more than the 3rd or 4th best forward on a true contender. If I was MTL I wouldn't want to lock myself into that core when I don't really see the endgame for it.

I guess that is a long way of saying I expect MTL to remain quite bad for longer than most lol.
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:27 a.m.
#14
Soggy
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I think if the Rangers are gonna trade Laf, they're gonna need someone exciting back to justify it, preferably a RW. The 1st is valuable but teams trade 1sts all the time, and Anderson is a bummer too he's not even above half a point per game. Unless you package so many high picks that the Rangers can't say no, or drop the Rangers a top 5 pick, I don't think MTL has the assets to trade for Laf.
Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:28 a.m.
#15
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Quoting: GoofyFoFoofy
I think if the Rangers are gonna trade Laf, they're gonna need someone exciting back to justify it, preferably a RW. The 1st is valuable but teams trade 1sts all the time, and Anderson is a bummer too he's not even above half a point per game. Unless you package so many high picks that the Rangers can't say no, or drop the Rangers a top 5 pick, I don't think MTL has the assets to trade for Laf.


Hard to find a 20 goal scoring RW power forward for 2.75M
Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:30 a.m.
#16
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Quoting: qc14
As an outsider I just don't really get MTL's plan. They have a lot of young guys that I like and think will be good players -- Guhle, Newhook, Dach, Slaf, etc. -- but I don't see any of them being true superstars. Suzuki is also one of the most overrated guys in the league IMO and I think is the 2c on a good team. Caulfield is the only one I can envision taking that next step, Reinbacher is too much of an unknown at this point. I would put Laf in that same Newhook/Dach/Slaf category where it's hard to see any of them being more than the 3rd or 4th best forward on a true contender. If I was MTL I wouldn't want to lock myself into that core when I don't really see the endgame for it.

I guess that is a long way of saying I expect MTL to remain quite bad for longer than most lol.


I really appreciate your perspective. I disagree completely with your assessment of the Habs players, but clearly that's why we are so far apart!
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:32 a.m.
#17
Soggy
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Quoting: jonh514
Hard to find a 20 goal scoring RW power forward for 2.75M


Rangers already have one in Laf, his stats are almost identical to Anderson and his contract is probably gonna come in at that rate. That kind of player isn't in demand for them.
He just needs to get comfortable at RW, or better yet Kreider switches to RW and Laf stays on the left.
Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:36 a.m.
#18
Fall River Habs
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Quoting: qc14
As an outsider I just don't really get MTL's plan. They have a lot of young guys that I like and think will be good players -- Guhle, Newhook, Dach, Slaf, etc. -- but I don't see any of them being true superstars. Suzuki is also one of the most overrated guys in the league IMO and I think is the 2c on a good team. Caulfield is the only one I can envision taking that next step, Reinbacher is too much of an unknown at this point. I would put Laf in that same Newhook/Dach/Slaf category where it's hard to see any of them being more than the 3rd or 4th best forward on a true contender. If I was MTL I wouldn't want to lock myself into that core when I don't really see the endgame for it.

I guess that is a long way of saying I expect MTL to remain quite bad for longer than most lol.


I agree that Montreal should add a higher end player if they are thinking of making the playoffs and competing soon. If not, let's hope they are really bad next year (or the year after that if necessary (but hopefully not)) and hope they get a Macklin Cellebrini or Michael Misa type player.

Adding good but not excellent talent will leave them in the "mushy middle".

I suppose, though, there is still a chance that Lafreniere could turn into a true star (80 + points per year) and that is what the original poster is banking on. It could happen. If not, though, I think Montreal should have bigger goals for their next forward acquisition.
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:40 a.m.
#19
SlafDaddy
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No for MTL imo
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:52 a.m.
#20
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Quoting: Big_Papa20
No for MTL imo


Thanks for sharing your perspective!
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:54 a.m.
#21
Skeating_sec224
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Edited Jun. 30, 2023 at 10:59 a.m.
Quoting: GoofyFoFoofy
Rangers already have one in Laf, his stats are almost identical to Anderson and his contract is probably gonna come in at that rate. That kind of player isn't in demand for them.
He just needs to get comfortable at RW, or better yet Kreider switches to RW and Laf stays on the left.


Problem is Lafreiniere, as of yet, hasn't shown he can play the RW, NYR has a depth at LW (Panarin & Kreider ahead of Laf & i just don't see a coach like Laviolette moving CK over)
Anderson slots in as RW 2 & top prospect Brennan Othman slots in as LW 3
Getting Mesar a former first rounder & MTL's 2024 1st round pick also gives Drury more draft capital to use at the deadline & adds another piece to a weak RW prospect pool or something to add another NHL ready piece for a playoff push,,,
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 11:00 a.m.
#22
Soggy
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Quoting: Skeating622
Problem is Lafreiniere, as of yet, hasn't shown he can play the RW, NYR has a depth at LW (Panarin & Kreider ahead of Laf) Anderson slots in as RW 2 & top prospect Brennan Othman slots in as 3 LW
Getting Mesar a former first rounder & MTL's 2024 1st round pick also gives Drury more draft capital to use at the deadline & adds another piece to a weak RW prospect pool or something to add another NHL ready piece for a playoff push,,,


Anderson isn't gonna solve their RW woes with his mid point production and I don't think Othmann is ready for the NHL yet. If I'm Drury I'd rather try my luck at moving Laf or Kreider to RW. The Breadman-Trocheck-Laf line was good for the short time it was assembled last season, Gallant only took it apart cause he ignored stats and goes with his gut, and he'd been eating too much Chipotle.

Mesar and a 1st aren't bad assets to get back at all don't get me wrong, I'm just saying if I'm Drury and I wanna trade a former 1OA I'm looking for something exciting back, and those 2 pieces aren't really exciting.
Jun. 30, 2023 at 11:06 a.m.
#23
we miss leo k
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I think it's a very interesting but I truly don't know what direction the Rangers are going this summer. Who does Anderson skate with - do you stick him with Panarin & Mika as a Tom Wilson-lite type of guy? Or do they stick him on Chytil or Trocheck's wing in the middle-6 and bring back one of Kane or Tarasenko to be the top line RW? Because Anderson on the top line at $2.75M actually feels like a shot at the 25 goal/50 point guy that Habs fans all claim he could be - but stick him in that middle 6 and I think he's more of a 35-40 point guy.

I think there's some intriguing possibilities here, though. Putting myself in Chris Drury's shoes, I might push for a D prospect over Mesar, though - they already have a lot of money tied up in Fox & Trouba, with K'Andre Miller needing a new deal this summer and Braden Schneider needing one next year. Getting a younger, cost-controlled guy for the bottom pair would be more of a focus for them, I would think.
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Jun. 30, 2023 at 11:23 a.m.
#24
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Quoting: dannibalcorpse
I think it's a very interesting but I truly don't know what direction the Rangers are going this summer. Who does Anderson skate with - do you stick him with Panarin & Mika as a Tom Wilson-lite type of guy? Or do they stick him on Chytil or Trocheck's wing in the middle-6 and bring back one of Kane or Tarasenko to be the top line RW? Because Anderson on the top line at $2.75M actually feels like a shot at the 25 goal/50 point guy that Habs fans all claim he could be - but stick him in that middle 6 and I think he's more of a 35-40 point guy.

I think there's some intriguing possibilities here, though. Putting myself in Chris Drury's shoes, I might push for a D prospect over Mesar, though - they already have a lot of money tied up in Fox & Trouba, with K'Andre Miller needing a new deal this summer and Braden Schneider needing one next year. Getting a younger, cost-controlled guy for the bottom pair would be more of a focus for them, I would think.


A positive reaction from you is something of a barometer for me here, so thanks for sharing your perspective!

I would be happy to swap Mesar for Harris or Engstrom.
Jun. 30, 2023 at 11:24 a.m.
#25
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Quoting: jonh514
Well that's just silly. Of course your GM makes a deal if he believes he can sell it and make his team more competitive in the process.

Also, and more importantly, it ruins my fun sir!


Oh if he can make them better ya, this doesn’t really do it. Laf is still developing and leads the team in 5v5 goals and would produce even more if he was on pp1. And he does this at a team friendly cost with 10 years or more to come. Love Anderson as a player and at that rate is great. The package is by far the best I’ve seen on the site to be totally honest. But NYR is building around the big youth pieces for the future while taking chances with the current core. Most people see NYR as a win today team and that’s not the case. It’s a possibility for sure but the youth is the long term plan. Otherwise they would have moved these pieces 1-2 years ago for some really big pieces to win a cup or 3 now.
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