SalarySwishSalarySwish
Forums/Armchair-GM

Dubois Trade Instead of Buyout

Created by: Shanesaw9
Team: 2024-25 Montreal Canadiens
Initial Creation Date: May 4, 2024
Published: May 4, 2024
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
There is lots of speculation right now that LA may cut ties with Dubois via a buyout before he turns 26 in which case the buyout would only cost 1/3 instead of 2/3. This might be LA's only opportunity to get out of this contract.

If LA is seriously considering this I propose another solution: Trade Dubois at 1/3 retained and save yourself ~$8M of dead cap space (mostly over the last 7 years of the 14 year buyout penalty). I think MTL would take the chance on Dubois at 2/3. They would likely want to adding Price's LTIR contract to this deal to offset the signing bonus and to get out of bonus overages from their ELC players (something LA wouldn't really have to deal with).

Alternatively, MTL could wait to see if LA actually buys him out and they could just sign him to a one year "prove it" deal... but personally I'd bet on Dubois living up to $5.667M × 7 years. That could be a steal in 3-4 years for MTL.

Thoughts?

The lineup below is not a final roster just projected after this trade.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
2$1,500,000
2$1,500,000
Trades
MTL
  1. Dubois, Pierre-Luc ($2,833,333 retained)
Retained Salary Transactions
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2024
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the WPG
Logo of the COL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MIN
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the SJS
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the WSH
2025
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the CGY
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the PIT
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the NJD
Logo of the VAN
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the DET
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
2026
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
Logo of the MTL
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$87,700,000$76,752,917$1,022,500$4,670,000$10,947,083
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$7,850,000$7,850,000
LW, RW
UFA - 7
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$7,875,000$7,875,000
C
UFA - 6
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$950,000$950,000 (Performance Bonus$3,500,000$4M)
RW, LW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$2,900,000$2,900,000
C, LW
RFA - 3
Logo of the Los Angeles Kings
$5,666,667$5,666,667
C
NMC
UFA - 7
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,362,500$3,362,500
C, RW
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$6,500,000$6,500,000
RW, LW
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,700,000$1,700,000
C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,400,000$3,400,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,100,000$1,100,000
LW, RW
RFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$4,450,000$4,450,000
C
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$5,500,000$5,500,000
RW, LW
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$812,500$812,500
LW, RW
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$4,875,000$4,875,000
LD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$863,333$863,333 (Performance Bonus$420,000$420K)
LD/RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,150,000$3,150,000
G
UFA - 3
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,500,000$1,500,000
LD/RD
RFA
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$3,500,000$3,500,000
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$890,000$890,000
G
RFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$950,000$950,000 (Performance Bonus$750,000$750K)
LD
RFA - 2
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$766,667$766,667
RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,400,000$1,400,000
LD/RD
RFA - 1
Logo of the Montreal Canadiens
$1,500,000$1,500,000
RD
RFA

Embed Code

  • To display this team on another website or blog, add this iFrame to the appropriate page
  • Customize the height attribute in the iFrame code below to fit your website appropriately. Minimum recommended: 400px.

Text-Embed

Click to Highlight
May 4 at 11:25 a.m.
#1
Prime Primeau
Avatar of the user
Joined: Apr. 2023
Posts: 5,576
Likes: 2,209
No way habs take that much money for a mid third liner
RibsFor25 and Caufield liked this.
May 4 at 11:32 a.m.
#2
Avatar of the user
Joined: Nov. 2018
Posts: 15,683
Likes: 6,522
I dont think the Habs are interested in moving Price's contract, especially if they make a trade like this. If they make a play for PLD it is because they plan on making a playoff push next year or the year after and the ability to exceed the cap by 10.5 mil will make that much easier. I think if they do make a push for PLD it will require Dvorak going the other way for cap purposes and a few smaller peices like maybe Primeau + Harris + 2nd (IDK if retention would be added or not but even if its not at that price its not really an issue if PLD bounces back to his early Columbus form)
May 4 at 11:33 a.m.
#3
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2021
Posts: 1,065
Likes: 274
I'm not a Kings fan at all, but suspect they aren't moving PLD. He's only 25 and will settle in.
May 4 at 11:34 a.m.
#4
Thread Starter
Habs 2010
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2020
Posts: 1,588
Likes: 997
Quoting: GuyGuyGuy
No way habs take that much money for a mid third liner


So a guy that has averaged 54 pts / season in his career and positive xGF% in top 6 roles is a mid third liner now?

We habs fans are insufferable sometimes.

Edit: and you do realize that the contract will only getter better with age as the cap increases right? 7 year term is a bonus.
May 4 at 11:36 a.m.
#5
Thread Starter
Habs 2010
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2020
Posts: 1,588
Likes: 997
Quoting: Campabee
I dont think the Habs are interested in moving Price's contract, especially if they make a trade like this. If they make a play for PLD it is because they plan on making a playoff push next year or the year after and the ability to exceed the cap by 10.5 mil will make that much easier. I think if they do make a push for PLD it will require Dvorak going the other way for cap purposes and a few smaller peices like maybe Primeau + Harris + 2nd (IDK if retention would be added or not but even if its not at that price its not really an issue if PLD bounces back to his early Columbus form)


Dude this is just wrong. Price's contract is a burden not a bonus. You need to research LTIR...
May 4 at 11:42 a.m.
#6
Avatar of the user
Joined: Nov. 2018
Posts: 15,683
Likes: 6,522
Quoting: Shanesaw9
Dude this is just wrong. Price's contract is a burden not a bonus. You need to research LTIR...


You are only looking at the negatives, how many cup champs over the past 5 years have been over the cap limit by way of LTIR contracts? 3 of the last 5 for sure, I just dont remember if the Avs or Blues were over or not.
May 4 at 11:53 a.m.
#7
Prime Primeau
Avatar of the user
Joined: Apr. 2023
Posts: 5,576
Likes: 2,209
Quoting: Shanesaw9
So a guy that has averaged 54 pts / season in his career and positive xGF% in top 6 roles is a mid third liner now?

We habs fans are insufferable sometimes.

Edit: and you do realize that the contract will only getter better with age as the cap increases right? 7 year term is a bonus.


He average 55 pts playing with Ehlers, Connor and Scheiffle. When he got to a team with less offensive talent, he scored 30 pts. He is a mid third liner and that is very generous
May 4 at 11:55 a.m.
#8
Thread Starter
Habs 2010
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2020
Posts: 1,588
Likes: 997
Edited May 4 at 12:17 p.m.
Quoting: Campabee
You are only looking at the negatives, how many cup champs over the past 5 years have been over the cap limit by way of LTIR contracts? 3 of the last 5 for sure, I just dont remember if the Avs or Blues were over or not.


There are no positives, the purpose of LTIR is allow teams to temporarily exceed the cap (by adding the cap hit to salary cap) to give them injury relief.

A team that is in LTIR:
- Cannot accumulate any cap space over the course of the season (makes it harder to make trades at the deadline).
- Is penalized on next years cap due to bonus overages. Notice how MTL was penalized $1M this year. This will only get worse with as MTL adds more ELC's and they improve. The roster above has $4.6M in potential bonuses, if they still have Price that is $4.6M in potential cap penalties for 2025-26.

There is clear difference between someone like Price (who will never play again) being on LTIR compared to someone like Stone or Kucherov who is magically healthy for game 1 of the playoffs. That is how contenders are using it to their advantage, by activating them once the playoffs start. That isn't a factor with Price. The other way LTIR is used is to dump contracts... examples:

- TB trades Johnson for Seabrook to dump Johnson's cap hit and put Seabrook on LTIR.
- VGK trades Dadanov for Weber to dump Dadanov's cap hit and put Weber on LTIR.

It isn't advantageous for them to acquire Seabrook or Weber for LTIR, but it is a better alternative for them to dump Johnson and Dadanov. As they are contenders they will already be spending to the cap anyways so bonus and accumulating cap space are irrelevant, they would have the same penalties anyways.

There is no advantage to Price's contract whatsoever. It 100% hurts MTL and there is absolutely no benefit of it.
May 4 at 11:58 a.m.
#9
Thread Starter
Habs 2010
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2020
Posts: 1,588
Likes: 997
Quoting: GuyGuyGuy
He average 55 pts playing with Ehlers, Connor and Scheiffle. When he got to a team with less offensive talent, he scored 30 pts. He is a mid third liner and that is very generous


No he didn't, he just finished a career year with WPG of 63 pts in 73 games... a pace of 70 pts literally just a year ago. He averaged 60 pts / 82 games throughout his time with WPG. Not bad for a mid third liner eh
May 4 at 12:14 p.m.
#10
Avatar of the user
Joined: Feb. 2024
Posts: 508
Likes: 220
To think the Kings would buy out a guy they just signed long term after 1 season is ABSURD. Same goes for trading him with 7 years of retention, simply ABSURD.
May 4 at 12:15 p.m.
#11
Avatar of the user
Joined: Nov. 2018
Posts: 15,683
Likes: 6,522
Quoting: Shanesaw9
There are no positives, the purpose of LTIR is allow teams to temporarily exceed the cap (by adding the cap hit to salary cap) to give them injury relief.

A team that is in LTIR:
- Cannot accumulate any cap space over the course of the season (makes it harder to make trades at the deadline).
- Is penalized on next years cap due to bonus overages. Notice how MTL was penalized $1M this year. This will only get worse with as MTL adds more ELC's and they improve. The roster above has $4.6M in potential bonuses, if they still have Price that is $4.6M in potential cap penalties for 2025-26.

There is clear difference between someone like Price (who will never play again) being on LTIR compared to someone like Stone or Kucherov who is magically healthy for game 1 of the playoffs. That is how contenders are using it to their advantage, by activating them once the playoffs start. That isn't a factor with Price. The other way LTIR is used is to dump contracts... examples:

- TB trades Johnson for Seabrook to dump Johnson's cap hit and put Seabrook on LTIR.
- VGK trades Dadanov for Weber to dump Dadanov's cap hit and put Weber on LTIR.

It isn't advantageous for them to acquire Seabrook or Weber for LTIR... it is advantageous for them to dump Johnson and Dadanov.

There is no advantage to Price's contract whatsoever. It 100% hurts MTL and there is absolutely no benefit of it.


1. Price never ruled out playing post season games, his exact words were his body can't take the rigors of a full NHL season, I am pretty sure the competitor in him will try to play if the Habs make the post season and he is still part of the team.

2. The Sanley Cup is the only positive a team needs to use LTIR to their advantage, if not then they probalby should go find another sports team to manage
May 4 at 12:18 p.m.
#12
Thread Starter
Habs 2010
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2020
Posts: 1,588
Likes: 997
Quoting: Campabee
1. Price never ruled out playing post season games, his exact words were his body can't take the rigors of a full NHL season, I am pretty sure the competitor in him will try to play if the Habs make the post season and he is still part of the team.

2. The Sanley Cup is the only positive a team needs to use LTIR to their advantage, if not then they probalby should go find another sports team to manage


I would be shocked if Carey Price came back to play in the playoffs with Montreal when he hasn't practiced or skated with the team in 3 years. He's done man, stop being obtuse.
May 4 at 12:21 p.m.
#13
Thread Starter
Habs 2010
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2020
Posts: 1,588
Likes: 997
Quoting: Cornbreadnhl
To think the Kings would buy out a guy they just signed long term after 1 season is ABSURD. Same goes for trading him with 7 years of retention, simply ABSURD.


They have a big decision to make before Dubois turns 26 on June 24th. If he isn't bought out before then we know LA is stuck with him for better or worse.

The sunk cost fallacy is our tendency to continue with something we've invested money, effort, or time into—even if the current costs outweigh the benefits.
May 4 at 12:34 p.m.
#14
Avatar of the user
Joined: Feb. 2024
Posts: 508
Likes: 220
Quoting: Shanesaw9
They have a big decision to make before Dubois turns 26 on June 24th. If he isn't bought out before then we know LA is stuck with him for better or worse.

The sunk cost fallacy is our tendency to continue with something we've invested money, effort, or time into—even if the current costs outweigh the benefits.


Don't you think a team may consider that it's his first year with a new team and he had an off year? Or was his play for the Jets an illusion? No GM on earth is going to retain 7 years on a young talented player after 1 year. I know the Habs wanted him before we went to LA, but this trade idea is fantasy.
May 4 at 12:53 p.m.
#15
Avatar of the user
Joined: Nov. 2018
Posts: 15,683
Likes: 6,522
Quoting: Shanesaw9
I would be shocked if Carey Price came back to play in the playoffs with Montreal when he hasn't practiced or skated with the team in 3 years. He's done man, stop being obtuse.


I am not being obtuse, I am just saying that in Carey's own words he has always maintained that at some point he may be able to return in some capacity. Does that mean he will, no but it also doesn’t mean he won't try, especially if the team is in a position to make another serious run at a cup before his contract runs out or he officially retires (whichever comes first).

Also do you seriously think that a 1 mil cap overage penalty is that much of a hindrance to the thrid richest team in the league who made over 265 million in last season and has a net value of 2.3 billion? Thats like a $1.50 and a Slim Jim to them!
May 4 at 2:50 p.m.
#16
Prime Primeau
Avatar of the user
Joined: Apr. 2023
Posts: 5,576
Likes: 2,209
Quoting: Shanesaw9
No he didn't, he just finished a career year with WPG of 63 pts in 73 games... a pace of 70 pts literally just a year ago. He averaged 60 pts / 82 games throughout his time with WPG. Not bad for a mid third liner eh

Playing with Connor and Ehlers, wich proves my point. Without good linemates, he is awful and not even worth 4m
May 4 at 5:02 p.m.
#17
Thread Starter
Habs 2010
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2020
Posts: 1,588
Likes: 997
Quoting: Campabee
I am not being obtuse, I am just saying that in Carey's own words he has always maintained that at some point he may be able to return in some capacity. Does that mean he will, no but it also doesn’t mean he won't try, especially if the team is in a position to make another serious run at a cup before his contract runs out or he officially retires (whichever comes first).

Also do you seriously think that a 1 mil cap overage penalty is that much of a hindrance to the thrid richest team in the league who made over 265 million in last season and has a net value of 2.3 billion? Thats like a $1.50 and a Slim Jim to them!


Nothing to do with cost, everything to do with cap hit. In 1 or 2 years when this team might be competitive they will want to maximize there cap. Not be penalized for bonus overages.

Price is not playing again, arguing that is pointless
May 4 at 5:17 p.m.
#18
Avatar of the user
Joined: Nov. 2018
Posts: 15,683
Likes: 6,522
Quoting: Shanesaw9
Nothing to do with cost, everything to do with cap hit. In 1 or 2 years when this team might be competitive they will want to maximize there cap. Not be penalized for bonus overages.

Price is not playing again, arguing that is pointless


In 2 years time (2025-26) Price's contract ends, so again not a hindrance
May 4 at 6:40 p.m.
#19
I Love J Boqvist
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jan. 2023
Posts: 12,643
Likes: 3,370
Quoting: Campabee
I dont think the Habs are interested in moving Price's contract, especially if they make a trade like this. If they make a play for PLD it is because they plan on making a playoff push next year or the year after and the ability to exceed the cap by 10.5 mil will make that much easier. I think if they do make a push for PLD it will require Dvorak going the other way for cap purposes and a few smaller peices like maybe Primeau + Harris + 2nd (IDK if retention would be added or not but even if its not at that price its not really an issue if PLD bounces back to his early Columbus form)


That's not how LTIR works.
May 4 at 6:42 p.m.
#20
I Love J Boqvist
Avatar of the user
Joined: Jan. 2023
Posts: 12,643
Likes: 3,370
I'd think if PLD was available sub 6 million a team like boston would be willing to pay for him.

Hertl comp would be in play at that point
May 5 at 1:50 a.m.
#21
Thread Starter
Habs 2010
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2020
Posts: 1,588
Likes: 997
Quoting: Campabee
In 2 years time (2025-26) Price's contract ends, so again not a hindrance


Wrong again, as the bonus overages are a penalty in the following season... you're still being obtuse just for the sake of it. Just admit it would be favorable to trade that contract.
May 5 at 6:25 a.m.
#22
Avatar of the user
Joined: Nov. 2018
Posts: 15,683
Likes: 6,522
Quoting: Shanesaw9
Wrong again, as the bonus overages are a penalty in the following season... you're still being obtuse just for the sake of it. Just admit it would be favorable to trade that contract.


I know when overage penalties are applied, I said the contract ends in 2 years and as we already determined a 1 mil overage penalty isn’t a hindrance for the 3rd most valuable franchise in the league. There is more than one way to look at LTIR contracts (as with everything else in the world) I choose to focus on the positives, you can focus on the negatives if you like but that is a dark way to live my friends
May 5 at 10:26 a.m.
#23
Thread Starter
Habs 2010
Avatar of the user
Joined: May 2020
Posts: 1,588
Likes: 997
Edited May 5 at 10:32 a.m.
Quoting: Campabee
I know when overage penalties are applied, I said the contract ends in 2 years and as we already determined a 1 mil overage penalty isn’t a hindrance for the 3rd most valuable franchise in the league. There is more than one way to look at LTIR contracts (as with everything else in the world) I choose to focus on the positives, you can focus on the negatives if you like but that is a dark way to live my friends


Again, what positives? The only positive you've listed is you somehow believe if MTL makes the playoffs that Price is going to return when he hasn't played for 3 years now...

The other misinformed positive you listed was that it allows MTL to exceed the cap by $10.5M... let's do the math on that one... if you can exceed the cap by $10.5M and Price's cap hit is $10.5M, there's no benefit at all to that now is there?

You still refuse to acknowledge that a $1M bonus overage is a hindrance this year (even though it is a small hindrance). The fact that in 2025-26 MTL is facing up to $4.6M in bonus overages is lost on you, and then you literally said that it doesn't matter in 2 years because again you aren't keeping up to the fact that bonus overages penalties are applied the following season...

The funniest thing is you literally posted a Dubois trade a few days ago where you took Dubois at full cap hit! $8.5M × 7 and you traded actual assets for him in Newhook and a 2nd round pick.

https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/829111?post_id=4866409

Now a few days later I make a post getting Dubois for free at $5.667M × 7 years while dumping Price and getting out of LTIR and you're trying to argue MTL would rather keep Price. At this point you have to be trolling... if you haven't got it yet you never will.

Edit: Actually even on this post you claimed it would be better for MTL to trade Dvorak, Primeau, and a 2nd round pick than to trade Price's LTIR contract! The fact that you still haven't changed your stance when I've tried going through lengths to help you understand LTIR says it all. You're either lost or trolling.
May 5 at 10:44 a.m.
#24
Avatar of the user
Joined: Oct. 2019
Posts: 3,175
Likes: 2,343
I doubt Robitaille and Blake are going to admit failure after one year of Dubois, as NHL execs have alot of pride (even it hurts them). However, if ownership thinks Dubois is a bust then Blake is fired before his 1pm Monday press conference.
Shanesaw9 liked this.
 
Reply
To create a post please Login or Register
Question:
Options:
Add Option
Submit Poll