SalarySwishSalarySwish
Forums/Armchair-GM

to me this is really the only deal that makes any sense

Created by: Borocop
Team: 2024-25 Ottawa Senators
Initial Creation Date: Apr. 12, 2024
Published: Apr. 12, 2024
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
Before you yell at me, this would be a deal way more complicated than just buying a rental, an assortment of pieces that cumulatively add up to a certain point of value won't cut it. It has to make actual sense for both teams to consider doing this.

For the sens, the rationale is that they get a piece they can add to their younger core at a position they have almost nothing at who can play a significant role for them down the line.

For the devils, the rationale is that Tkachuk brings more than enough value to compensate for going from Hamilton-Nemec-Marino to Hamilton-Casey-Marino and opens their cup contending window up as a result.


I dont care about the perceived value of the players, there needs to be logical rationale behind the move for both sides so dont tell me Nemec is more valuable than Thacuk or vice-versa, let me know if my rationale makes sense or not as to why both sides would or would not do this based on that.
Trades
OTT
  1. Nemec, Simon
Additional Details:
straight-up
Buyouts
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2024
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the BOS
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the DET
Logo of the FLA
Logo of the TBL
Logo of the OTT
2025
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the FLA
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
2026
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
Logo of the OTT
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
16$87,500,000$67,513,333$850,000$3,250,000$19,986,667
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$8,350,000$8,350,000
C
UFA - 7
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$6,500,000$6,500,000
RW, C
NMC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$2,950,000$2,950,000
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$7,950,000$7,950,000
C
UFA - 6
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$4,975,000$4,975,000
RW, LW
UFA - 3
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$863,333$863,333
C, LW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$835,000$835,000
C, RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$775,000$775,000
RW, C
UFA - 2
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$8,000,000$8,000,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$4,600,000$4,600,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$4,000,000$4,000,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$8,050,000$8,050,000
LD
UFA - 8
Logo of the New Jersey Devils
$918,333$918,333 (Performance Bonus$3,250,000$3M)
RD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$2,750,000$2,750,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$4,600,000$4,600,000
LD/RD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Ottawa Senators
$805,000$805,000
RD
RFA - 1

Embed Code

  • To display this team on another website or blog, add this iFrame to the appropriate page
  • Customize the height attribute in the iFrame code below to fit your website appropriately. Minimum recommended: 400px.

Text-Embed

Click to Highlight
Apr. 12 at 4:16 p.m.
#26
I Love J Boqvist
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jan. 2023
Posts: 12,553
Likes: 3,346
Quoting: csick
Not at all. But you cannot ignore this year . If you don’t consider it you’re dumb


I agree.

The struggles from this year are the only reason Marino and Mercer are even available.

In terms of my valuation of assets.

Jack>>>Nemec>Nico>Luke=Bratt=Tkachuk>>Mercer>Meier>Hamilton=2024 1st>Marino>Holtz>Casey>Siegenthaler>2025 1st>2026 1st.

I'm sure you value them very differently.

I would give up NJDs next 3 1sts for Tkachuk happily. You can use them to buy whatever assets you like, they are simply a show of value. It could even be done in a 3 team trade if you want.

You don't want picks, but also seem to undervalue every NJD asset.

In your eyes Marino, Casey, Mercer, Holtz are secondary pieces. In reality they are pieces NJD would hate to let go.

I believe Brady Tkachuk is worth a high 1st+2 other 1sts of value. (or about 4 later 1sts of value). That is a massive valuation.

I also don't particularly believe Tkachuk should be a target in NJD unless Meier heads the other way as the centerpiece, the same way I don't believe a Quinn Hughes trade makes sense without Hamilton involved.

I apologize for any rudeness on my part at all.

This is generally why I prefer to operate using picks as proxies for value. There is no bias on either side when it comes to picks.
Apr. 12 at 4:18 p.m.
#27
KFTW
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jul. 2018
Posts: 43,886
Likes: 24,586
Quoting: dgibb10
I agree.

The struggles from this year are the only reason Marino and Mercer are even available.

In terms of my valuation of assets.

Jack>>>Nemec>Nico>Luke=Bratt=Tkachuk>>Mercer>Meier>Hamilton=2024 1st>Marino>Holtz>Casey>Siegenthaler>2025 1st>2026 1st.

I'm sure you value them very differently.

I would give up NJDs next 3 1sts for Tkachuk happily. You can use them to buy whatever assets you like, they are simply a show of value. It could even be done in a 3 team trade if you want.

You don't want picks, but also seem to undervalue every NJD asset.

In your eyes Marino, Casey, Mercer, Holtz are secondary pieces. In reality they are pieces NJD would hate to let go.

I believe Brady Tkachuk is worth a high 1st+2 other 1sts of value. (or about 4 later 1sts of value). That is a massive valuation.

I also don't particularly believe Tkachuk should be a target in NJD unless Meier heads the other way as the centerpiece, the same way I don't believe a Quinn Hughes trade makes sense without Hamilton involved.

I apologize for any rudeness on my part at all.

This is generally why I prefer to operate using picks as proxies for value. There is no bias on either side when it comes to picks.


Nico’s defence fell of this year .

All the players you wanna get rid off are risky and none of them have a strong chance of being top pair or top pair. Mercer is way more likely a 2nd liner
Apr. 12 at 4:20 p.m.
#28
KFTW
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jul. 2018
Posts: 43,886
Likes: 24,586
Quoting: dgibb10
I agree.

The struggles from this year are the only reason Marino and Mercer are even available.

In terms of my valuation of assets.

Jack>>>Nemec>Nico>Luke=Bratt=Tkachuk>>Mercer>Meier>Hamilton=2024 1st>Marino>Holtz>Casey>Siegenthaler>2025 1st>2026 1st.

I'm sure you value them very differently.

I would give up NJDs next 3 1sts for Tkachuk happily. You can use them to buy whatever assets you like, they are simply a show of value. It could even be done in a 3 team trade if you want.

You don't want picks, but also seem to undervalue every NJD asset.

In your eyes Marino, Casey, Mercer, Holtz are secondary pieces. In reality they are pieces NJD would hate to let go.

I believe Brady Tkachuk is worth a high 1st+2 other 1sts of value. (or about 4 later 1sts of value). That is a massive valuation.

I also don't particularly believe Tkachuk should be a target in NJD unless Meier heads the other way as the centerpiece, the same way I don't believe a Quinn Hughes trade makes sense without Hamilton involved.

I apologize for any rudeness on my part at all.

This is generally why I prefer to operate using picks as proxies for value. There is no bias on either side when it comes to picks.


Which is why I think a centerpiece of a 5th overall pick this year + other assets makes way more sense .

Sens can draft Parekh, Iginla, Lindstrom or Catton as well as another great player with their pick
dgibb10 liked this.
Apr. 12 at 4:26 p.m.
#29
I Love J Boqvist
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jan. 2023
Posts: 12,553
Likes: 3,346
Quoting: csick
Which is why I think a centerpiece of a 5th overall pick this year + other assets makes way more sense .

Sens can draft Parekh, Iginla, Lindstrom or Catton as well as another great player with their pick


I'd certainly agree with that. If NJD for example traded up to 1st overall and offered 5th overall + one of Casey/Holtz/Marino/Siegs/Gritysuk/Future 1st, I assume that would be more appealing?
Apr. 12 at 4:27 p.m.
#30
KFTW
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jul. 2018
Posts: 43,886
Likes: 24,586
Quoting: dgibb10
I'd certainly agree with that. If NJD for example traded up to 1st overall and offered 5th overall + one of Casey/Holtz/Marino/Siegs/Gritysuk/Future 1st, I assume that would be more appealing?


100% more appealing for sure.

Anything that gets us a top pair Rd and top liner with our first 2 picks works
Apr. 12 at 4:31 p.m.
#31
I Love J Boqvist
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jan. 2023
Posts: 12,553
Likes: 3,346
Quoting: csick
100% more appealing for sure


Glad to hear we could come to an understanding.

Basically you wanted a centerpiece of a certain quality/type

NJDs assets as it stands just didn't make it fit well.

The high tier assets NJD has are imo too valuable to be a part of a package. Jack, Nemec, Bratt, Nico,Luke.

But the 2nd tier of assets is a level below.

Mercer, our 1st, Hamilton, Meier, fall below the quality/fit to be a centerpiece for you of a value of around 5th overall.


The most ridiculous one I'd offer is Timo Meier (1 mill retained) for Tkachuk.

7 years of Meier at 7.8 vs 4 years of Tkachuk at 8.2.
csick liked this.
Apr. 12 at 4:38 p.m.
#32
KFTW
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jul. 2018
Posts: 43,886
Likes: 24,586
Quoting: dgibb10
Glad to hear we could come to an understanding.

Basically you wanted a centerpiece of a certain quality/type

NJDs assets as it stands just didn't make it fit well.

The high tier assets NJD has are imo too valuable to be a part of a package. Jack, Nemec, Bratt, Nico,Luke.

But the 2nd tier of assets is a level below.

Mercer, our 1st, Hamilton, Meier, fall below the quality/fit to be a centerpiece for you of a value of around 5th overall.


The most ridiculous one I'd offer is Timo Meier (1 mill retained) for Tkachuk.

7 years of Meier at 7.8 vs 4 years of Tkachuk at 8.2.


I just think if the Sens move Brady they’re gonna want to delay the window by another 2-3 years . So Meier from ages 30 and on is not that appealing .

I’d be looking for pieces aged 17-22
dgibb10 liked this.
Apr. 12 at 4:38 p.m.
#33
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 41,222
Likes: 18,744
Quoting: csick
I just looked at all the analytics from this season.

Mercer = okay to very meh
Holtz = Goddamn awful everywhere my god the next Wahlstrom
Marino = very meh

Tkachuk has better analytics than Hischier at both ends this year . It’s not massive but Tkachuk beats him slightly at both ends


Which analytics?
Holtz was a lot better than Wahlstrom this year.
Production numbers are probably more similar to Mathieu Joseph statistically.


G/60
Holtz 1.11
Wally 0.19
Joseph 0.51

Pts/60
Holtz 1.93
Wally 0.77
Joseph 1.98

CF%
Holtz 47.8
Wally 40.7
Joseph 48.5

GF%
Holtz 48.5
Wally 38.5
Joseph 45.7

xGF%
Holtz 47.5
Wally 41.7
Joseph 46.8

GF/60
Holtz 2.37
Wally 1.92
Joseph 2.68

GA/60
Holtz 2.52
Wally 3.07
Joseph 3.19
Apr. 12 at 4:41 p.m.
#34
I Love J Boqvist
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jan. 2023
Posts: 12,553
Likes: 3,346
Edited Apr. 12 at 4:46 p.m.
Quoting: csick
I just think if the Sens move Brady they’re gonna want to delay the window by another 2-3 years . So Meier from ages 30 and on is not that appealing .

I’d be looking for pieces aged 17-22


Yeah I'd agree. Tough to find a perfect fit. If the sens front office doesn't like marino that throws a wrench in it but frankly in my opinion he'd be a perfect fit in Ottawa as a secondary piece. (and if you've seen my other comments in various places am generally VEHEMENTLY opposed to moving marino)

My offer would be 5th overall+Marino to you, and from us, our 1st+ whatever picks it costs to move up+marino.
Apr. 12 at 4:56 p.m.
#35
mokumboi
Avatar of the user
Joined: Apr. 2019
Posts: 29,632
Likes: 11,467
Quoting: csick


Like for example if they have to move him and he refuses to report then maybe you’re like I’ll take Kyrou and a 2nd .


Ehh... Brady is not worth more than Kyrou, sorry. Even if you think he's a better player (he's not, just a different type of player), Brady's contract is two years shorter and back-loaded, while Kyrou's contract is front loaded.
Apr. 12 at 5:02 p.m.
#36
KFTW
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jul. 2018
Posts: 43,886
Likes: 24,586
Quoting: mokumboi
Ehh... Brady is not worth more than Kyrou, sorry. Even if you think he's a better player (he's not, just a different type of player), Brady's contract is two years shorter and back-loaded, while Kyrou's contract is front loaded.


There’s a lot more Kyrou in the league than Brady’s which makes Brady more valuable .
Apr. 12 at 5:05 p.m.
#37
mokumboi
Avatar of the user
Joined: Apr. 2019
Posts: 29,632
Likes: 11,467
Quoting: csick
There’s a lot more Kyrou in the league than Brady’s which makes Brady more valuable .


Heh.

3771c4fbbc6fd3a3f27a30c46dacc41a.gif
 
Reply
To create a post please Login or Register
Question:
Options:
Add Option
Submit Poll