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Ryan Miller Is God
Member Since
Feb 18, 2019
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Buffalo Sabres
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Jun 8, 1995
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126
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10
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 20 at 4:03
Thread: Ristolainen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LGBstl</b></div><div>Buffalo needs to add... a lot but the premise of the trade is not that bad.

Maybe Risto + high end prospect + 1st or 2nd
or
Risto + a solid winger like Reinhart</div></div>

I agree with a lot of that, Buffalo fans come in way too low for an Ehlers trade involving Risto.

However, I think you're really undervaluing Reinhart. Put up 65 points and will easily be in the 75-80 range once the team as a whole starts to get better. That's basically Ehlers' level, if not better because Reinhart's production has only been increasing, whereas Ehlers took a big step back last season.

I think Ristolainen + Tage + 2021 2nd + 2020 3rd (deep draft) gets it done. Is it a perfect trade? Of course not. But Ehlers has some question marks after not producing much last season. Risto is easily a bigger question mark.

In this trade, Buffalo is adding <em>at least</em> a second line winger who <em>may</em> regain form as a first line winger. Nobody is 100% sure.

Winnipeg is adding a defenseman who <em>could</em> be an excellent physical, tenacious foil to Morrissey's quick, cerebral play style. That pairing could easily put up 90 points combined. Or he could be a bust, that's very true, there's a large swing in just what Winnipeg might get. Risto needs a partner who can make exit passes after he pressures and removes the possession in the defensive zone. That's his huge weakness, as he will get stuck in his own zone via bad exit attempts, get tired, and inevitably the goals will come. To offset that risk, they get a premier shooting prospect with some serious size--he needs to bulk up a bit and learn to read the game faster, along with a third round pick in a seriously deep draft and another third.

Not perfect, there will always be nitpicks, but this solves holes in the roster for both teams while providing something close to equal value.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 15 at 5:08
Thread: Trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Heiskanen4Vezina</b></div><div>Stars aren't trading Faksa AND Gurianov. Gurianov isn't a "B Prospect" either.

If you're looking for a B-Level prospect, you're going to be looking at forwards like Oskar Back, Riley Damiani, and Adam Mascherin. Gurianov is currently ranked as the Stars 4th best prospect, and really he's the only prospect in their prospect pool that will likely make an impact THIS season. With the Stars still having some questions about who will be play LW in their top-6 (behind Benn), they can't afford to lose a guy that could not only slot into the top-6 this season, but could be a top-6 winger for years in this league.

Personally, I wouldn't trade for Ristolainen. He is vastly overrated, and I would rather keep our players/prospects &amp; pair Stephen Johns with him than overpay in a trade for Ristolainen.</div></div>

Yeah fair enough. All I've heard about Gurianov is that he's risky and still not a lock to be a productive NHL'er, so it's good to hear to input from someone who watches regularly. Ristolainen is certainly a divisive figure so it's gonna have to line up really well for a team to trade "fairly" for him. His valuation is just all over the place (and both sides have good reasons). Cheers!
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 14 at 5:33
Thread: When Botterill lets us down
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>We haven't made the playoffs since 2011, have finished last 3 of the past 6 seasons and have drafted in the top 8 in every draft since and including 2013. And just traded the conn smythe winner for nothing

Yea, real spoiled</div></div>

Cool so Regier and Murray own six of those eight playoff-less seasons. Murray blew most of those draft picks or moved them away for little (besides Reinhart). Botts' first round picks have been Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Cozens, and Johnson. Most of those we don't have time on to judge yet, but Mitts is looking like <em>at least</em> a NHL'er which is better than 90% of the drafting we've done since ****ing 1998 (it really is, Regier was the absolute worst drafter).

The ROR trade appears like a blunder on paper, but there's so many question marks around it. Why did we push so hard to avoid paying his signing bonus on July 1st (pushes down his value), the Pegula's wouldn't care about not writing that check if they weren't personally involved. This doesn't add up either with how good the rest of Botts' trades have been. Skinner for peanuts. Jokiharju for peanuts. Montour for a low first+Guhle is good value. Got Sheary for almost as little as ****ing Erne (35pt player vs 20pt). Managed to get something for EK when it was clear we weren't going to give him another contract. The only trades that have been a wash so far are Scandella, Beaulieu, and Wilson.

We don't have a Fenton mortgaging our team to "win now". We don't have a Jim Benning who builds teams for an ancient, old style of play that doesn't work anymore. We have a GM that can draft, can trade, and is try to build a modern, skilled side. Climbing out of the ****-hole we were in because of that last two GMs is/was going to be an incredibly painful process and it's ignorant to think we could just turn it all around in two seasons.

Botts has the appearance of a top-10, top-5 GM but nobody in Buffalo wants to accept that building a legitimate team in the cap-era takes seasons of quality rebuilding. Not whatever garbage Murray and Regier tried to pull.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 14 at 4:16
Thread: People suggesting Risto to ANA
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AFOX10900</b></div><div>A. ANA wouldn't go for that, Sprong is a goal scorer, ANA needs goal scorers, they were 31st in GF last year, aside from the obvious two in Kase and Rakell, Sprong and Silf are probably the next two least likely to get traded, then you're adding debatably their best d prospect who's also NHL ready, and a second that if they're as bad as people think will be in the early 30's of a very stacked draft, for a #4 d man... No, and B ANA DOESN'T NEED RISTO, THEY WERE A BOTTOM FIVE TEAM DEFENSIVELY LAST YEAR, THEY NEED A DFD AT 2RD, NOT A RW FAKING AS A D MAN THERE, STOP SENDING HIM TO ANA, IT DOESN'T FIX THEIR ISSUE, IT JUST MAKES IT WORSE</div></div>

Hey man, I see a bunch of Anaheim AGMs taking him. Caps don't help your argument.

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Skyraider112</b></div><div>Either add and try and get Rakell or don't bother trading with Anaheim</div></div>

I don't think Rakell is possible at all. I do see an avenue for trade if Anaheim is willing to give up Lundstrom or Comtois (i.e. not their sure-fire top-6 prospects, Terry and Steel). I think either would be good adds if we're willing to take on the risk of moving for prospects that could play in the NHL by the end of the season. Anaheim is completely bereft of RHD talent in their pipeline.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 8 at 5:06
Thread: More Realistic Risto Trade NO WPG TB ANA
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sabres89</b></div><div>Im actually starting to think hes just staying. Its fair to say botterill expected to move him, i mean he acquired 3 nhl rhd in like 3 months, but theres no way he can sell this low, watch him go to a team with a #1 d, a coach, and a system, and turn into a vital piece on a winner. Botterill will not only be fired but he may never get a front office job again.</div></div>

I can see this and I'd be okay with this. I made this trade just as putting a price to his valuation this summer. The amount of Rakell/Cirelli trades I saw were just too much.

I think that the best course of action is to play him this season, and assess at the deadline. If he turns out to be thriving in a lesser role, I think we keep him around. If he doesn't, or even if he's just pretty good, then I think we should trade him when teams can be desperate for a high-powered offensive option going into the playoffs.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 8 at 3:31
Thread: Trades
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mytduxfan</b></div><div>I hate it. I think Risto is getting massively overvalued. He's a 5-6 D on a good team and a PP specialist, yet BUF fans are requesting top 4 prices. Pass.

Moreover, it makes very little sense for a re-tooling team to move their young and recently drafted players. With players like Comtois and Jones, Ritchie is somewhat expendable. However, Lundestrom has a bright future ahead of him with this team.



I would pass too. We need a legit top 4 RD. Giving up a strong 2-way player like Henrique for a player who can't defend properly and needs sheltering like he's still a prospect is bad resource management. We need Henrique to protect Steel and co. from being forced into spots they aren't ready for. EZ pass.</div></div>

Fair enough. We're not getting younger by much in that trade, giving up a good younger goalie and a 24 year old defenseman, closer to their primes if you're "re-tooling" and not going for a full rebuild. Just responding to what the OP wanted to see if we could come to an agreement. Both teams want what the other side is unwilling to give up.

If you want a stud top-4 RD (historically very expensive) you're gonna have to pay through the nose for it one way or the other, as I don't think you have any prospects that really fill that role. Thrun and Lacombe are both lefties.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 5 at 5:16
Thread: Girgensons and Scandella
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>slapshot723</b></div><div>That's completely fair. I have no problem sending a 4th to BUF for Girgensons if you want to just do a pick-for-player deal. I was taking this as an opportunity to move salary in the short term for BUF and the long term for NYI.

Isles could probably take on two defensemen in this deal if you want to send Casey Nelson our way as well. I don't know anything about him he just seems like a reserve RHD.</div></div>

Girgensons for a fourth is interesting. I'd take it, although I feel bad because the dude got married like yesterday.

Nelson is a much better defenseman than some give him credit for imo. He'll never be a 2nd pair stud, but he can aptly fill in on the third line provided his partner isn't trash (which they have been, recently). He's an excellent 7th to have. I value him a bit more than Girgs because, organizationally, he fills his role really well. Girgs is a great energy/PK guy, but we have Smith in the minors who can provide the same with more offense imo.

Just stuff to chew on if you were to make another trade to BUF.
Forum: Armchair-GMAug 5 at 1:43
Thread: Opening Night Roster
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ShaDynasty</b></div><div>People are going to hate that Risto trade, but honestly this is where we are headed like it or not. Sabres have too many players and need to cut weight. The Sabres/Risto relationship seems fractured and pretty sure he wants out and who can blame him. Without dumping a serious number of bodies it's going to be hard for Buffalo to take players back in a Risto trade. Probably best to stop acting like we're going to get an Ehlers or a Horvat or a Rakell back in a trade for Risto.</div></div>

I'm more and more okay with the idea to grab picks. It gives us flexibility, and if we <em>have</em> to get a top-6 guy later on we can use them as currency that all teams will take. But another top-15 pick would be nice to have too.
Forum: NHL SigningsAug 1 at 4:01
Thread: Buffalo Sabres signed Remi Elie (1 Year / $700,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>rebecca</b></div><div>It’s just prelim details right now, but I wouldn’t bet on it being 2-way. He was on a 1-way deal at a little over $700k last year so for him to take a cut to his NHL salary makes me think it’s likely still a 1-way deal. Were it 2-ways I think you’d see something like $800k as his NHL salary (and a bit less than half that at the AHL level) to compensate for the lower income he’d get for the time he spends in the AHL. But I could be wrong.</div></div>

Reports are that it's two-way. I'm surprised too. He did probably get a nice negotiation on his AHL pay like you mentioned.

<a href="https://www.diebytheblade.com/2019/8/1/20750459/buffalo-sabres-re-sign-forward-remi-elie-nhl" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://www.diebytheblade.com/2019/8/1/20750459/buffalo-sabres-re-sign-forward-remi-elie-nhl</a>