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Melnyk_0ut

Melnyk_0ut
Member Since
Jul. 18, 2019
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Ottawa Senators
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Forum: Armchair-GMMay 6, 2022 at 6:23 p.m.
Thread: Wild Fans - What is your realistic price for Fiala
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NDoody</b></div><div>Your out of your mind if you think OTT does this, I wouldn;t move the 1st rounder alone for him,
The contract he is gign to get this summer is going to be an bad deal in 2 years and then your stuck with dead cap when the Sens need to sign younger players.</div></div>

Um, how is that going to be a bad deal in two years? Fiala is 100% worth the money he's going to be paid over the course of his next contract. Because I assure you, there isn't a Wild fan in existence that thinks he'd be overpaid in two years time. Fiala is 25, is just hitting his stride in his prime years, and will only be 27 in that time frame.

This is a player who has been on a 70'ish point pace the last three years while more or less playing on his own without any help on his line during that timespan until Boldy arrived this year. With someone of actual worth on his line he's proven to be a PPG 80+ point player.

In Ottawa he'd be playing next to Stutzle and/or Tkachuk.

There is absolutely <strong>zero</strong> reason to assume that type of production will just dry up in two years time if he's playing in Ottawa's top six.

Furthermore, there is also no reason to think that any player in this draft sans either Wright or Cooley will ever or could ever hope to hit his type of production. Not one prospect. Not Savoie, not Lambert, not Kemell, nor Slafkovsky.

It's just as likely, if not downright more likely in point of fact, that they could end up being busts or less then their potential.

The Sens, frankly, don't need that type of gamble at this point. They need a legitimate top-six gamebreaking winger, right now, more than anything else and to move forward and out of their rebuild with their moves and to start making the playoffs than to take another player that'll be 2-3 years away from making the team. Especially one that there's zero guarantee will become anything, let alone a star player.

The Wild can afford to take that gamble, and is in an actual necessity of doing that given their deadcap over the next few years.
Forum: Armchair-GMMay 6, 2022 at 12:20 p.m.
Thread: Wild Fans - What is your realistic price for Fiala
I wouldnt be surprised if the Wild try and sell off some other pieces and try and keep Fiala and quite frankly I think alot of Wild fans would rather try and keep him. But if that is not possible then it would have to be like a 1st (preferably 15th and higher) and depending on how high the 1st rounder is would dictate the next piece like a top tier prospect if the pick is on the lower end and 2nd tier prospect if the pick is higher. I would think there would also be a 2nd rounder or 3rd rounder or another prospect thrown in there as well. I think it would be all over the board but looking at other trades like the Zucker trade or more recently the Toffoli trade I would think that is somewhat comparable.

One other note...I know offer sheets are pretty rare but I wouldnt mine if some team offer sheeted Fiala everything Russo and others have been saying is his next contract is going to be expensive around 8mil AAV or higher that could be alot of picks coming in, but highly unlikely it happens. We will all have to wait and see what Billy will do.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 17, 2021 at 2:05 p.m.
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 16, 2021 at 12:08 p.m.
Thread: Opening Lineup one month away
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Alfie11</b></div><div>It's not really his contract that's the issue for us, it's more the fact that he's bad defensively, worse offensively, dead weight on the PK, and is played 23 minutes per night lol. I don't even think he's a roster player. I could maybe live with a Mete-Zaitsev 3rd pair but I'd prefer Zaitsev not be in the lineup, his only use is boosting the confidence of our forwards as they burn him in practice.</div></div>

I think the problem lies in the "image" you have of Zaitsev. He has been the 2nd most used D-man in each of his 2 seasons in Ottawa. On a "normal" team, he would be probably 4th and on a good team (with a good defense, not like when he was with the Leafs lol) he'd be 5th

He has heavily been deployed as a defensive D-man in Ottawa. His dZS% is 63.6% over the last 2 seasons. I mean, it could be ok in a smaller role but as the team's top shutdown D-man against top competition, he's obviously going to get "caved in"

This is pretty much like the Ceci situation in Ottawa and how he was used (i.e. a top-10 most used shutdown D-man in the whole NHL) compared to how he was used last season in Pittsburgh where he actually did really well.

Finally, let me try to make a different image for you

If your first pairing is Brannstrom/Mete-Zaitsev, NZ is going to be pretty bad
If your first pairing is Chabot-Zaitsev, NZ is going to be bad
If your second pairing is Brannstrom/Mete-Zaitsev, NZ is going to be average at best
If your second pairing is Sanderson-Zaitsev, NZ is going to be decent
If your third pairing is Brannstrom/Mete-Zaitsev, NZ is going to be good
If your third pairing is Sanderson-Zaitsev, NZ is going to be pretty good

ZS%, QoT, QoC, TOI, etc are going to be heavy factors determining the difficulty of a D-man's job

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Melnyk_0ut</b></div><div>love it! I hope Brannstrom is excluded because we trade him for a top 6 piece up front and not because he doesn't do well</div></div>

Yes traded because I don't see a long term spot for him on LD and they don't want him on RD
Forum: Armchair-GMSep. 15, 2021 at 10:13 p.m.
Thread: Opening Lineup one month away
I have a strong feeling that the Sens won't be able to keep Egor Sokolov and Angus Crookshank away from the lineup

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Alfie11</b></div><div>I think Brannstrom-Zub is great, but I would much rather have Chabot play with a partner that deserves to be in the NHL than a guy like Zaitsev. MDZ-Zaitsev as the shutdown pair makes me want to cry, but at least they won't subject Brannstrom to the anchor that is Zaitsev. I wouldn't mind moving Brannstrom over to his preferred right side, but it sounds like they don't want to do that. I'd prefer both Mete and Holden over J. Brown though. Probably Holden, nice veteran presence and a solid 4/5 guy.</div></div>

The Senators as of now still need Zaitsev. And thankfully Zub came in last season and adapted really well to NA hockey. Until JBD and someone else is good on RD, the Sens will need Zaitsev... He's a decent #4 or a good #5, just has to be played way over his head because of a lack of options. Maybe it starts changing this season. And people complain a lot about his contract but we're not the Leafs against the cap so anything under 4.0 AAV and nobody would complain much

He's no Methot (who was more a solid #3) but Zaitsev is fine. Ideally it would be (soon maybe) :

Chabot-Zub
Sanderson-JBD
Mete-Zaitsev
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 27, 2021 at 11:45 a.m.
Thread: If we still had Stone and Pageau
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Lenny7</b></div><div>Would be solid, but there's little to no chance that Stone would have ended up extending. Pageau probably would have though!</div></div>

That's some revisionist history about how things went down. The Summer before that season when he was still an RFA, Stone's camp was reported to want a long term deal, but the Sens weren't really playing ball. He ended up filing for Arbitration, but they got the deal done the day before. Stone's number heading into Arbitration was 9mil, which mean he was really expecting way less because that's how Arbitration works. The Sens not only could have had Stone on a long term deal, they probably could have had him for below 9mil.

I'm happy with where the Sens rebuild has gone up to this point, but until they win the Cup, the Mark Stone trade will always be an unjustifiable mistake to me. He should be wearing the C in Ottawa right now.
Forum: Armchair-GMApr. 12, 2021 at 3:52 p.m.
Thread: Post Deadline - WE GOT BETTER
It really can't be understated how much better this blue line is now compared to 48 hours ago. They got rid of so much dead weight (and Mike Reilly) and made room for young guys to take over.

I really think Erik Brannstrom playing with Artyom Zub is <strong>exactly</strong> what he needs to really elevate his play down the stretch. It seems like a perfect combination, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him really take off offensively the rest of the way. Gonna be getting a real opportunity in the top 4.

I also really like Mete with Bernard-Docker. Mete has taken a step back, but he had some pretty solid defensive metrics in the past, and if he can find that again, he'll be a great fit for JBD. Both can skate, move the puck and contribute away from the puck.
Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 18, 2021 at 12:07 p.m.
Thread: Fixing the Sens Powerplay
I suggested it in my last post, but I think there's value in having Chabot AND Brannstrom on PP1. Brannstrom's skillset lends itself very well to running the powerplay from the point, and I think he's capable of doing it better than Chabot. Brannstrom has great lateral mobility moving across the Blueline, he's a really crisp passer, and while he doesn't have a howitzer like Chabot has or Karlsson had, he does have a very accurate shot that he's shown he's able to get through to the net reliably at the AHL level.
Moving Chabot to the left halfwall gives them an elite puck distributor who can find seams for those passes to the bumper or stretch passes to the right side they like to go for, but he can actually make them happen. It also allows Chabot to serve as the one time bomb option. Chabot has an all world shot, and moving him off the point makes him a far more dangerous shooting threat.

I also would leave one of Norris or Batherson on the top unit over Dzingel. I like Dzingel a lot, but Ottawa doesn't have the skill depth to spread its best offensive talent between two units without making both units less effective. Dzingel is a valuable offensive piece, but he lacks the vision and playmaking ability of a Josh Norris or Drake Batherson.

I would go

Tkachuk (Net front)
Stutzle(L.wall) Dadonov (bumper) Chabot(R.wall)
Brannstrom (point)

Dzingel (netfront)
Batherson(L.wall) White(bumper) Norris (right wall)
Wolanin(Point)

Edit: totally forgot about Stützle, so ignore the last paragraph. Swap paul for Dzingel as net front guy PP2 and Norris to right wall. Stutzle plays on the wall PP1