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Flames Make Room for Nylander

Created by: alexrking6
Team: 2023-24 Calgary Flames
Initial Creation Date: Jul. 4, 2023
Published: Jul. 4, 2023
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Jul. 4, 2023 at 8:57 p.m.
#1
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Buffalo needs a goalie that can play 50+ games a season to shelter Levi. Unless the plan is to run back their 3 goalies from last year in which case the trade is still a bad fit. I think there is still a lot of goalie moves to be made still so I think a home can open up for Vladar since he's cheap
Mortarhead liked this.
Jul. 4, 2023 at 8:57 p.m.
#2
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Try again for Nylander
Jul. 4, 2023 at 8:57 p.m.
#3
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Id like to see Vladar in that Willy trade..we would ad an adj as well obviously
Jul. 4, 2023 at 8:59 p.m.
#4
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
Buffalo needs a goalie that can play 50+ games a season to shelter Levi. Unless the plan is to run back their 3 goalies from last year in which case the trade is still a bad fit. I think there is still a lot of goalie moves to be made still so I think a home can open up for Vladar since he's cheap


ima leaf fan..but ive seen so many leafers overvalue willy..to be clear i want to keep him..but if he goes a top 6 (young) fwd and a top 4 d (hitting his prime) is not crazy..what do you want more?
Jul. 4, 2023 at 9:11 p.m.
#5
Harkey is HERE
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Quoting: Boomer125
Try again for Nylander


Because Nylander is apparently the next Patrice Bergeron....NOT! He is one-dimensional and Hanifin and Dube are not...Leafs need 2-way players. Add more on Leafs side to make it work
Jul. 4, 2023 at 9:19 p.m.
#6
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Apparently the Flames owner doesn't want to make a trade with Treliving so Nylander will get traded somewhere else if at all.
Jul. 4, 2023 at 9:36 p.m.
#7
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Quoting: Mortarhead
ima leaf fan..but ive seen so many leafers overvalue willy..to be clear i want to keep him..but if he goes a top 6 (young) fwd and a top 4 d (hitting his prime) is not crazy..what do you want more?


I never even mentioned the Nylander trade in my post...
Jul. 4, 2023 at 9:37 p.m.
#8
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Quoting: KingExLeafs
Apparently the Flames owner doesn't want to make a trade with Treliving so Nylander will get traded somewhere else if at all.


Source?
Jul. 4, 2023 at 10:11 p.m.
#9
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
Source?


I was listening to the Steve Dangle podcast today and Jesse said that he heard it on the latest 32 Thoughts podcast. I could be wrong though. I have a hazy recollection of the conversation. But it would make sense if there is bad blood between Edwards and Treliving considering they didn't allow him to go to the draft table until Calgary picked. Petty stuff. And with a petty owner like that he probably thinks Treliving is going to fleece rookie GM Conroy so best to stay away.
Jul. 4, 2023 at 11:15 p.m.
#10
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Quoting: KingExLeafs
I was listening to the Steve Dangle podcast today and Jesse said that he heard it on the latest 32 Thoughts podcast. I could be wrong though. I have a hazy recollection of the conversation. But it would make sense if there is bad blood between Edwards and Treliving considering they didn't allow him to go to the draft table until Calgary picked. Petty stuff. And with a petty owner like that he probably thinks Treliving is going to fleece rookie GM Conroy so best to stay away.


I listened to the 32T podcast and i dont remember that, albeit im not done the podcast yet and will be finishing it tomorrow while im driving.
Jul. 5, 2023 at 10:27 a.m.
#11
Funksoljah
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Something that kind of confuses me a little. Why do Calgary fans believe Vladar is worth more now than he was when they traded for him? He's 2 years older, he's had below average stats, and he's paid quite a bit for a back-up compared to others around the league. This trade is at least a reasonable ask, but I've seen plenty of ACGM's asking for a 2nd. Has he really been that much better than what the Sabres already have in UPL? Calgary wasn't exactly a bad defensive team under Sutter.
Jul. 5, 2023 at 11:09 a.m.
#12
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Quoting: Funksoljah
Something that kind of confuses me a little. Why do Calgary fans believe Vladar is worth more now than he was when they traded for him? He's 2 years older, he's had below average stats, and he's paid quite a bit for a back-up compared to others around the league. This trade is at least a reasonable ask, but I've seen plenty of ACGM's asking for a 2nd. Has he really been that much better than what the Sabres already have in UPL? Calgary wasn't exactly a bad defensive team under Sutter.


Because only stat watchers think he's a bad goalie, and stat watchers only look at sv%. He's been very solid.

Save percentage is not a perfect stat. It's parabolic on how effective it is. When you face way too many shots per game like Gibson did this year your sv% will look bad since you well can't save everything and the opponent just gets way too many chances. When you don't face enough shots a game because your team prevents all the low quality scoring chances then all you face are medium and high quality chances meaning if you only let in 2 goals a game but only make 20 saves a game your SV% will be .900 at best.

Vladar is a goalie who can absolutely handle 1A/1B minutes and do quite well.
Jul. 5, 2023 at 11:41 a.m.
#13
Funksoljah
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
Because only stat watchers think he's a bad goalie, and stat watchers only look at sv%. He's been very solid.

Save percentage is not a perfect stat. It's parabolic on how effective it is. When you face way too many shots per game like Gibson did this year your sv% will look bad since you well can't save everything and the opponent just gets way too many chances. When you don't face enough shots a game because your team prevents all the low quality scoring chances then all you face are medium and high quality chances meaning if you only let in 2 goals a game but only make 20 saves a game your SV% will be .900 at best.

Vladar is a goalie who can absolutely handle 1A/1B minutes and do quite well.


So when it's Calgary fans judging another teams goalie stat watching is ok, but when it's their own well that's another story. If Vladar was as good as your fans say he is, they'd be trying to find a way to keep him and trade Markstrom. Vladar was markedly worse than Markstrom last season, and they were fairly similar this year. Generally you can find positives from goalies with poor statistics through their advanced metrics. Calgary was one of the stingiest teams in the league in shots against, high danger shots against, medium danger shots against, and even rebound shots against. That's actually an area that Vladar is very good, he does not give up a ton of rebounds. Everywhere else, he was mostly below average. That would not bode well for a Buffalo team that gives up a ton of high danger chances off the rush.
Jul. 5, 2023 at 12:13 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: Funksoljah
So when it's Calgary fans judging another teams goalie stat watching is ok, but when it's their own well that's another story. If Vladar was as good as your fans say he is, they'd be trying to find a way to keep him and trade Markstrom. Vladar was markedly worse than Markstrom last season, and they were fairly similar this year. Generally you can find positives from goalies with poor statistics through their advanced metrics. Calgary was one of the stingiest teams in the league in shots against, high danger shots against, medium danger shots against, and even rebound shots against. That's actually an area that Vladar is very good, he does not give up a ton of rebounds. Everywhere else, he was mostly below average. That would not bode well for a Buffalo team that gives up a ton of high danger chances off the rush.


A few things here.
1. you are grouping all Flames fans together as 1 hive mind, there are a bunch of fans who are complete morons, I'm also not sure which one's you are referring to when "judging other teams goalies on stat watching." I am also more than willing to see someone's POV if they can defend it.
2. The reason Vladar is remotely available is very situational. Markstrom is unmovable with his full NMC unless he asks to go (just like how Krug just refused to waive his clause), Wolf is absolutely NHL ready, and even if Markstrom did waive Wolf still needs a mentor, he's not ready to play 40+ games a season and Vladar isn't ready for 50+ (the exact same reasoning I made for why Vladar is a bad fit for Buffalo above). Not to mention Markstrom has proven to be an excellent mentor.
3. I'm not quite sure you understand the difference between high danger and high quality. Danger is based on how close to the front of the next the shot is taken from, quality is how likely the shot is to go in the net (ie tipped, cross seem pass, etc). Also chances on the rush are by definition low danger chances using War On Ice's model (which is what Natural Stattrick uses).


As for Vladar I can actually defend it that he is a good goalie. It's no different from when I sad Adin Hill was a good goalie back when he played for Arizona. I did a whole write up on Vladar a little while back as seen here
Quote:
Using a base of 1000 minutes played via Natural Stattrick, Vladar faced the 3rd least HD Shots/60, and the least LD Shots/60 in the league. However he faced the 42nd least MD Shots/60. By definition mid danger shots are unblocked shots taken from from anywhere between the 2 dots and high slot, with the exception of the low slot being high danger. AKA the yellow image in the image linked below
War On Ice Danger Chart

There is some variance between Vladar in Markstrom in the amount of mid and high danger shots they faced (Markstrom facing more HD but less MD), but both faced some of the fewest low danger shots in overall (33% and 34% of shots against from low danger areas). This backs up up my previous point of Calgary being one of the top teams in shot suppression as ~40% of shots on net come from the low danger area in general.

Now realistically the best way to truly see how Vladar played is the eye test. Vladar let in 5 goals (never more than 5) 4 times this season, and 4 goals 2 times. Here are the linked highlights and breakdowns of those games Goals Against.
Game 1: Seattle(5) @ Calgary(4) [11/1/22] - GA's were 1 clean shot, 1 on the PK, 1 giveaway on the PP, 2 odd man rushes.
Game 2: Calgary(4) @ Toronto(5) OT [12/10/22] - GA's were 3 on the PK (1 in OT), 1 deflection off a teammate, 1 clean goal.
Game 3: Calgary(3) @ Los Angeles(4) OT [12/22/22] - GA's were 1 deflection, 1 giveaway behind the net, 1 rebound, 1 2v1 in OT. (Worth noting Vladar also had a lot of great saves in this game)
Game 4: Calgary(6) @ Dallas(5) [1/14/23] - GA's were 1 giveaway on the PK, 4 clean goals
Game 5: Detroit(5) @ Calgary(2) [2/16/23] - GA's were 2 clean goal, 2 on the PK,1 defensive breakdown, 1 softy.
Game 6: Calgary(3) @ Vegas(4) OT [2/23/23] - GA's were 1 on the PK, 1 clean goal, 1 giveaway that lead to a goal, 1 3v2 in OT.

I think people should really read this article that came out about him back at the end of January when he nearly stole the starting job from Markstrom. People on here tend to stat watch too much and it really shows in cases like this.
 
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