Quoting: Hockey_Soul
It's also important to understand the context of the playoff losses and how difficult it actually is to advance in the postseason. Those were competitive teams and played some very good series' against the eventual Cup champs.
In 2019 he had to buy hard because he knew he was going to be losing his star player.
It's always going to be difficult to advance in the postseason. With how teams like Carolina, NJ, Toronto, are positioned going forward, and to a lesser extend Detroit, Montreal, and Buffalo, do we really think it's going to get easier? I'm of the opinion that GMs should do their best to push only when they're a top-8-to-10 team in the league, otherwise there's just too much random flukiness and you're better off entering the playoffs with what you have and hoping for some luck. If you're the 8 seed...you sell the star player you know you're going to lose, rather than throwing it all out for one shot. That set the team back at least 3 years.
Quoting: Hockey_Soul
It's also pretty reductionist and unfair to say he "just made the picks that fell in his lap". He acquired picks with savvy moves and made smart decisions by all accounts with those selections. Go back and look at the Howson and Maclean drafts and tell me how just making the pick worked out. Just having a top pick is no guarantee. There is still time for things to play out, but it appears he has selected some very good players.
That's a fair point, I will give him credit for good drafting. Chinakhov recently looks especially good, PL was the right move, etc. But also, picks like Fantilli and Jiricek...those are guys the potato would have picked.
Quoting: Hockey_Soul
The coaching hire thing is debatable. Larsen was very obviously a sacrificial hire during the rebuild. With Babcock they got fooled, no way around it, but I absolutely agree with the track they were on to find an experienced and hard-nosed coach. I don't think Laviolette wanted the job. I would have loved Roy, but maybe he wasn't interested in Columbus either. I'm not sure there were that many, if any, better options than Babcock for this team, but it's really hard to judge with our 10,000 ft. view. JD and Jarmo have been in the game a long time and are extremely well-respected. That doesn't just happen by chance. I have to believe they did their due-diligence and just got fooled by Babcock. It sucks, they have to own that, but it's doesn't mean they're totally inept.
I think the coaching hire(s) are a clear misstep, I'm not giving them credit for that. For Larsen, he literally hired the wrong Brad; Shaw was on staff and the better choice (although not especially great). For example, he and Larsen flip flopped PP and PK duties for at least a year and every time they switched, everything Larsen touched crumbled and everything Shaw touched improved. Babcock had all sorts of red flags and few people would argue he deserved a second shot; that's the guy you don't even give an
interview, it's poor hiring practice more than "getting fooled". The better choice would have been hiring PV from the outset, he was on the candidate list and would have been a better fit. [/quote]
Quoting: Hockey_Soul
Look, I'm not trying to say they absolutely need to stay. I don't think a changeup would be a terrible idea at this point, but I think we need to take a step back and acknowledge that they've done well here and are going through a planned rebuild. I'm sure they thought they would be better this year, but a deeper look at a lot of stats shows that they might not really be that far off. Maybe it's time to cut bait, but they aren't idiots, and they don't suck at their job like so many CBJ fans like to spout. Also, who is brought in as replacement is a total unknown, and I trust Priest a hell of a lot less than JD or Jarmo.
I just don't know that we're going through a planned rebuild at this point. The past few seasons, yes, definitely. But Provorov, Severson, Gaudreau, and Gudbranson aren't deals you make long-term if you think you're going to keep rebuilding this year. I'm glad they didn't trade more futures for additional help yet, because it's not working. FWIW, I also trust Priest a hell of a lot less than JD or Jarmo, and he should go too. But I don't know that that's realistic, he's been here since 2007. Everything FO up to ownership needs to go, IMO. Get a total culture reset.