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Azura0055

Member Since
Jun. 8, 2021
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Winnipeg Jets
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Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 29, 2021 at 10:22 p.m.
Thread: if Pionk and Copp want too much
What?? No way the jets do that devils trade. Pionk is easily about the same value as severson, without the contract. With the contract situation, pionk is worth more. Pionk has 2 more years of team control and can easily be signed long term. Severson is a UFA in 2 years.

As for people saying Pionk is less valuable because he’s an offensive defensemen, WHAT ARE YOU ON AND WHERE CAN I GET ME SOME?? Why did dougie Hamilton just become like a 6th or 7th highest paid defensemen in the nhl? Both dougie and pionk can defend very well and bring a ton of offense. I’m not comparing the two because Pionk is not hamilton but just drawing a picture. Come on, give the man some respect. He was our best defensemen last year and proved he might be a top pairing guy if he can replicate last season.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 17, 2021 at 1:02 a.m.
Thread: If we cheated like the lightning and used LTIR
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Azura0055</b></div><div>I’m really curious to know what issues this roster has? Other than Stanley as the #4, second pair D man (which might be a reach)?

The premise of this whole roster is all wrong, the NHL needs to approve any LTIR placements, and Kuch did have a viable LTIR injury. The return at the very start of the playoffs when there is no cap is definitely a bit... unique... but the NHL investigated and it was within the rules.</div></div>

The issue is that you've misread the main problem and not addressed it: offensive creativity.
Outside of Schiefele and Ehlers last season, Winnipeg had no body driving play and creating offensive scoring chances for themselves or their teammates. That was even more evident when Schiefele was suspended and all Montreal had to do was focus in on Ehlers. Their defence was actually fine, it wasn't the problem. But when the team doesn't create offence, they can't score goals and cause the defence to be even stingier which makes every little mistake by the defence that much much glaring.
All that's been added here is Landeskog, who's a great secondary player but he's more the bang and crash style player to go get the puck for the other guys out of the corner, and Saad who's nothing more than a finisher. Both of those guys aren't play drivers and don't create offence. Winnipeg would still be hard stretch to score goals when needed.
Then on the back end, this user has just replaced Morrissey with Martinez (very similar play styles) and brought in Hamilton who's the same play styles as Pionk. It just makes no sense and doesn't address what the team really needs which is offensively creative forwards.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 10, 2021 at 5:01 p.m.
Thread: Moves
#13. Isac Lundestrom, C, 21 (Timrå IK/Anaheim Ducks)

There’s usually a player on every team’s list who has already worked his way up the ranks to the NHL but slots lower than fans, who are familiar with his game, might expect. Lundestrom is that player for the Ducks and I feel compelled to re-explain that this player evaluation is a game of projection and upside (or it should be). <strong>The reality of Lundestrom’s game is (even after a strong start to the year offensively in the second-tier HockeyAllsvenskan) that he’s destined to be a role player at the NHL level at this point</strong>. His skill level never really developed beyond its strong, mature foundation, limiting him to a simple what-you-see-is-what-you-get approach. He plays a valuable support role off the puck but he plays quickly when he has it, rarely hanging onto possession to make something happen. I like the way he forechecks. I like his pro size. I think there was more skill to tap into had he taken a different trajectory. But he’s not a natural shooter or playmaker and some of the skill that existed in his game as a teenager has been muted, limiting him as a quiet facilitator who doesn’t threaten as a scorer inside the offensive zone.

Edit: from The Athletic
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 10, 2021 at 11:43 a.m.
Thread: If Seth Jones Doesnt Go To Chicago
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Azura0055</b></div><div>If WPG makes this trade before the expansion draft, they lose Dermott or Stanley AND Appleton. If they make this trade after the exp draft, they lose Stanley AND Appleton...

Either way they would lose Appleton, and they would also lose one of Dermott or Stanley.

I’m curious to learn why this would be a good idea for the Jets?

I would think losing one of Appleton or Stanley would make more sense, but maybe I’m missing something.</div></div>

I don't know either. There are a lot of fans here that have convinced themselves that the Jets would prefer to lose two players in the expansion draft and replace them with nothing players and picks as opposed to just losing one player in the expansion draft and being done with it. As you said it makes no sense for Winnipeg, but people still post about it.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 9, 2021 at 7:10 p.m.
Thread: Tight fit but doable - with explanations
Points to you, this is really thoroughly thought out and all the deals are reasonable. I'm not sold on the Isles side though.

Trade 1: This seems like a big overvaluing of Leddy. Keep in mind what happened with Vegas: the teams that lost the most from just letting guys get picked were the Preds, Blues, and Capitals. Worked out ok for St.Louis and Washington. There's also a lot of good UFA dmen available this year, Jamie Oleksiak or Jake McCabe could provide an upgrade from Leddy at a fraction of the cost. Which brings me to point 3 here: Leddy isn't actually a good dman. In his heyday he was a very good 2-way blueliner, but Hockeyviz's isolates haven't had him substantially above average since 2014-15, and he hasn't even been average since 17-18. If Seattle's gonna take him that's a win, not something you give up pieces to prevent.

Trade 2: Jordan Eberle is probably a better player than Vladimir Tarasenko at this point in time, and will most likely be in the future barring a catastrophic injury. In Tarasenko's last full(ish) season (18-19), hockeyviz estimates he provided 5% more offence and 5% less defense than a league average player, along with strong shooting impact. In Eberle's last season, he provided 19% more offence and 6% more defense than a league average forward, with slightly below-average finishing. Yes the Isles need shooting talent more than defence, but Eberle's too important to their offence to be the piece they sacrifice, and Tarasenko definitely shouldn't pull a player of that caliber given that there's at least a 1 in 3 chance that he's just completely done and will provide nothing of value after the trade.

Trade 3: Sensible move on paper, but saying "ehh, we have enough depth, we don't need these picks" has gotten many a franchise in trouble. One of the biggest strengths of the Bolts over the years has been their ability to cycle players through their lineup, allowing them to survive excellent players like Jonathan Marchessault getting poached by other teams. Maintaining a good base of pick capital is really important to that, I'd try to avoid paying a first to dump Ladd if at all possible. It might not be, I don't remember exactly how much he costs, but if the Kraken take Leddy it definitely is.

Trade 4: I'd probably keep the pick, for the reasons outlined above. Having lots of picks is always good.

"Trade" 5: Evolving-hockey currently estimates Parise to command 1.45 million on a UFA deal. Might take a discount to work with Lou.

Outside of losing Eberle this grades as a pretty good offseason, but Eberle is a really big loss and in the very feasible event Senko busts the Isles just lost their 2nd best forward for nothing with no real way to replace him. That's not good.
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 8, 2021 at 2:42 p.m.
Thread: Take a swing Chevy
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Azura0055</b></div><div>A few thoughts:

I like this roster, although it is one player short.

Contracts: I think all are reasonable, though the Copp deal might be a few hundred K higher.

With this line up, I would move Lowry/Getz to the wing on the 3rd line, start Prefetti in the minors and give the 4C role to Gustavson or a minimum FA veteran.

The biggest weakness I see is 2nd pair LD. Stanley would need to improve a fair bit this offseason to step into that role, and I don’t trust Heinola to be ready to play 20+ per night against top 6 forwards next year. The Jets seem to have a glut of #6/7/8 D in 2021-22... Stanley, Heinola, Beaulieu, Niku, maybe even Samberg. They lack a #1 and a #3/4...

Overall though a nice roster, thanks for sharing.</div></div>
Good call, I probably spent too much to the cap, but ya the missing pieces are 1rhd and 2lhd to step up or buy. I’m hoping that samberg/stanley can turn into the Jets version of sergachev and somehow buy or acquire the 27 min a night 1rhd, Jones/Hamilton type and then i believe the Jets can be considered contenders. But with all that copp/demelo money needs to be spread out in other places possibly. Was thinking that getzlaf being a regina boy, might want to complete the career a little closer to home and not sure of the need in cgy and edm, but his junior days were in Cgy, so that might be a little more interesting than Winnipeg. Good call on more time on perfetti, I like to give Gustafson a shot, and also possibly have a little dough for another vet, if there’s a trade of demelo/copp. Hopefully Seattle in love with a moose over Appleton but probably not likely. Thanks for the feedback
Forum: Armchair-GMJul. 6, 2021 at 9:59 p.m.